Grateful-Dialogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$691

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-14 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

85% 75% +$691

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on april 17 2026	4	$1.5K	1,210	1,188	+22	open	—	04-17 14:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	3	$1.5K	968	968	+0	Up	+$467	05-04 21:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.1K	606	606	+0	Down	+$108	05-08 21:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 11?	2	$816	467	467	+0	Yes	+$116	05-12 00:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$804	455	455	+0	open	—	04-22 22:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$770	521	521	+0	open	—	05-01 22:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$557	364	357	+7	open	—	04-24 23:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	4	$497	411	406	+5	Yes	$-1	05-11 17:58
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$378	245	245	+0	open	—	04-10 12:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$300	427	0	+427	open	—	05-14 23:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$300	517	0	+517	open	—	04-27 04:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$264	424	424	+0	open	—	04-25 18:47
wti up or down on april 23 2026	1	$250	362	0	+362	open	—	04-23 05:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$229	3,975	3,975	+0	open	—	04-25 18:47
wti up or down on april 9 2026	2	$216	118	117	+1	open	—	04-09 21:18
wti up or down on april 13 2026	2	$204	116	115	+1	open	—	04-13 22:14
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$143	94	93	+1	open	—	04-08 21:18
wti up or down on april 10 2026	2	$100	195	191	+4	open	—	04-13 10:00
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$100	244	0	+244	open	—	04-07 20:15
will hegseth say cia during press conference	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-08 12:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$10	370	0	+370	open	—	05-14 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:24:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	427	70¢	$300	0x5833e0…
05-14 20:19:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xf4e1b3…
05-12 00:56:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0x3459fe…
05-11 17:58:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0d12d8…
05-11 16:37:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	289	61¢	$176	0x99902a…
05-11 16:21:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	118	61¢	$72	0xd7929c…
05-11 01:20:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	406	61¢	$248	0x1a8da1…
05-11 01:19:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	467	75¢	$350	0x934710…
05-08 21:05:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	606	100¢	$605	0x3fe7a2…
05-08 15:18:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	606	82¢	$497	0x231a82…
05-04 21:13:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	968	100¢	$967	0xa4719c…
05-04 14:23:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xb86a54…
05-04 13:07:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	480	62¢	$300	0xbc0f65…
05-01 22:20:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	521	100¢	$520	0xd820e0…
05-01 00:13:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	521	48¢	$250	0xdf6d2d…
04-27 04:40:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xe40d96…
04-25 18:47:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,975	1¢	$29	0x118710…
04-25 18:47:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	3¢	$13	0x3e2456…
04-25 18:42:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x18700a…
04-25 05:45:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x0b0dbd…
04-24 23:22:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	357	100¢	$357	0x068d85…
04-24 04:51:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xce8fb4…
04-23 05:36:48	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x37ebfb…
04-22 22:13:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0x65ecb5…
04-19 18:19:54	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,975	5¢	$200	0x0e3135…
04-18 14:03:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	455	77¢	$350	0x6873eb…
04-17 14:48:18	wti up or down on april 17 2026	Down	SELL	562	99¢	$557	0xebc083…
04-17 08:17:28	wti up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	572	55¢	$317	0x40cad5…
04-17 08:15:14	wti up or down on april 17 2026	Down	SELL	626	52¢	$324	0x94b4a8…
04-17 08:11:44	wti up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	638	54¢	$345	0xb52f66…
04-13 22:14:27	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xab5e01…
04-13 10:00:05	wti up or down on april 10 2026	Up	SELL	191	0¢	$0	0x847481…
04-12 07:17:51	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	116	76¢	$89	0xec6ca1…
04-10 12:59:53	wti up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xaab62e…
04-10 12:59:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	245	77¢	$189	0xfa7795…
04-10 07:09:09	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	245	77¢	$189	0x711e74…
04-09 21:18:13	wti up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xb6c663…
04-09 13:28:51	wti up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x65ccb5…
04-08 21:18:27	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x56c994…
04-08 17:20:11	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xa9fb0e…
04-08 12:53:27	will hegseth say cia during press conference	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe9b056…
04-08 11:49:07	will hegseth say cia during press conference	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x62ac64…
04-07 20:15:41	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xa4a6e2…