Orderly-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

201

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-10 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775764800	58	$144	145	135	+10	open	—	04-09 20:12
btc updown 15m 1775763900	18	$45	45	44	+1	open	—	04-09 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	14	$36	29	28	+1	open	—	04-25 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	10	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	8	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-25 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	8	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$21	17	16	+0	open	—	04-25 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	14	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$20	165	0	+165	open	—	05-01 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$18	16	16	+1	open	—	04-25 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$15	12	8	+4	open	—	04-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	6	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$14	12	11	+1	open	—	04-25 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	11	$14	71	0	+71	Up	$-14	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$12	12	8	+4	open	—	04-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$11	8	4	+4	open	—	04-27 05:36
btc updown 5m 1776450000	4	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	04-17 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-06 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xdbc638…
05-10 15:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd676d6…
05-10 15:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf982a0…
05-10 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0214a2…
05-10 12:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x973adf…
05-10 11:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb1a6e6…
05-10 10:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x23db13…
05-10 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd1ffb6…
05-10 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb342ac…
05-10 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x614153…
05-10 09:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x10495a…
05-10 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe45fd2…
05-10 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x00bf9a…
05-10 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5b0f28…
05-10 06:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x08ec57…
05-10 05:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe8c11b…
05-10 05:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x82b28d…
05-10 04:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7c33b5…
05-10 01:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0d670d…
05-09 23:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x69e0cc…
05-09 23:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x57c800…
05-09 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x758182…
05-09 23:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3bcf88…
05-09 23:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa7ef8e…
05-09 22:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7f3da9…
05-09 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xce8758…
05-09 19:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6ab28c…
05-09 17:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b0729…
05-09 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x24491f…
05-09 17:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe548c2…
05-09 17:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x29cdda…
05-09 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xb16219…
05-09 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xea425a…
05-09 16:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x842484…
05-09 16:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb4fe11…
05-09 16:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc9429c…
05-09 16:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe2a8e1…
05-09 16:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x95d839…
05-09 15:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2d6063…
05-09 15:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0dadc4…
05-09 14:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfffdda…
05-09 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb8fe88…
05-09 14:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x47d15e…
05-09 14:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x405323…
05-09 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf39acd…
05-09 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x21cf15…
05-09 12:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4815b9…
05-09 12:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x20901f…
05-09 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x3c8518…
05-09 10:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea0c2b…
05-09 10:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x8d1cf9…
05-09 10:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x93b03c…
05-09 10:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fd831…
05-09 10:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0e1c45…
05-09 10:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcca91f…
05-09 07:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2ffeb2…
05-09 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x5cc09f…
05-09 07:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa236f1…
05-09 07:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x175f9c…
05-09 07:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x106950…
05-09 07:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb15219…
05-09 07:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x0664e9…
05-09 06:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x04efa8…
05-09 06:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7cf449…
05-09 05:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd265f8…
05-09 04:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc98b0b…
05-09 04:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdc8a91…
05-09 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x48d7cd…
05-09 04:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x597b70…
05-09 04:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad7a45…
05-09 04:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x903807…
05-09 03:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb6ddb3…
05-09 03:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdec442…
05-09 03:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1bd105…
05-09 03:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6edeb4…
05-09 03:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x655fed…
05-09 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x245f0b…
05-08 23:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5cead4…
05-08 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7bfbc9…
05-08 22:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x0d769e…
05-08 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7e2e1f…
05-08 22:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67ed4e…
05-08 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1f913f…
05-08 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x944a27…
05-08 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe6c033…
05-08 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf05b48…
05-08 19:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x296157…
05-08 17:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x04c532…
05-08 15:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x09751b…
05-08 15:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd78fca…
05-08 15:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7956af…
05-08 15:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe76499…
05-08 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdb8e41…
05-08 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6f9a8d…
05-08 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4a3f56…
05-08 13:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf31d86…
05-08 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3fd90a…
05-08 13:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb08cc2…
05-08 13:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x882f96…
05-08 12:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9a626e…