Exemplary-Realization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

1,863

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-07 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773609300	3	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	03-15 21:10
btc updown 15m 1773668700	11	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 13:52
btc updown 15m 1773830700	4	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	03-18 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$8	8	4	+4	Up	$-0	05-07 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$7	8	5	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$6	9	5	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:25
btc updown 15m 1773613800	6	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-15 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 18:41
btc updown 15m 1772193600	7	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	02-27 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$6	8	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-07 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$5	8	5	+3	Down	$-3	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$5	8	5	+3	Up	+$0	05-06 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 15:12
btc updown 15m 1773649800	5	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 20:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4a0e33…
05-07 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x746860…
05-07 19:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x837830…
05-07 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xe9a3d8…
05-07 19:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbf8f75…
05-07 19:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xbfb0fb…
05-07 19:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x68cc86…
05-07 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe2f1de…
05-07 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xc01d12…
05-07 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6f55ba…
05-07 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7f44b9…
05-07 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x533d4f…
05-07 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x844a23…
05-07 17:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x8bc8bf…
05-07 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb8f74…
05-07 17:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x6b4c5f…
05-07 17:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdea333…
05-07 17:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x7ca2eb…
05-07 17:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfa7e68…
05-07 17:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x57c2fb…
05-07 17:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcc133e…
05-07 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb4b6d…
05-07 16:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x73424a…
05-07 16:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x592bab…
05-07 16:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x7c76df…
05-07 16:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a9ca6…
05-07 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x726dc2…
05-07 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x248366…
05-07 16:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbc6bd3…
05-07 16:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc76b47…
05-07 15:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xfd25c2…
05-07 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6fd856…
05-07 15:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xae1207…
05-07 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3f924b…
05-07 15:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x0e4d74…
05-07 15:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x530c93…
05-07 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xd28072…
05-07 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x508ec2…
05-07 14:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x94a544…
05-07 14:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xd9df5a…
05-07 14:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x600fbc…
05-07 14:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0b1058…
05-07 14:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x35b5ae…
05-07 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x02a435…
05-07 14:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x85f043…
05-07 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbaccf7…
05-07 14:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xf5bf10…
05-07 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b7845…
05-07 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfcb2ce…
05-07 13:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xc12972…
05-07 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfe920d…
05-07 13:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xa0be19…
05-07 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x73aa18…
05-07 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xa3cf63…
05-07 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf705dc…
05-07 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ed884…
05-07 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf1ac14…
05-07 12:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc08065…
05-07 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xcc541b…
05-07 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5c1814…
05-07 11:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x73c40c…
05-07 11:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x848a96…
05-07 11:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5306ac…
05-07 11:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xae4344…
05-07 11:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7fa75…
05-07 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x6501de…
05-07 11:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e3b72…
05-07 11:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x2315dd…
05-07 11:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa159cd…
05-07 10:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2a12c…
05-07 10:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x342820…
05-07 10:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6da89…
05-07 10:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x1256c7…
05-07 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e09d1…
05-07 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf3e122…
05-07 09:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdd84b0…
05-07 09:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xae2c4a…
05-07 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x93c90e…
05-07 08:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc57b09…
05-07 08:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x243180…
05-07 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0abc37…
05-07 06:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x0b2c41…
05-07 06:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc97977…
05-07 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x08dca8…
05-07 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa80a51…
05-07 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x8aea69…
05-07 05:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe8ff60…
05-07 05:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x023b90…
05-07 05:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2007d5…
05-07 05:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x72ee3d…
05-07 05:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1babf3…
05-07 04:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x2c9c89…
05-07 04:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xba6fdb…
05-07 04:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xafb713…
05-07 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfcf7ca…
05-07 04:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x9cf430…
05-07 04:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x287b7b…
05-07 04:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1a30b1…
05-07 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x0257eb…
05-07 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x161de1…