Burly-Ottoman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.5%

Resolved

Trades

542

lifetime

Volume

$533

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-21 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 8% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774293300	6	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	03-23 19:24
btc updown 15m 1774362600	5	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 14:34
btc updown 15m 1774292400	6	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 19:11
btc updown 15m 1774269900	7	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 12:58
btc updown 15m 1775502900	6	$11	71	65	+7	open	—	04-06 19:24
btc updown 15m 1774337400	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 07:36
btc updown 15m 1774214100	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 21:29
btc updown 15m 1774350900	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 11:26
btc updown 15m 1774382400	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:13
btc updown 15m 1774363500	4	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	03-24 14:52
btc updown 15m 1774539000	6	$9	15	10	+5	open	—	03-26 15:43
btc updown 15m 1774454400	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 16:08
btc updown 15m 1774357200	5	$8	20	5	+14	open	—	03-24 13:08
btc updown 15m 1774360800	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 14:09
btc updown 15m 1774296000	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 20:06
btc updown 15m 1774414800	3	$7	30	5	+25	open	—	03-25 05:08
btc updown 15m 1774288800	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 18:08
btc updown 15m 1774359000	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 13:42
btc updown 15m 1774458900	7	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 17:28
btc updown 15m 1774370700	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 16:58
btc updown 15m 1774274400	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 14:10
btc updown 15m 1774368900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 16:22
btc updown 15m 1774188000	4	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 14:10
btc updown 15m 1774736100	12	$6	60	50	+10	open	—	03-28 22:25
btc updown 15m 1774283400	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 16:34
btc updown 15m 1774425600	3	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	03-25 08:12
btc updown 15m 1773783000	4	$6	22	5	+17	open	—	03-17 21:36
btc updown 15m 1774188900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-22 14:24
btc updown 15m 1774301400	5	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	03-23 21:35
btc updown 15m 1774215000	3	$5	10	5	+5	open	—	03-22 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x44865f…
05-21 19:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xaab9e5…
05-21 19:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x91c5b2…
05-21 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x940776…
05-21 17:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x91d690…
05-21 15:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf32a5d…
05-21 15:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5158aa…
05-21 15:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x63e0a5…
05-21 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9e200…
05-21 10:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x5021c8…
05-21 10:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x47d1f7…
05-21 07:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc05c77…
05-21 07:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa3e8a0…
05-20 19:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3331a1…
05-20 08:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x342c68…
05-20 08:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2bb25c…
05-13 17:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xf5fd56…
05-13 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x57790c…
05-13 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x53531b…
05-13 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2b7898…
05-13 17:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x044aa7…
05-13 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x46f3b1…
05-13 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x875cf3…
05-13 16:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xe07cf5…
05-13 16:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x75162f…
05-13 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x816576…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd91d07…
05-09 17:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcd2f2c…
05-09 15:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xab1593…
05-09 15:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe04a30…
05-09 15:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xd53c08…
05-09 15:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x9e4112…
05-09 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xa72eb8…
05-09 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x807913…
05-09 15:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdbd277…
05-09 15:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcc77c7…
05-09 15:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfdf70a…
05-09 15:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x2997d3…
05-09 14:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5233fc…
05-09 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x47991d…
05-09 14:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e7967…
05-09 14:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd15b68…
05-09 14:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x26eb73…
05-09 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc326c4…
05-09 13:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1ffff0…
05-09 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1b74f8…
05-09 13:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x010c3f…
05-09 13:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe67880…
05-09 13:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x50e16a…
05-09 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa16cf0…
05-09 10:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x51e2b1…
05-09 10:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc0fcaf…
05-06 14:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0043a6…
05-06 13:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x44c51f…
05-06 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xec07f6…
05-06 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x64cae0…
05-06 13:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc8d889…
05-06 13:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5784e1…
05-06 12:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x07e661…
05-06 12:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f5caa…
05-06 11:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x4456c5…
05-06 11:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa155a3…
05-06 10:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1dda5a…
05-03 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x200a0a…
05-03 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x3df5b7…
05-03 19:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc0dfe5…
05-03 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb926a2…
05-03 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd17722…
05-03 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x61cfed…
05-03 18:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xde7c6e…
05-03 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x816d25…
05-03 18:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1056bf…
05-03 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x34274b…
05-03 18:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x771361…
05-03 17:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5d4169…
05-03 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1e8647…
05-03 17:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd34c42…
05-03 17:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcc08fa…
05-03 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x20969a…
05-03 15:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf401e7…
05-03 15:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x96ad47…
05-03 15:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd174ae…
05-03 15:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x419011…
05-03 15:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x1aa922…
05-03 14:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x424a17…
05-03 14:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb3c407…
05-03 14:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x5a8a68…
05-03 14:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xed1576…
05-03 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x984371…
05-03 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x80af85…
05-03 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf167fb…
05-03 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x4ae9fd…
05-03 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x43b234…
05-03 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xea78ce…
05-03 13:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc56207…
05-03 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcdd746…
05-03 11:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa9e4de…
05-03 10:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x9eca7a…
05-03 08:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x90b7bb…
05-02 23:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xcb698e…