Witty-Ladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,274

lifetime

Volume

$49.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$198

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% +$21

Politics

20% 0% $-257

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No		+400	$153	39¢	$156	+$3	07-24 19:12
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes		+121	$21	34¢	$42	+$21	06-06 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 6	82	$3.9K	5,020	4,903	+117	open	—	02-06 15:47
spx up or down on march 2 2026	44	$1.7K	1,750	1,733	+17	open	—	03-02 20:28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$1.5K	2,361	945	+1,416	open	—	02-28 18:06
spx up or down on february 13 2026	61	$1.5K	2,583	2,468	+116	open	—	02-13 20:58
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	12	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-23 13:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$1.3K	1,900	782	+1,118	open	—	05-27 12:21
spx up or down on june 24 2026	26	$1.1K	2,276	1,857	+420	open	—	06-24 18:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$1.1K	0	1,156	-1,156	open	—	06-18 01:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,400	251	+1,149	open	—	05-28 14:26
spx up or down on march 24 2026	26	$932	900	802	+98	open	—	03-24 19:35
spx up or down on february 24 2026	19	$901	1,281	861	+421	open	—	02-24 16:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	19	$881	600	599	+1	open	—	05-18 19:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	19	$761	800	395	+405	open	—	04-29 13:00
spx up or down on june 22 2026	21	$743	843	686	+157	open	—	06-22 18:36
spx up or down on june 25 2026	20	$661	590	590	+0	open	—	06-25 19:57
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	10	$658	450	366	+84	open	—	01-30 00:18
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	8	$650	1,709	1,309	+400	open	—	01-11 03:57
spx up or down on february 12 2026	8	$645	570	356	+214	open	—	02-12 17:57
spx up or down on april 16 2026	27	$628	946	898	+48	open	—	04-16 17:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$623	500	500	+0	open	—	01-30 20:40
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	5	$615	415	469	-54	open	—	02-02 12:39
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$605	400	400	+0	open	—	03-27 17:04
spy up or down on july 24 2026	29	$598	1,550	1,061	+489	open	—	07-24 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	24	$589	600	150	+450	open	—	05-06 13:12
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	16	$577	800	800	+0	open	—	01-30 01:03
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	6	$545	500	250	+250	open	—	04-08 02:09
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$514	460	345	+115	open	—	03-24 12:59
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	13	$499	452	379	+73	open	—	02-03 16:01
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	14	$498	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-08 02:16
spx up or down on february 4 2026	17	$469	727	541	+186	open	—	02-04 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 19:45:45	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xdfccb2…
07-24 19:24:24	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xca53d1…
07-24 19:24:24	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	30	66¢	$19	0x962ec6…
07-24 19:23:18	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x55e1a5…
07-24 19:23:04	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xca0b21…
07-24 19:21:24	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x3037b6…
07-24 19:12:04	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0xb74d7a…
07-24 19:07:00	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	65	48¢	$31	0xb7a48e…
07-24 18:34:33	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	115	46¢	$53	0x76f996…
07-24 18:34:01	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x21e677…
07-24 18:27:10	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x714d1c…
07-24 18:26:12	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xb72078…
07-24 18:25:39	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	55	25¢	$14	0xb7f1bb…
07-24 18:25:37	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xa82df1…
07-24 17:22:51	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x8ffacc…
07-24 17:22:51	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x47b5e5…
07-24 17:20:43	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	81	10¢	$8	0x449319…
07-24 17:18:00	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xe8f21c…
07-24 17:17:58	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xdf4636…
07-24 17:17:54	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	650	14¢	$91	0xd1f4c1…
07-24 17:14:22	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf2e8d4…
07-24 17:14:22	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xd82f8d…
07-24 17:11:22	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xc71a87…
07-24 14:47:57	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	75	53¢	$40	0x0a5d85…
07-24 12:28:13	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74545d…
07-24 12:05:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xaef8a2…
07-24 07:45:12	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x58d1cd…
07-24 03:02:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x49f673…
07-24 02:56:37	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x374545…
07-24 02:54:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8f1995…
07-24 02:52:06	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x46c3c4…
07-24 02:04:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd4195…
07-24 01:47:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9b3dfd…
07-24 01:42:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaf8388…
07-24 01:39:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2f1373…
07-24 01:34:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x27f660…
07-24 01:01:49	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x8bc75e…
07-24 01:01:12	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf443a5…
07-24 01:01:12	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xbac4da…
07-24 01:01:10	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x78c542…
07-24 01:01:10	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x590ee2…
07-24 01:01:10	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0e2753…
07-23 23:55:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x5c8da2…
07-02 15:38:23	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xdf1ea6…
07-01 18:03:07	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x7c21e1…
06-30 13:55:25	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb16b4d…
06-30 13:53:34	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xf3e689…
06-30 13:53:32	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0xbd909a…
06-30 13:53:13	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0xcca2c6…
06-30 13:52:32	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb90358…
06-30 13:52:29	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0xe03745…
06-30 13:52:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	Yes	SELL	75	53¢	$40	0xb621ff…
06-30 13:51:16	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	710	8¢	$56	0x54e233…
06-30 13:51:05	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x3b0a9a…
06-30 13:50:46	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd6e193…
06-30 13:48:52	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x723b29…
06-30 13:48:50	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x1911f5…
06-30 13:48:44	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x53ef1e…
06-30 13:48:23	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x6f3838…
06-30 13:48:23	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 30	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x04cf26…
06-30 13:43:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	Yes	SELL	225	65¢	$146	0x41df70…
06-30 13:38:58	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	182	78¢	$142	0xde4cc7…
06-30 13:38:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x8dab74…
06-30 13:38:22	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6a4c0c…
06-30 13:38:19	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd46793…
06-30 13:38:14	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7a47bb…
06-29 14:50:25	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x784a60…
06-29 14:20:16	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xf650cb…
06-29 14:17:31	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5a97b6…
06-27 21:30:01	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0xb3c505…
06-26 18:04:04	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x388ffb…
06-26 15:01:14	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x5255d6…
06-26 14:52:26	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xe44f2a…
06-26 14:41:05	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xe1b8b1…
06-26 13:44:25	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x981c86…
06-25 19:57:16	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x93f729…
06-25 19:54:17	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xa6cb8d…
06-25 19:50:52	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x80e069…
06-25 19:49:26	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x030b7f…
06-25 19:49:13	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd32887…
06-25 19:49:11	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7ff2dc…
06-25 19:46:34	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0x97780b…
06-25 17:23:10	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	49	48¢	$24	0xee0779…
06-25 16:45:26	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	71	56¢	$40	0x07554a…
06-25 16:33:31	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	148	43¢	$63	0x032586…
06-25 15:21:17	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x91e6c9…
06-25 15:17:40	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	195	50¢	$98	0xee2b60…
06-25 15:17:40	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x013e64…
06-25 15:14:53	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x3a9707…
06-25 15:05:01	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xb73711…
06-25 15:01:32	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x51e012…
06-25 14:59:43	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8acc7a…
06-25 14:58:34	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xdc83bb…
06-25 14:57:20	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2cd9dd…
06-24 18:32:19	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x666b04…
06-24 18:29:49	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x8bc340…
06-24 18:28:44	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	160	39¢	$62	0xd5a764…
06-24 18:28:16	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x82911f…
06-24 18:27:49	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0x13a88e…
06-24 17:28:52	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	125	62¢	$78	0xd395a4…