Revolving-Airbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-20 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 36% +$20

Politics

5% 100% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$58	38	38	+0	Down	+$18	05-09 01:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$56	53	53	+0	Yes	+$50	05-09 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$40	38	38	+0	Down	+$34	05-06 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$40	46	46	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$36	30	30	+0	Down	+$24	05-05 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	05-20 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$32	27	27	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$20	05-05 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$19	05-05 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$28	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$27	23	23	+0	Up	+$18	05-05 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$15	05-05 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$25	29	21	+7	Down	$-1	05-06 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$23	20	15	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$15	05-06 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-20 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Down	+$17	05-09 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$20	57	0	+57	Up	$-20	05-06 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 04:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x52f2c9…
05-20 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd37491…
05-20 04:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xce6932…
05-20 04:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf78332…
05-20 04:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x16973f…
05-20 04:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5e4c98…
05-20 04:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x727909…
05-20 04:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa6cb42…
05-20 04:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0d6af…
05-17 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd99d20…
05-17 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc444a8…
05-17 10:57:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xee8a6b…
05-10 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x306154…
05-10 20:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x92c8fd…
05-10 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x28e1c3…
05-09 23:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc58ed3…
05-09 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x35cca6…
05-09 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdc2f91…
05-09 18:33:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x4c49ea…
05-09 01:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x663465…
05-09 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1eaca4…
05-09 01:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x2f136c…
05-09 01:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x300b90…
05-09 01:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x410dbc…
05-09 01:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x37dd57…
05-09 01:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3bb37b…
05-09 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4f51ab…
05-09 01:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x3a0614…
05-09 01:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x281aec…
05-09 01:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf563ba…
05-09 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb88fe…
05-09 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x67ed4e…
05-09 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9c499a…
05-09 01:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9b0558…
05-09 01:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x32c9cc…
05-09 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x15367a…
05-09 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdcd5cb…
05-09 00:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5aa8ed…
05-07 22:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x6c2443…
05-07 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x891a02…
05-07 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x7866c0…
05-07 19:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x8a3389…
05-07 19:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0xa56719…
05-07 19:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x83243c…
05-07 19:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb76f5a…
05-07 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4b25df…
05-07 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xd2e6de…
05-07 19:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfc372e…
05-07 19:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa492ae…
05-07 16:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7ed619…
05-07 13:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe9733b…
05-07 13:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbef958…
05-07 13:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x50859b…
05-07 13:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x79cbd6…
05-07 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf803ff…
05-06 22:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x2d54ef…
05-06 22:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa95b6f…
05-06 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb6e88f…
05-06 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0x8fb40d…
05-06 19:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4fe2cb…
05-06 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x09c004…
05-06 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe5c69c…
05-06 18:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xafda89…
05-06 18:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xcde404…
05-06 18:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x599fb9…
05-06 18:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4f3ede…
05-06 18:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb6f30f…
05-06 18:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5e7bb4…
05-06 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7465df…
05-06 17:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0b450e…
05-06 17:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x4cafb6…
05-06 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x4aad4c…
05-06 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9dab0e…
05-06 17:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x825e28…
05-06 17:20:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3716c0…
05-06 17:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0x0531e6…
05-06 17:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x0cb796…
05-06 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x735162…
05-06 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x16f2e5…
05-06 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf331e9…
05-06 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x43e38f…
05-06 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc5bb5…
05-06 13:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4d16d7…
05-06 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf5d0b2…
05-06 12:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0xc30ff0…
05-06 12:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x16c00d…
05-06 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xf83499…
05-06 11:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe14efd…
05-06 11:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x21483c…
05-06 11:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe9b4dc…
05-06 03:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x64d16e…
05-06 03:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x44fa17…
05-06 03:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5d9ca1…
05-06 03:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1548cd…
05-06 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb47d53…
05-06 02:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd51928…
05-06 02:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xb1e826…
05-06 02:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4c245e…
05-06 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe4245c…
05-06 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5be67e…