Flippant-Instant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-12 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 37% $-52

Politics

1% 0% $-2

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$19	37	7	+30	Down	$-11	05-05 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	$-10	05-05 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$6	6	4	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$6	11	2	+8	Up	$-2	05-12 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$6	32	0	+32	Down	$-6	05-05 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-04 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-04 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$3	53	3	+50	Up	$-1	05-06 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$3	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Up	$-1	05-06 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-0	05-12 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$2	5	1	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Down	$-2	05-04 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$2	112	0	+112	Down	$-2	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-04 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 00:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x79d314…
05-12 00:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xfc46c4…
05-12 00:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbfdd91…
05-12 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x86a38a…
05-12 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x178e2a…
05-12 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc70393…
05-12 00:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xaec71d…
05-12 00:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x8354ca…
05-12 00:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc9153a…
05-12 00:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x14f6f3…
05-06 22:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x46a233…
05-06 22:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x79db63…
05-06 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xcec669…
05-06 22:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe46a03…
05-06 22:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2a170e…
05-06 22:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xbce715…
05-06 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2b60fa…
05-06 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xea9b48…
05-06 22:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x238212…
05-06 22:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05f72f…
05-06 22:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4a1e49…
05-06 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedf48d…
05-06 21:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5d2f9…
05-06 20:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf47c3d…
05-06 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xa76943…
05-06 20:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d31e0…
05-06 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5cc065…
05-06 20:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54c5b3…
05-06 20:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e2116…
05-06 20:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfe362a…
05-06 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc48f85…
05-06 20:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xd93f89…
05-06 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe9a9f8…
05-06 19:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b2cd7…
05-06 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3bd0b…
05-06 19:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0c59b1…
05-06 19:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x631370…
05-06 19:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e2d22…
05-06 19:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18840b…
05-06 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x568261…
05-06 19:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x133231…
05-06 19:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x788020…
05-06 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc339ce…
05-06 19:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x075dc2…
05-06 19:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd1f33a…
05-06 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x73c7c1…
05-06 19:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x33076e…
05-06 19:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc46924…
05-06 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xefbc5b…
05-06 19:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5ae91d…
05-06 19:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x673c3b…
05-06 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x020e5a…
05-06 19:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xf8b74f…
05-06 19:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfadc20…
05-06 19:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xad67d1…
05-06 19:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc879df…
05-06 19:03:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x9a8f43…
05-06 00:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xda9e42…
05-06 00:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x8c320b…
05-06 00:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaf4d2e…
05-06 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63708d…
05-06 00:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fca7c…
05-06 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc77053…
05-06 00:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x502e3b…
05-06 00:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0231cf…
05-06 00:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xd2b369…
05-06 00:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x918da4…
05-05 23:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xebc2fe…
05-05 23:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xfc997a…
05-05 23:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2eaea6…
05-05 23:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb4c11b…
05-05 23:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xddd1d3…
05-05 23:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xae48e4…
05-05 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4a56d1…
05-05 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38eaa7…
05-05 23:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9ca80…
05-05 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xffc0e1…
05-05 22:35:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x712bf6…
05-05 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7452b8…
05-05 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8d0f53…
05-05 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x97b6b5…
05-05 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xedd441…
05-05 08:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd4d7c7…
05-05 08:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd3dd1d…
05-05 08:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0xc0f0f9…
05-05 08:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3c3478…
05-05 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb6266c…
05-05 08:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x28971f…
05-05 08:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe22f65…
05-05 08:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc7b092…
05-05 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x425e30…
05-04 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x742498…
05-04 23:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb95560…
05-04 23:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa0d245…
05-04 23:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x133fd4…
05-04 23:39:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xadca58…
05-04 23:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfc8860…
05-04 23:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe3dc74…
05-04 23:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe8265b…
05-04 23:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe7758b…