Ugly-Tub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-12 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 67% +$1

Tech

8% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$1.9K	989	989	+0	open	—	03-25 08:29
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$184	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	03-25 09:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$158	968	968	+0	No	$-2	03-25 10:20
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	3	$145	2,266	2,266	+0	open	—	03-25 23:32
FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5	1	$19	21	0	+21	Under	+$2	05-12 13:30
highest temperature in los angeles on march 24 2026 76 77f	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-24 04:33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$13	14	0	+14	Vitality	+$1	05-11 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:30:46	FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xc54c5c…
05-11 01:33:25	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xf838ba…
03-25 23:32:43	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,452	3¢	$44	0xb297cc…
03-25 23:32:43	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	814	3¢	$24	0x2f03c6…
03-25 23:26:35	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,266	3¢	$77	0x29569a…
03-25 10:20:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	284	10¢	$29	0x604821…
03-25 10:12:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	11¢	$30	0x51dc9c…
03-25 09:00:43	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	201	6¢	$13	0x887694…
03-25 09:00:43	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,116	6¢	$71	0x84c133…
03-25 08:51:55	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	477	8¢	$36	0x7b33bc…
03-25 08:51:53	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	363	8¢	$28	0xb25e57…
03-25 08:51:53	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	477	8¢	$36	0x6f809d…
03-25 08:29:33	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	989	95¢	$944	0x81c0fa…
03-25 08:19:37	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	989	95¢	$944	0xe49a23…
03-25 08:12:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	663	7¢	$48	0x98805c…
03-25 08:12:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0x2d0c7d…
03-25 08:05:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	684	7¢	$50	0x4c8da7…
03-24 04:33:13	highest temperature in los angeles on march 24 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfa0eb8…