Appropriate-Horseradish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-18 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-5

Crypto

40% 0% $-1

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	4¢	$0	$-1	06-18 17:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	5	$10	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	06-17 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-5	05-09 19:32
btc updown 5m 1781808300	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	06-18 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$2	5	3	+2	open	—	05-15 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 18:16
btc updown 5m 1781808000	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-18 18:43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	06-18 17:33
btc updown 5m 1780769100	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-06 18:06
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	06-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-13 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 18:48:29	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd10435…
06-18 18:47:05	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x168671…
06-18 18:46:55	btc updown 5m 1781808300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x437fe3…
06-18 18:43:25	btc updown 5m 1781808000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x35acd4…
06-18 18:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781808000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x22402c…
06-18 17:33:35	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbc97a9…
06-17 20:15:41	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x23b0b9…
06-17 10:46:47	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a08d4…
06-17 10:46:37	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd4c0d3…
06-17 10:22:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x197eb8…
06-16 12:42:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb3530e…
06-06 18:06:09	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xab2e25…
06-04 20:34:49	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xae73c3…
05-15 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb64429…
05-15 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6bc19a…
05-15 18:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc9869e…
05-15 18:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x76a023…
05-15 18:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb539d3…
05-13 17:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8294cc…
05-09 19:32:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb7c70d…