Dear-Fireman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$504

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-08 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$11

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,099	0	+2,099	No	+$6	05-07 01:33
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$4	05-06 02:22
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	No	+$4	05-05 01:44
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	01-22 01:44
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-21 01:25
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-20 02:27
ethereum above 3600 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-19 02:03
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-18 01:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-17 05:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-16 07:05
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-15 07:12
ethereum above 2800 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-13 09:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-12 04:50
ethereum above 3300 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-11 07:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-30 07:15
bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	07-08 09:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$12	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	02-03 07:30
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	07-02 03:27
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:54
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$9	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-08 02:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 04:48
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 07:10
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$6	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	02-12 02:53
nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 10:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	1	$4	2,121	0	+2,121	open	—	03-10 07:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$4	1,824	0	+1,824	No	$-4	05-08 02:36
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 09:20
bitcoin above 58k on february 23	1	$2	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	02-23 00:44
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$2	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	03-05 01:15
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$2	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-25 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:26:34	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe2ad10…
07-02 03:27:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa81ba9…
06-25 04:48:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf2fb34…
06-17 10:26:28	nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa53007…
05-20 07:10:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x202ae6…
05-08 02:36:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,824	0¢	$4	0xd92737…
05-07 01:33:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,099	100¢	$2,093	0x85d71b…
05-06 02:22:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,084	0xc719f0…
05-05 01:44:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,076	0x8a652c…
04-13 09:20:39	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xed40f5…
03-30 07:15:02	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf4fc1b…
03-10 07:02:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	Yes	BUY	2,121	0¢	$4	0x43b620…
03-05 01:15:17	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,143	0¢	$2	0x857646…
02-23 00:44:42	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	No	BUY	1,153	0¢	$2	0x610230…
02-12 02:53:27	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	No	BUY	1,107	1¢	$6	0x9690bf…
02-08 02:32:35	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,084	1¢	$9	0x018142…
02-03 07:30:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	Yes	BUY	1,078	1¢	$12	0x7ac7aa…
02-02 10:30:16	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc4993…
01-31 08:34:00	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcce640…
01-29 07:29:20	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31538f…
01-29 01:13:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$1	0x3c0ef8…
01-28 11:59:03	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d8eef…
01-27 10:54:59	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc27b05…
01-26 11:32:29	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb144e6…
01-25 01:36:24	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$2	0x7c752f…
01-22 01:44:30	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,080	0x672838…
01-21 01:25:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0xd51a5d…
01-20 02:27:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,076	0x7d5fbb…
01-19 02:03:42	ethereum above 3600 on january 19	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0x7348dd…
01-18 01:07:36	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0xec1938…
01-17 05:15:46	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 17	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x3c42a7…
01-16 07:05:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x49fcba…
01-15 07:12:56	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x777095…
01-13 09:11:03	ethereum above 2800 on january 13	Yes	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x4e1939…
01-12 04:50:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0xff660c…
01-11 07:41:50	ethereum above 3300 on january 11	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,059	0x01c83b…