Afraid-Heating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-18 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$17

Other

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$266	167	167	+0	Down	+$22	05-06 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$238	144	144	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	9	$153	94	94	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$119	90	90	+0	Down	+$59	05-06 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$116	77	77	+0	Up	+$36	05-06 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$106	70	70	+0	Up	+$33	05-06 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$105	70	70	+0	Up	+$34	05-06 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	8	$103	69	69	+0	Up	+$33	05-06 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$91	60	60	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$89	60	60	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$89	60	60	+0	Up	+$29	05-06 16:41
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$75	50	50	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 13:26
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$73	50	50	+0	Down	+$22	05-06 04:24
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	3	$72	48	48	+0	Down	+$22	05-06 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$71	47	47	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$59	35	35	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-06 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	$-50	05-06 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	8	$46	90	0	+90	Up	$-46	05-06 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$44	82	0	+82	Down	$-44	05-06 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$42	80	0	+80	Down	$-42	05-06 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$35	70	0	+70	Down	$-35	05-06 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	10	$32	65	0	+65	Up	+$33	05-06 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$31	60	0	+60	Down	$-31	05-06 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$30	57	0	+57	Down	$-30	05-06 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$28	55	0	+55	Down	$-28	05-06 14:22
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$26	50	0	+50	Up	$-26	05-06 04:00
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	4	$26	50	0	+50	Up	$-26	05-06 04:28
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	$-25	05-06 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 09:59:25	sol updown 15m 1781776800	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2a985c…
05-13 15:49:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xd4e637…
05-06 17:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe496e2…
05-06 17:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xce33a5…
05-06 17:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	51¢	$25	0x88739d…
05-06 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xfe1190…
05-06 17:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x4a8292…
05-06 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x755003…
05-06 17:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xb3bd84…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xfe9ee9…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb49ce3…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa96c15…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68e97a…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x2a2ac7…
05-06 17:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd47309…
05-06 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xd7a551…
05-06 16:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2808c7…
05-06 16:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4a9262…
05-06 16:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e474e…
05-06 16:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x712d2a…
05-06 16:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x4bb179…
05-06 16:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94ac2c…
05-06 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8d9423…
05-06 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x5ee140…
05-06 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14833b…
05-06 16:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0x598777…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xce295e…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbdc5e5…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb1382e…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa35487…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x9587f4…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3635ea…
05-06 16:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x28cd58…
05-06 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xdc7f6a…
05-06 16:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x822649…
05-06 16:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf40141…
05-06 16:18:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x03cb6d…
05-06 16:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0015d9…
05-06 16:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x09e388…
05-06 16:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xf0b706…
05-06 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x6afa4e…
05-06 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x619f8f…
05-06 15:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xc7aa06…
05-06 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xc07f10…
05-06 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x18eda8…
05-06 14:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xed754f…
05-06 14:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x051dfa…
05-06 14:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	35	84¢	$29	0x7f8824…
05-06 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x8729da…
05-06 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xb59e80…
05-06 13:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x571baf…
05-06 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0xcdc996…
05-06 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6d7a61…
05-06 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xcfd2a5…
05-06 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xcf9c2b…
05-06 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x44707c…
05-06 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xfc166d…
05-06 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x68db77…
05-06 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3cc85d…
05-06 13:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0xb68703…
05-06 13:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb7b0e8…
05-06 13:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x47ec20…
05-06 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	56	94¢	$52	0xa6acab…
05-06 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe157f0…
05-06 12:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x8552c8…
05-06 08:29:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xd9b301…
05-06 08:29:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xdf5a9a…
05-06 07:42:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x745716…
05-06 07:42:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x97c26c…
05-06 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0x3075d2…
05-06 07:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x690350…
05-06 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x936873…
05-06 07:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x839cb7…
05-06 07:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	53	87¢	$47	0xf1050e…
05-06 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xd2d6d0…
05-06 07:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	69	79¢	$54	0x4ccf83…
05-06 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xf695ba…
05-06 05:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x197596…
05-06 05:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xd4a93b…
05-06 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xf7d16b…
05-06 05:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf4600…
05-06 05:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xac349c…
05-06 04:28:22	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xa70f4f…
05-06 04:28:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x610736…
05-06 04:26:34	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcce9e6…
05-06 04:26:34	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x91ec7d…
05-06 04:26:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x791603…
05-06 04:24:22	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xbbed97…
05-06 04:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xfd08ca…
05-06 04:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x073916…
05-06 04:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x58d982…
05-06 04:15:10	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x35787f…
05-06 04:00:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xfb0f09…
05-06 04:00:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xbe2f17…
05-06 03:51:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x22b462…
05-06 03:44:56	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5d4892…
05-06 03:44:42	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x093708…
05-06 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xafd612…
05-06 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x404652…
05-06 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x15780a…