Witty-Ladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,122

lifetime

Volume

$42.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$797

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 50% +$21

Politics

22% 0% $-257

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,149	$705	66¢	$752	+$48	05-28 14:26
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes		+121	$21	37¢	$45	+$24	06-06 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 6	82	$3.9K	5,020	4,903	+117	open	—	02-06 15:47
spx up or down on march 2 2026	44	$1.7K	1,750	1,733	+17	open	—	03-02 20:28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$1.5K	2,361	945	+1,416	open	—	02-28 18:06
spx up or down on february 13 2026	61	$1.5K	2,583	2,468	+116	open	—	02-13 20:58
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	12	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-23 13:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$1.3K	1,900	782	+1,118	open	—	05-27 12:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,400	251	+1,149	open	—	05-28 14:26
spx up or down on march 24 2026	26	$932	900	802	+98	open	—	03-24 19:35
spx up or down on february 24 2026	19	$901	1,281	861	+421	open	—	02-24 16:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	19	$881	600	599	+1	open	—	05-18 19:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	19	$761	800	395	+405	open	—	04-29 13:00
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	10	$658	450	366	+84	open	—	01-30 00:18
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	8	$650	1,709	1,309	+400	open	—	01-11 03:57
spx up or down on february 12 2026	8	$645	570	356	+214	open	—	02-12 17:57
spx up or down on april 16 2026	27	$628	946	898	+48	open	—	04-16 17:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$623	500	500	+0	open	—	01-30 20:40
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	5	$615	415	469	-54	open	—	02-02 12:39
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$605	400	400	+0	open	—	03-27 17:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	24	$589	600	150	+450	open	—	05-06 13:12
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	16	$577	800	800	+0	open	—	01-30 01:03
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	6	$545	500	250	+250	open	—	04-08 02:09
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$514	460	345	+115	open	—	03-24 12:59
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	13	$499	452	379	+73	open	—	02-03 16:01
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	14	$498	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-08 02:16
spx up or down on february 4 2026	17	$469	727	541	+186	open	—	02-04 20:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$452	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 14:52
spx up or down on march 10 2026	9	$410	300	300	+0	open	—	03-10 19:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$400	500	0	+500	open	—	02-28 19:13
spx up or down on january 23 2026	16	$389	391	321	+70	open	—	01-23 17:54
spx up or down on march 11 2026	5	$384	340	340	+0	open	—	03-11 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:41:27	mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x44fb7d…
06-06 02:27:15	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x20ab0b…
05-31 16:59:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x4a4e72…
05-30 15:53:56	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0xb125bd…
05-29 00:47:04	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xd5f58a…
05-28 14:26:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	70¢	$132	0xa0513c…
05-28 14:26:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	72¢	$45	0x4a3185…
05-28 14:18:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	63¢	$882	0x5a6c3c…
05-28 14:18:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	49¢	$53	0xc626fa…
05-27 19:50:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xb527c5…
05-27 14:27:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x9fa930…
05-27 14:13:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xcb5149…
05-27 14:12:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xba595b…
05-27 14:10:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7d88b9…
05-27 14:09:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe7ce10…
05-27 12:21:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	32¢	$50	0xd4cfc3…
05-27 12:20:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	32¢	$18	0x818a0e…
05-27 00:26:12	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x465a24…
05-24 15:54:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0xafbe5f…
05-23 23:50:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	68¢	$166	0x5c18f0…
05-22 14:38:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	112	16¢	$18	0x11838b…
05-22 14:20:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x30663f…
05-21 14:20:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	21¢	$68	0x4f0514…
05-21 01:31:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0x7b0746…
05-21 01:27:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0xd2e9ae…
05-21 01:27:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0xbe7452…
05-21 01:27:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x8ca652…
05-21 01:13:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x48cb29…
05-21 01:13:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x2094ec…
05-21 01:12:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0xedac46…
05-21 01:12:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	31¢	$44	0xed5dc8…
05-21 01:12:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0x2aeafe…
05-21 00:27:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xf2036a…
05-18 19:45:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x1de5a3…
05-18 19:43:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x8a59de…
05-18 19:43:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1a6afc…
05-18 19:40:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xa84bcd…
05-18 19:40:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe69848…
05-18 19:39:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x507777…
05-18 19:38:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xc68275…
05-18 19:35:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x264458…
05-18 19:35:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf9196e…
05-18 19:21:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x9dd3c4…
05-18 18:13:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xc74f6b…
05-18 16:48:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x8e0310…
05-18 16:40:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xf7c0c1…
05-18 16:38:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xc59829…
05-18 14:49:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x4466d2…
05-18 14:48:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x9d5339…
05-18 14:47:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xf79117…
05-18 14:38:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xdcfc8e…
05-18 14:35:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x949278…
05-14 17:01:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xedae9a…
05-14 17:00:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0x869da2…
05-14 16:35:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x89b85d…
05-14 15:57:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0x082e91…
05-14 15:37:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0xf65b4e…
05-14 15:31:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	689	3¢	$21	0x62fa55…
05-13 15:45:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0xb00820…
05-13 15:25:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x6bdead…
05-13 15:25:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xaac0b5…
05-13 15:25:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x55e4e1…
05-13 15:25:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xecbaaa…
05-13 15:25:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xa0a768…
05-13 15:25:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xff1a35…
05-13 14:02:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x42461f…
05-13 13:55:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x529653…
05-13 13:55:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x9cc127…
05-13 13:55:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x29815a…
05-13 13:54:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x5e43d9…
05-12 14:36:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xd1be74…
05-12 14:23:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x59f307…
05-12 14:22:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x22d96f…
05-12 13:50:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	72	83¢	$60	0x8f4d31…
05-12 01:50:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0755de…
05-12 00:39:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xef8512…
05-11 19:33:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x56d397…
05-11 19:26:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	80	21¢	$17	0xf3e1a3…
05-11 19:11:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0x09f10a…
05-11 18:42:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x64b5cf…
05-11 14:19:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xc7b404…
05-11 14:07:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3da4dd…
05-11 14:07:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	190	35¢	$66	0x039ddb…
05-11 14:07:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa249ea…
05-08 18:14:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xb8abdf…
05-07 17:51:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x5cac69…
05-07 17:50:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x55aab6…
05-07 17:50:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xcbb0ea…
05-07 16:04:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x50bbbe…
05-07 15:59:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x771e1c…
05-07 15:39:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x321d96…
05-07 15:36:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xe51b4d…
05-07 13:18:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd064ef…
05-07 13:14:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa65d60…
05-07 13:07:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xc31c60…
05-06 17:38:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xf41675…
05-06 13:12:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	53¢	$39	0x64e260…
05-06 12:55:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x27c268…
05-06 12:37:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	53¢	$36	0x0405a0…
05-06 12:35:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x96d681…