Discrete-Sleep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-08 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 43% $-9

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$2	8¢	$2	$-0	07-08 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776356700	2	$44	30	29	+1	open	—	04-16 16:30
btc updown 5m 1776871800	4	$42	31	30	+1	open	—	04-22 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776432300	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-17 13:30
btc updown 5m 1776441900	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-17 16:10
btc updown 5m 1776442500	2	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-17 16:20
btc updown 5m 1776355800	2	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-16 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776595200	2	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 10:43
btc updown 5m 1776595800	2	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 10:52
btc updown 5m 1776442200	2	$28	19	18	+1	open	—	04-17 16:14
btc updown 5m 1776432600	2	$27	17	17	+1	open	—	04-17 13:35
btc updown 5m 1776601500	2	$26	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 12:27
btc updown 5m 1776942300	2	$26	17	16	+1	open	—	04-23 11:10
btc updown 5m 1776443100	2	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	04-17 16:30
btc updown 5m 1776942600	2	$26	19	18	+1	open	—	04-23 11:13
btc updown 5m 1776942000	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 11:04
btc updown 5m 1776954300	2	$24	24	23	+1	open	—	04-23 14:26
btc updown 5m 1776600900	2	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 12:19
btc updown 5m 1776354000	2	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-16 15:45
btc updown 5m 1776355200	2	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-16 16:05
btc updown 5m 1776354600	2	$20	20	20	+1	open	—	04-16 15:55
btc updown 5m 1776973800	2	$20	14	13	+0	open	—	04-23 19:54
por spo ben 2026 04 19 ben	2	$19	36	35	+1	open	—	04-19 12:20
btc updown 5m 1776353400	2	$19	20	19	+1	open	—	04-16 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776342600	2	$19	18	17	+1	open	—	04-16 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776270900	2	$18	16	15	+1	open	—	04-15 16:40
btc updown 5m 1776342300	2	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$16	157	16	+141	Up	+$2	05-05 13:08
btc updown 5m 1776441600	2	$16	14	13	+1	open	—	04-17 16:02
btc updown 5m 1776864900	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-22 13:41
btc updown 5m 1776351900	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-16 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:18:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6e2518…
07-06 07:55:23	btc updown 5m 1783324500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa57cf4…
06-21 20:15:10	btc updown 5m 1782072900	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0ae7f1…
06-21 10:47:02	btc updown 5m 1782038700	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x7d21d1…
06-21 10:45:26	btc updown 5m 1782038700	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7adc65…
06-20 16:06:07	btc updown 5m 1781971500	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x501844…
06-20 16:02:14	btc updown 5m 1781971200	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5be37c…
06-19 18:30:41	btc updown 5m 1781893800	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa72af0…
06-19 18:30:05	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb3a95a…
06-19 18:27:29	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8199bd…
06-19 18:25:07	btc updown 5m 1781893200	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x039acd…
06-19 18:22:59	btc updown 5m 1781893200	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb9ae21…
06-19 18:20:08	btc updown 5m 1781892900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb4c66f…
06-19 18:16:25	btc updown 5m 1781892900	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7bcd01…
06-19 17:55:26	btc updown 5m 1781891700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x83caeb…
06-19 17:55:08	btc updown 5m 1781891400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe457c6…
06-19 17:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781891400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5fe20f…
06-03 13:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4a41c3…
06-03 13:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xeb45e7…
06-03 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4fda18…
06-03 11:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x226425…
06-03 11:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x269f4f…
06-03 11:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xfa9292…
06-03 11:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f43d1…
06-03 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf60b33…
06-03 11:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x061b35…
06-03 11:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x84f097…
06-03 11:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe08d2a…
06-03 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6aabc4…
06-02 18:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x250b64…
06-02 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe743b0…
06-02 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xef19c8…
05-30 18:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x775f83…
05-30 18:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5acb1d…
05-30 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x99939e…
05-30 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xf49f86…
05-30 18:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9583ed…
05-30 18:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x7c6e46…
05-30 18:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc7e039…
05-30 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x1b5c8f…
05-30 18:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc624ba…
05-30 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcb5e5d…
05-30 18:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4f648e…
05-28 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7f2701…
05-28 20:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x017f79…
05-28 19:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe6862d…
05-28 19:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8c2e6c…
05-28 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcd1ac9…
05-28 19:50:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x688db7…
05-27 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x096bf8…
05-27 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2dddf5…
05-27 13:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4d4219…
05-26 18:20:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x835fd3…
05-10 20:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x65a8f6…
05-10 20:43:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x13d732…
05-08 19:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x7fc201…
05-07 11:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4f8fe7…
05-07 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x20abac…
05-07 10:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x45a3e0…
05-05 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x261058…
05-05 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x678adb…
05-05 13:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xb8243d…
05-05 13:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x516b1d…
05-05 12:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x2a28ca…
05-05 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x701849…
05-04 15:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf3dd35…
05-04 15:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb21648…
05-04 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x56471e…
05-04 15:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb46f19…
04-29 15:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2f3b13…
04-29 09:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$6	0x3f8df9…
04-29 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf4cebe…
04-29 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x539df3…
04-29 08:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$5	0xff947c…
04-29 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf6167e…
04-29 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x5abba9…
04-29 08:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf67fe1…
04-29 08:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xf7dbbd…
04-29 08:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x39d10e…
04-29 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x7afc13…
04-29 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaa2cbd…
04-29 08:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x01eaa9…
04-29 08:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x14918c…
04-28 07:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x89140a…
04-28 07:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbb4765…
04-28 07:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0xa38e79…
04-28 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe16e24…
04-28 07:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcc341c…
04-28 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x78290d…
04-28 07:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa95095…
04-27 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xc2806a…
04-27 20:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x52ba91…
04-27 16:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x77f240…
04-27 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x032588…
04-24 16:51:02	btc updown 5m 1777049400	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6259ba…
04-24 16:48:46	btc updown 5m 1777049100	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x6b0e50…
04-24 16:45:28	btc updown 5m 1777049100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x71c268…
04-24 16:40:20	btc updown 5m 1777048800	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9901e4…
04-24 16:35:46	btc updown 5m 1777048500	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcd5d54…
04-24 14:52:08	btc updown 5m 1777042200	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x88cd44…