Orderly-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up		+2	$2	82¢	$2	+$0	05-07 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down		+2	$2	76¢	$2	$-0	05-07 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 04:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb15db5…
05-07 04:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc3970e…
05-07 03:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7895aa…
05-07 02:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xab9be9…
05-07 02:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x12ddd9…
05-07 00:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcafaaf…
05-07 00:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3fe11a…
05-06 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc290a8…
05-06 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xce3807…
05-06 04:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1b92e1…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd63d93…
05-04 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x284134…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$1.47K	63	05-07 04:18
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$1.34K	117	05-07 04:18
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$595	60	05-07 04:18
Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3	8	$1.08K	20	05-07 04:08
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$996	16	05-07 04:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$662	34	05-07 04:18
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	6	$1.89K	63	05-07 04:18
Famous-Speedboat 0x6d9f…5568	6	$598	32	05-07 04:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-07 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 04:09