Anxious-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-15 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 75% +$1

Other

26% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 15	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	01-15 17:21
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	05-10 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 13:29
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergs	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 20:44
bitcoin up or down on january 30	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	01-29 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 20:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	01-27 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 13:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2	55	0	+55	open	—	04-11 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 11:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 11:32
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-28 19:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	03-13 11:46
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-28 19:35
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	01-28 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 10:44
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	01-03 16:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 21:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-11 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:46:56	Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xd3265f…
05-15 14:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ca98f…
05-15 13:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x78580d…
05-15 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ec028…
05-15 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1df037…
05-15 13:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8eb61d…
05-15 13:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5d0700…
05-15 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x652e15…
05-15 11:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdd2159…
05-15 10:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x102397…
05-14 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcc2e8e…
05-14 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfbb54a…
05-14 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9fcd20…
05-14 12:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2840d8…
05-14 11:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfaa305…
05-14 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe96b41…
05-13 23:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x5bca3c…
05-13 23:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0549b6…
05-13 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0fa417…
05-10 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a4690…
05-10 01:56:46	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd92171…
05-09 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8d903…
04-11 11:35:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xfc9489…
04-11 11:34:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a105e…
04-10 18:03:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x30b64f…
04-10 18:03:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xdd5c27…
03-22 13:19:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x009e23…
03-13 11:46:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x97acc9…
03-13 11:45:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x534705…
01-29 20:17:48	bitcoin up or down on january 30	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x10c51e…
01-28 19:36:16	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x37b115…
01-28 19:35:50	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xba9fd1…
01-28 19:35:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x45708a…
01-27 20:58:23	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe7f7ec…
01-15 17:21:26	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe8d591…
01-03 16:53:51	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xee2b25…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Truthful-Firewall 0xa923…6704	16	$2.99K	368	05-15 14:08
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	14	$9.39K	1,597	05-15 14:11
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	14	$8.81K	1,447	05-15 14:14
Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0	14	$6.69K	1,809	05-15 14:11
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	14	$5.61K	1,660	05-15 14:11
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	14	$5.50K	344	05-15 14:11
Dramatic-Mantel 0xad57…3fed	14	$5.45K	56	05-15 14:00
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	14	$5.03K	349	05-15 14:08