Thin-Fool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Sports

19% 100% +$117

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$1.4K	1,454	0	+1,454	open	—	03-16 11:19
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1.4K	1,419	0	+1,419	open	—	03-07 06:13
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$1.2K	1,158	97	+1,061	open	—	02-05 05:56
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.1K	1,132	0	+1,132	open	—	01-15 05:16
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$1.1K	1,248	0	+1,248	open	—	02-11 05:56
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$1.0K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-06 04:11
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$1.0K	5,990	5,990	+0	open	—	06-11 02:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$245	3,399	3,399	+0	open	—	02-16 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$161	3,090	0	+3,090	open	—	04-11 02:59
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$147	210	0	+210	Knicks	+$63	05-04 15:39
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	1	$144	370	0	+370	open	—	04-12 02:38
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$113	257	0	+257	open	—	05-19 06:52
nhl utah las 2026 04 21	1	$110	262	0	+262	open	—	04-21 02:55
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	1	$110	333	0	+333	open	—	04-18 03:56
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	3	$108	246	0	+246	open	—	05-25 06:29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	1	$89	141	0	+141	open	—	04-28 10:24
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$88	142	0	+142	Cavaliers	+$54	05-09 04:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$86	176	0	+176	open	—	05-14 07:47
mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	1	$61	125	0	+125	open	—	06-09 06:38
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	3	$51	175	0	+175	open	—	04-04 04:24
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	05-14 07:31
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	1	$32	73	0	+73	open	—	04-28 10:24
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	1	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 10:32
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	03-16 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:32:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	5,990	11¢	$659	0xc984d2…
06-11 01:53:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	5,990	6¢	$359	0xf78982…
06-09 06:38:57	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	BUY	125	49¢	$61	0x31e423…
05-25 06:29:49	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x84ae0d…
05-25 06:21:12	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x6b78b0…
05-25 06:15:21	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	193	44¢	$85	0x50badb…
05-19 06:52:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	257	44¢	$113	0x368201…
05-14 07:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	176	49¢	$86	0x5558a5…
05-14 07:31:59	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xc8596e…
05-09 04:30:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	142	62¢	$88	0xd423cb…
05-04 15:39:50	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	210	70¢	$147	0x78b286…
04-28 10:24:26	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0xb08e10…
04-28 10:24:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	No	BUY	141	63¢	$89	0x8cd432…
04-21 02:55:02	nhl utah las 2026 04 21	Utah	BUY	262	42¢	$110	0x5104ec…
04-18 03:56:52	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Hawks	BUY	333	33¢	$110	0x1b6e86…
04-12 02:38:03	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	No	BUY	370	39¢	$144	0xa946d1…
04-11 02:59:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,090	5¢	$161	0x08eb90…
04-04 04:24:47	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Mavericks	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0xe294ff…
04-04 04:22:19	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Mavericks	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x64b72c…
04-04 04:10:15	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Mavericks	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xf601cb…
03-16 11:19:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,267	96¢	$1,214	0x32025c…
03-16 11:16:53	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	187	96¢	$179	0x6e8a7f…
03-16 10:32:27	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x82a440…
03-16 10:32:05	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x6ff28a…
03-07 06:13:15	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,419	98¢	$1,392	0xb559bc…
02-16 13:29:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xaafbb5…
02-16 13:27:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	104	4¢	$5	0xc23c86…
02-16 13:19:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x014358…
02-16 13:19:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x06ce6e…
02-16 13:19:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x753ff7…
02-16 13:18:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x53b37f…
02-16 13:15:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	35	4¢	$2	0xcf9ebc…
02-16 13:10:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x0e6b33…
02-16 13:10:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x7efa10…
02-16 13:10:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x4d0a89…
02-16 13:10:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1a6a64…
02-16 13:07:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xfefab5…
02-16 13:05:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xc1c9ea…
02-16 13:04:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xc073bc…
02-16 13:04:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x14bea9…
02-16 13:03:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x9199ee…
02-16 13:03:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xfb6d2b…
02-16 13:02:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x09390e…
02-16 13:01:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf00ad9…
02-16 13:01:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf9d24b…
02-16 13:00:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xb75774…
02-16 13:00:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x367c7c…
02-16 13:00:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x64bd30…
02-16 12:58:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc07547…
02-16 12:58:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x673b35…
02-16 12:55:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xb95727…
02-16 12:55:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xc07bbf…
02-16 12:54:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x226efd…
02-16 12:53:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x38020a…
02-16 12:52:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	61	4¢	$3	0xaa6c4c…
02-16 12:52:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0b8aa6…
02-16 12:49:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x831884…
02-16 12:49:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x2e9cff…
02-16 12:47:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9eaf15…
02-16 12:47:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd1d67c…
02-16 12:43:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0xa371ad…
02-16 12:42:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe17921…
02-16 12:41:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xb4866a…
02-16 12:40:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd79cc1…
02-16 12:39:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x407097…
02-16 12:13:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x714d63…
02-16 12:12:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x6840fe…
02-16 12:11:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x0c7e58…
02-16 12:10:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	148	4¢	$6	0xa057f0…
02-16 12:08:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	522	4¢	$23	0x7a84eb…
02-16 12:08:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe6abec…
02-16 12:08:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x73b018…
02-16 12:08:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x919ee1…
02-16 12:08:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x6b64c3…
02-16 12:08:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x149d9d…
02-16 12:08:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xca5143…
02-16 12:08:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	522	4¢	$23	0x6bb758…
02-16 12:07:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x987cd2…
02-16 12:07:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x440b25…
02-16 12:07:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x1f4887…
02-16 12:07:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xc366ba…
02-16 12:07:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x4cf6a1…
02-16 12:07:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x27f4a4…
02-16 12:07:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xc92140…
02-16 12:06:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xc9c3cf…
02-16 12:06:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf44d97…
02-16 12:06:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x921e31…
02-16 12:06:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x6446d8…
02-16 12:06:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xf3e825…
02-16 12:06:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb8ebf7…
02-16 12:06:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x81a22c…
02-16 12:06:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x455452…
02-16 12:05:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	419	4¢	$18	0x1747c8…
02-16 12:05:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	230	4¢	$10	0xfe029f…
02-11 05:56:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1,248	85¢	$1,061	0x8da549…
02-05 06:47:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa1a7bd…
02-05 06:44:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x6472da…
02-05 06:44:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3fd183…
02-05 06:44:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x446126…
02-05 06:41:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9fec85…