Noted-Disposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-25 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No		+16	$15	90¢	$14	$-1	06-02 08:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	04-07 11:55
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 20corhigher	1	$122	123	+123	open	—	04-06 07:15
highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 23corhigher	1	$122	122	+122	open	—	04-04 04:34
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 6?	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	05-03 03:46
ethereum above 1700 on april 19	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-16 17:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$115	117	+117	open	—	03-29 06:21
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 26?	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	05-22 15:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	06-25 07:17
will xrp reach 1pt8 june 8 14 2026	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	06-10 11:23
ethereum above 1500 on march 16	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	03-13 16:30
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	04-26 14:13
solana above 30 on april 14	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-12 16:02
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-23 14:49
solana above 120 on april 21	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-19 22:31
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	1	$99	99	+99	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:57
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$88	95	+95	open	—	03-22 22:24
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	02-27 09:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$48	50	+50	No	+$2	05-09 14:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	04-29 12:04
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-29 12:01
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	02-27 09:21
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-02 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on April 25?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-25 02:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$14	16	+16	open	—	05-12 09:51
will israel strike lebanon on february 24 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	02-27 09:22
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$12	14	+14	open	—	04-21 12:10
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	04-18 11:39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	04-26 14:11
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-13 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:17:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x525337…
06-10 11:23:31	will xrp reach 1pt8 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x52976c…
06-02 08:22:31	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x2857f8…
05-22 15:01:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 26?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x53bbf8…
05-12 09:57:28	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xce37c2…
05-12 09:51:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x1a6c81…
05-09 14:57:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5df44b…
05-07 10:38:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x65b8d8…
05-03 03:46:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 6?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x10a1ef…
04-29 12:04:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa00841…
04-29 12:01:18	Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x08f807…
04-26 14:13:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x40ce94…
04-26 14:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x555902…
04-25 02:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x146964…
04-23 14:49:44	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x571fab…
04-21 12:10:38	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xe140ae…
04-19 22:31:20	solana above 120 on april 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdaa1e2…
04-18 11:39:20	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x23e2d6…
04-16 17:56:42	ethereum above 1700 on april 19	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x570492…
04-13 16:06:53	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd63d6a…
04-12 16:02:33	solana above 30 on april 14	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb5fa6…
04-07 11:55:31	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x78555d…
04-06 07:15:41	highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xa9e782…
04-04 04:34:09	highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xdfb09a…
03-29 06:21:28	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x8696e7…
03-22 22:24:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0x6693c5…
03-13 16:30:21	ethereum above 1500 on march 16	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xe23169…
03-13 16:29:43	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x43763c…
02-27 09:22:55	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xa81d0b…
02-27 09:22:33	will israel strike lebanon on february 24 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcd2dc0…
02-27 09:21:49	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0ea5ed…