Triangular-Management — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$71

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 44% $-2

Other

11% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$16	19	19	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 07:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$5	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 15:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-11 10:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$3	6	2	+5	Up	$-1	05-11 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 16:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 16:15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-12 04:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	65	0	+65	Up	$-1	05-11 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-12 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 15:35
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 13:18
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	1	0	+1	Spurs	+$0	05-12 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:18:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x499642…
05-12 17:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf689fa…
05-12 17:26:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x59d24d…
05-12 16:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd98d44…
05-12 16:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4887d…
05-12 16:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x1c6390…
05-12 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55e869…
05-12 16:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5bb9f2…
05-12 15:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x32980e…
05-12 04:39:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x64062b…
05-11 15:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf27808…
05-11 15:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xfef766…
05-11 15:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2ecaf8…
05-11 15:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xbe5cb1…
05-11 15:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb33786…
05-11 15:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xc4cc4a…
05-11 15:42:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x06353e…
05-11 15:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x644ac3…
05-11 15:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb18629…
05-11 15:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5b1c4b…
05-11 10:36:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa6cc1e…
05-11 08:46:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x488c13…
05-11 08:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6a54d…
05-11 08:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x8ba19a…
05-11 08:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x03946f…
05-11 08:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x9960f9…
05-11 08:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x046efb…
05-11 08:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a8a7f…
05-11 08:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x53ea59…
05-11 08:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x426774…
05-11 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1e784…
05-11 07:58:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x32b628…
05-11 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x64467c…
05-11 07:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf37b2d…
05-11 07:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd36547…
05-11 07:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x7c7cf0…
05-11 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x40a28b…
05-11 07:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x9f3f4c…
05-11 07:42:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5295d0…
05-11 07:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xcdecd1…
05-11 07:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xadbbd6…
05-11 07:39:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x379679…