Virtuous-Randomization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,131

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-03 05:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 47% +$13

Politics

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+42	$5	10¢	$4	$-1	07-03 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775291400	2	$279	185	179	+6	open	—	04-04 08:35
btc updown 5m 1774052700	4	$269	249	245	+4	open	—	03-21 00:29
btc updown 5m 1775067000	2	$259	170	165	+5	open	—	04-01 18:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$213	549	549	+0	open	—	03-27 04:12
btc updown 5m 1773748200	2	$212	146	144	+2	open	—	03-17 11:55
btc updown 5m 1774017300	3	$210	243	0	+243	open	—	03-20 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773669300	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-16 14:01
btc updown 5m 1773669600	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-16 14:06
btc updown 5m 1775331900	1	$200	415	0	+415	open	—	04-04 19:44
btc updown 5m 1774052400	2	$197	216	212	+3	open	—	03-21 00:23
btc updown 5m 1774052100	2	$176	116	115	+2	open	—	03-21 00:21
eth updown 5m 1774074000	2	$158	93	93	+0	open	—	03-21 06:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$157	161	161	+0	open	—	03-16 04:54
btc updown 5m 1775066400	3	$155	212	141	+71	open	—	04-01 18:01
btc updown 5m 1774073700	2	$149	79	79	+0	open	—	03-21 06:21
btc updown 5m 1774053300	3	$145	121	119	+2	open	—	03-21 00:38
btc updown 5m 1774643400	1	$140	246	0	+246	open	—	03-27 20:31
btc updown 5m 1775289300	4	$139	175	168	+6	open	—	04-04 08:00
btc updown 5m 1773747900	2	$130	160	0	+160	open	—	03-17 11:49
eth updown 15m 1774051200	2	$129	103	101	+1	open	—	03-21 00:03
btc updown 5m 1773980100	4	$125	144	0	+144	open	—	03-20 04:19
btc updown 5m 1774118100	3	$112	102	61	+41	open	—	03-21 18:40
eth updown 5m 1774050900	2	$111	251	247	+4	open	—	03-20 23:59
will artemis ii launch by march 31	2	$111	694	694	+0	open	—	02-22 07:39
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	2	$107	82	82	+0	open	—	03-30 03:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$102	79	79	+0	open	—	03-30 03:45
btc updown 5m 1773981000	1	$102	103	0	+103	open	—	03-20 04:32
btc updown 5m 1774050600	1	$100	158	0	+158	open	—	03-20 23:51
btc updown 5m 1775066700	1	$100	181	0	+181	open	—	04-01 18:04
btc updown 15m 1775067300	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	04-01 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 05:38:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2fe027…
05-10 13:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x500f49…
05-10 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x37ec49…
05-10 12:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5bdc9…
05-10 10:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf026a4…
05-10 10:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf28f4c…
05-10 10:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfcceed…
05-10 10:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x503c83…
05-10 07:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbb152a…
05-10 07:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x51e42a…
05-10 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf0f966…
05-10 07:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0eae49…
05-10 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8f8399…
05-10 07:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xec540e…
05-10 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ea47f…
05-10 07:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xea4348…
05-10 07:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe071c5…
05-10 07:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf77325…
05-10 07:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0f5ee4…
05-10 07:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd36c70…
05-10 07:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xab74de…
05-10 07:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72ea6e…
05-10 07:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x845e0f…
05-10 06:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x21b552…
05-10 06:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2fe1f6…
05-10 06:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x892d18…
05-10 06:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8f4f2a…
05-10 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x87256b…
05-10 06:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf50202…
05-10 06:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4c9509…
05-10 06:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c8657…
05-08 09:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xab07fe…
05-08 09:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0xff0040…
05-08 09:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x39cdbe…
05-08 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc5a302…
05-08 08:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x500900…
05-08 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5d33e4…
05-08 07:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9b4486…
05-08 07:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xf8cbd0…
05-08 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xceecc3…
05-08 07:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x133bae…
05-08 07:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x918378…
05-08 07:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x87c2e8…
05-08 07:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x63a86f…
05-08 07:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a6c57…
05-08 07:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xe94c3b…
05-08 07:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf11b87…
05-08 07:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x319aaf…
05-08 07:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf73407…
05-08 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeec194…
05-08 07:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0d096…
05-08 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x897a1a…
05-08 07:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9e2af3…
05-08 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5c1297…
05-08 06:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x3b018f…
05-08 06:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1e8028…
05-07 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2a0d72…
05-07 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x308485…
05-06 14:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0xe77e74…
05-06 14:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xd4b523…
05-06 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0xc5d9d9…
05-06 14:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa20b3f…
05-06 14:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb2c797…
05-06 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5a717c…
05-06 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x72bc23…
05-06 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x764aa8…
05-06 13:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4eca11…
05-06 13:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x316a9d…
05-06 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae94f4…
05-06 13:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xfd6093…
05-06 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10340b…
05-06 13:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e9dfd…
05-06 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x746996…
05-06 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x7cbc8f…
05-06 13:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a2482…
05-06 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x222dc8…
05-06 13:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0f4ba4…
05-06 13:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x92e867…
05-06 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9e5f32…
05-06 13:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6c71d2…
05-06 13:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62cbca…
05-06 13:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa37b78…
05-06 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4fa93f…
05-06 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4696a9…
05-06 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x35c685…
05-06 13:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a72f7…
05-06 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x87b2bb…
05-06 13:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x13cf5e…
05-06 13:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf1fb7a…
05-06 13:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfcb0a3…
05-06 12:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x8d0b34…
05-06 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x75317d…
05-06 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4af336…
05-06 12:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6dd3dc…
05-06 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1169a8…
05-06 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xed1625…
05-06 11:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x32a0f3…
05-06 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9de86…
05-06 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x73ebcb…
05-06 09:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88c50b…