Joyful-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$514

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-05 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 55% $-0

Politics

15% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	4	$46	227	227	+0	open	—	04-07 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$46	75	75	+0	open	—	05-01 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	05-01 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$39	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	7	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	05-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775607900	6	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$12	21	21	+0	open	—	04-07 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$8	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 18:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 00:07
btc updown 5m 1775608500	6	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:14
btc updown 5m 1775399400	4	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-05 14:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 22:40
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:49
btc updown 5m 1776625800	2	$4	7	6	+0	open	—	04-19 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:33
btc updown 5m 1775607300	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x41d2af…
05-05 23:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x8f7f8c…
05-05 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x99a3ab…
05-05 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xf73a79…
05-05 23:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf18ee0…
05-05 23:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x7c499d…
05-05 23:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x214413…
05-05 23:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x5538cf…
05-05 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6041c1…
05-05 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb40c95…
05-05 23:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x9cea5c…
05-05 23:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xe7be84…
05-05 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe03f11…
05-05 23:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x148989…
05-05 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbc153e…
05-05 23:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x1c607b…
05-05 23:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x341acf…
05-05 23:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x980060…
05-05 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1a0247…
05-05 23:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe40243…
05-05 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdac30e…
05-05 23:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3d05d7…
05-05 23:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc59ff0…
05-05 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xfe1f72…
05-05 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1cbb2f…
05-05 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xed127f…
05-05 23:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5de9d3…
05-05 23:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb123bf…
05-05 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f44c3…
05-01 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x762651…
05-01 18:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x78de48…
05-01 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x1422c4…
05-01 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x49b10a…
05-01 18:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x8037e1…
05-01 18:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd52ced…
05-01 18:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x936739…
05-01 18:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd4794e…
05-01 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x0c087b…
05-01 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe88ebf…
05-01 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x294ab9…
05-01 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x1e124d…
05-01 17:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x250610…
05-01 17:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe0a884…
05-01 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdd4a32…
05-01 17:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x69d11c…
05-01 17:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd0343c…
05-01 17:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$11	0x7466fc…
05-01 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa9a552…
05-01 17:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x74dc7f…
05-01 17:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb6cc58…
05-01 16:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x60ab7f…
05-01 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x7da9ce…
05-01 16:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c73f3…
05-01 16:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8b9347…
05-01 16:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf35bd3…
05-01 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x15930f…
05-01 16:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5ce371…
05-01 16:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x932c4e…
05-01 16:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0ad2a1…
05-01 16:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xb12681…
05-01 16:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xea9b2b…
05-01 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x68dde5…
05-01 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x8f0124…
05-01 15:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x12f476…
05-01 15:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xdc5297…
05-01 15:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x64579f…
05-01 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe3437a…
05-01 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xf75b18…
05-01 15:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x0e69a5…
05-01 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x868983…
05-01 15:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa72622…
05-01 15:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x68827c…
05-01 15:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2286da…
05-01 15:06:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x98b44e…
04-29 16:23:12	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xfb124d…
04-27 23:19:24	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf8b4b7…
04-26 20:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x13bd92…
04-19 19:12:04	btc updown 5m 1776625800	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x7a77d0…
04-19 19:10:56	btc updown 5m 1776625800	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9fd31b…
04-19 19:08:52	btc updown 5m 1776625500	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc466bb…
04-19 19:06:38	btc updown 5m 1776625500	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x610278…
04-19 15:04:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x2aade7…
04-18 11:28:06	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x36b593…
04-18 11:27:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x933f60…
04-15 19:46:52	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb89e20…
04-15 13:28:30	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x760bef…
04-08 19:27:13	btc updown 5m 1775676300	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x583da9…
04-08 19:26:27	btc updown 5m 1775676300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1a18de…
04-08 19:18:03	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x2cf03e…
04-08 19:15:21	btc updown 5m 1775675700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb5ce0c…
04-08 19:10:27	btc updown 5m 1775675400	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x9ff2e4…
04-08 19:09:21	btc updown 5m 1775675400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa62a12…
04-08 00:38:19	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0decb2…
04-08 00:37:37	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x44fc44…
04-08 00:37:27	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xaf7c22…
04-08 00:36:39	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x749e58…
04-08 00:36:17	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x65cda7…
04-08 00:35:39	btc updown 5m 1775608500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb5bbdc…
04-08 00:31:07	btc updown 5m 1775608200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3a3769…
04-08 00:29:43	btc updown 5m 1775607900	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xd305fe…