Bulky-Avocado — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$8.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-12 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% — —

Politics

15% 100% +$9

Sports

5% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$18	8¢	$17	$-1	07-12 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	21	$3.8K	2,700	2,739	-39	open	—	04-17 08:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$1.3K	1,807	0	+1,807	open	—	03-31 17:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	29	$957	5,700	5,700	+0	open	—	03-09 13:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	29	$444	720	320	+400	open	—	04-12 19:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$276	280	0	+280	open	—	02-27 12:16
Iran leadership change by March 13?	5	$207	117	117	+0	open	—	03-09 10:37
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 09:36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$174	300	0	+300	open	—	04-03 05:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$112	220	220	+0	open	—	05-06 07:52
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	03-24 19:22
nhl las det 2026 03 04	2	$78	140	0	+140	open	—	03-04 14:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$65	70	0	+70	open	—	03-24 19:25
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 02 08	5	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	02-08 12:29
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	12	$52	656	656	+0	open	—	03-11 13:38
nhl buf pit 2026 03 05	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 16:39
nhl bos nsh 2026 03 05	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 16:40
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$42	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	01-06 03:13
nhl nyi ana 2026 03 04	1	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	03-04 08:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$39	100	100	+0	Yes	+$9	05-08 19:18
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-09 21:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$30	50	50	+0	No	+$1	01-18 09:36
nhl edm utah 2026 03 24	1	$28	50	0	+50	open	—	03-24 19:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	3	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 15:25
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	3	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	03-24 20:21
atp sachko rehberg 2026 04 12	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	04-12 09:58
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	3	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	02-08 12:45
will trump say taco or trump always chickens out this week april 19	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	04-12 20:45
nhl min utah 2026 02 27	1	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	02-27 12:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$18	200	0	+200	open	—	07-12 10:40
nhl car chi 2026 04 09	2	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	04-09 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 10:40:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x973557…
05-15 15:25:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x41f275…
05-15 14:16:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0f1174…
05-15 13:54:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf03b74…
05-08 19:18:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x0498b9…
05-06 07:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	220	27¢	$59	0x92d0cc…
05-05 08:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xdbc5e8…
05-05 08:35:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x925310…
04-17 08:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	39	69¢	$27	0x8bac54…
04-16 07:55:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	70	63¢	$44	0xb81e8e…
04-16 07:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xef323b…
04-16 07:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	485	63¢	$306	0x7d0bdb…
04-16 07:12:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	435	63¢	$274	0x3c8708…
04-14 15:49:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	777	62¢	$482	0x872fa1…
04-14 15:48:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x82c959…
04-14 15:45:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x1e75af…
04-12 20:45:41	will trump say taco or trump always chickens out this week april 19	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x849211…
04-12 19:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x7f631f…
04-12 19:00:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xd11998…
04-12 19:00:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xc3f4c4…
04-12 18:47:09	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0a212c…
04-12 18:39:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	220	68¢	$150	0xc0713f…
04-12 18:37:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	41	31¢	$13	0xb34662…
04-12 18:35:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xb66970…
04-12 18:35:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x7906dd…
04-12 18:32:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x8f4ba2…
04-12 17:23:19	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0fb647…
04-12 16:07:09	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x3e7824…
04-12 15:58:07	will trump say losing maga this week april 19	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x997ae4…
04-12 11:53:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	318	72¢	$229	0x957bda…
04-12 11:46:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x4fd981…
04-12 11:20:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x1916cb…
04-12 11:17:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	139	72¢	$100	0xc1dc33…
04-12 11:15:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x179f7b…
04-12 11:09:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6f7acb…
04-12 11:09:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x63b447…
04-12 11:04:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xebfb54…
04-12 11:01:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	64	72¢	$46	0xabdc7f…
04-12 10:59:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7e2769…
04-12 10:58:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x827377…
04-12 10:58:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa20c07…
04-12 10:57:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf2cbeb…
04-12 10:57:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x12b564…
04-12 10:52:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6ecd36…
04-12 10:52:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1c2535…
04-12 10:51:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x558a58…
04-12 10:51:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9c54f3…
04-12 10:46:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x4375d2…
04-12 10:46:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xf0b1bb…
04-12 10:46:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x2c645c…
04-12 10:45:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xc9b75f…
04-12 10:44:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x3510b6…
04-12 10:43:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0x880505…
04-12 10:42:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xd5614f…
04-12 10:40:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	115	28¢	$32	0x65f67f…
04-12 10:40:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x7cd392…
04-12 10:02:17	atp collign prizmic 2026 04 12	Raphael Collignon	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2e5c38…
04-12 10:00:21	atp collign prizmic 2026 04 12	Raphael Collignon	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x679ee5…
04-12 09:59:59	atp collign prizmic 2026 04 12	Raphael Collignon	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2716d4…
04-12 09:59:55	atp collign prizmic 2026 04 12	Raphael Collignon	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x073c0c…
04-12 09:58:21	atp sachko rehberg 2026 04 12	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xe45b30…
04-11 17:47:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	105	59¢	$62	0x80b663…
04-11 17:23:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	587	59¢	$346	0x3c6231…
04-11 14:05:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x0ba223…
04-10 04:38:37	dota2 ngx liquid 2026 04 10	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5c7ebd…
04-10 00:54:23	nhl sj ana 2026 04 09	Sharks	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2ab5f8…
04-09 22:12:27	nhl car chi 2026 04 09 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xdffd4d…
04-09 22:03:05	nhl car chi 2026 04 09 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xba293d…
04-09 21:52:39	nhl min dal 2026 04 09	Stars	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x931b62…
04-09 21:31:03	nhl pit nj 2026 04 09 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x41727c…
04-09 21:27:13	nhl phi det 2026 04 09	Red Wings	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3932e7…
04-09 21:26:49	nhl cbj buf 2026 04 09	Blue Jackets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55d775…
04-09 21:25:27	nhl nsh utah 2026 04 09	Utah	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x694198…
04-09 21:24:25	nhl tb mon 2026 04 09	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf98564…
04-09 21:24:01	nhl car chi 2026 04 09	Hurricanes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7b5439…
04-09 21:23:39	nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	Islanders	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe1bf78…
04-09 21:22:51	nhl pit nj 2026 04 09	Devils	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x047a0f…
04-09 21:22:29	nhl car chi 2026 04 09	Blackhawks	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x53ac1f…
04-09 21:22:05	nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	Senators	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xec3fef…
04-09 19:57:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x42f78d…
04-04 08:32:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x26535d…
04-03 05:53:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0x4cf7d7…
03-31 17:09:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	437	72¢	$314	0x91e324…
03-31 17:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	357	72¢	$257	0x1fdd0f…
03-31 17:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	989	72¢	$712	0xba7b01…
03-30 12:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x353069…
03-30 12:00:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8776c9…
03-30 11:58:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x12ab10…
03-24 20:21:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x5b0280…
03-24 20:21:09	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x24ff54…
03-24 19:34:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 25	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x7790c3…
03-24 19:25:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa1e5fc…
03-24 19:25:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xe03ef8…
03-24 19:23:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x22f8a7…
03-24 19:22:45	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2cba18…
03-24 19:18:45	nhl edm utah 2026 03 24	Utah	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x498854…
03-12 17:35:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xe8cad0…
03-12 13:39:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xd06eb3…
03-11 13:38:23	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xb5ba3e…
03-11 13:37:23	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x8a3157…