Heavy-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$853

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-06 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$14

Politics

23% — —

Other

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	3	$2.6K	2,600	+2,600	open	—	06-02 12:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	2	$2.6K	2,600	+2,600	open	—	06-01 14:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	10	$2.4K	2,390	+2,390	open	—	06-06 16:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$2.3K	2,346	+2,346	open	—	05-16 14:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$2.3K	2,350	+2,350	open	—	05-18 11:57
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,324	+2,324	open	—	05-19 19:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$2.3K	2,302	+2,302	Yes	+$2	05-10 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	1	$2.3K	2,302	+2,302	Yes	+$2	05-11 21:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$2.3K	2,302	+2,302	Yes	+$2	05-07 23:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$2.3K	2,300	+2,300	open	—	05-19 00:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$2.3K	2,300	+2,300	No	+$7	05-06 17:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,300	+2,300	open	—	05-12 20:44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,400	+1,400	open	—	05-29 14:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,300	+1,300	open	—	05-26 02:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$1.2K	1,197	+1,197	open	—	05-20 15:22
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,144	+1,144	open	—	05-20 15:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$1000	1,075	+1,075	open	—	05-24 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	2	$535	537	+537	open	—	06-02 01:19
bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	1	$250	250	+250	open	—	06-06 16:24
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$24	25	+25	open	—	05-19 00:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-19 00:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	06-06 16:23
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	06-06 16:23
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-11 21:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 16:52:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,246	99¢	$1,231	0xcfb6f5…
06-06 16:44:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	833	99¢	$823	0xa81180…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xecec6d…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc9ebce…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb03bbe…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaff820…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xa60b2d…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x9bcf7e…
06-06 16:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x03ef75…
06-06 16:37:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x1393ba…
06-06 16:24:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x521919…
06-06 16:23:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe45d83…
06-06 16:23:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1f1d3a…
06-02 12:41:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0xc2cb59…
06-02 12:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1,462	99¢	$1,453	0xfceb58…
06-02 12:27:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1,060	99¢	$1,054	0x1312b7…
06-02 01:19:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x511cbc…
06-02 01:19:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x719f8c…
06-01 14:45:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,980	99¢	$1,956	0x254869…
06-01 14:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	620	99¢	$613	0x80a1e7…
05-29 14:07:27	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,361	97¢	$1,319	0x1c2797…
05-29 13:37:11	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x0ef677…
05-26 02:59:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	92¢	$1,196	0x87a85b…
05-24 15:06:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x3959b1…
05-20 15:59:16	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,144	100¢	$1,142	0x2dafec…
05-20 15:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,197	99¢	$1,184	0x106437…
05-19 19:42:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,324	100¢	$2,319	0x3a2bb0…
05-19 00:42:38	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x205311…
05-19 00:41:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16d1c2…
05-19 00:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2,300	100¢	$2,298	0xc4489f…
05-18 11:57:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2,350	99¢	$2,329	0xa21f66…
05-16 14:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2,346	100¢	$2,334	0x356ca6…
05-12 20:44:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,300	98¢	$2,263	0x639bdc…
05-11 21:26:18	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x89b1f4…
05-11 21:25:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,302	100¢	$2,300	0x8e6ae5…
05-10 15:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2,302	100¢	$2,300	0xeaaca6…
05-07 23:56:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,302	100¢	$2,300	0xb6dad0…
05-06 17:22:12	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x78ec2e…
05-06 17:21:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2911c…
05-06 17:21:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd7348e…
05-06 17:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,300	100¢	$2,293	0xb68f3e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	23	$2.27K	167	06-08 01:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$115.3K	1,610	06-07 23:31
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	17	$33.9K	217	06-08 02:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	17	$1.94K	430	06-07 23:31
Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a	15	$16.6K	84	06-07 20:28
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	14	$8.98K	2,500	06-07 22:54
Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a	13	$11.7K	249	06-07 18:25
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	12	$117.9K	653	06-01 14:33