Ill-Informed-Sidestream — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-02 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$25	2,778	0	+2,778	open	—	06-02 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$5	34	0	+34	Up	$-5	05-11 09:59
btc updown 5m 1772787000	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 08:56
btc updown 5m 1772787600	3	$3	51	1	+50	open	—	03-06 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-11 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-23 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$3	62	0	+62	Down	$-3	05-11 09:34
btc updown 5m 1772651700	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-04 19:19
btc updown 5m 1772788200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 09:12
btc updown 5m 1772655000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 20:14
btc updown 5m 1772654700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 20:08
btc updown 5m 1772784000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-22 18:47
btc updown 5m 1772651400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-13 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-13 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	05-23 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	23	0	+23	Down	$-2	05-11 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-11 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	67	0	+67	Up	$-2	05-11 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	55	0	+55	Up	$-2	05-11 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	+$6	05-11 09:28
btc updown 5m 1774856100	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-30 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-13 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-13 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 19:09:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x63739a…
06-02 18:56:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x60d46c…
05-23 17:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf760f0…
05-23 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1fb4bf…
05-23 17:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30220f…
05-23 17:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfed8d8…
05-23 17:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc234f6…
05-23 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x196737…
05-23 17:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xea7a3b…
05-23 17:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x364e4f…
05-23 17:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x630861…
05-23 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x07dcf2…
05-23 17:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf1690b…
05-23 17:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c60aa…
05-23 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79e11a…
05-23 16:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda4b55…
05-23 16:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1bae07…
05-22 19:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfa0098…
05-22 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f656f…
05-22 19:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf5a69d…
05-22 19:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x5c6b56…
05-22 19:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc207bf…
05-22 18:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbc9ac5…
05-22 18:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe3d50e…
05-22 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b9a8a…
05-22 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59a604…
05-22 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf2f97b…
05-22 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x009f3a…
05-22 16:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x449f2d…
05-22 16:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x06c94e…
05-22 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7cb059…
05-22 16:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f74a9…
05-22 11:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xca3848…
05-22 11:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd9298d…
05-22 11:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d645a…
05-21 21:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x499b2d…
05-21 21:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2d0e5f…
05-21 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0d5c66…
05-21 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe4c985…
05-21 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b91dd…
05-15 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe9cd9…
05-13 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbc273c…
05-13 20:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x449b2b…
05-13 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9e4a43…
05-13 19:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x31dd58…
05-13 19:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf437b7…
05-13 19:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x298176…
05-13 19:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc80f76…
05-13 19:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5cae75…
05-13 19:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce35a2…
05-13 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe5b2fa…
05-13 18:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe4be17…
05-13 18:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x293d16…
05-13 18:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb18886…
05-13 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe4f6e8…
05-13 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeb9696…
05-13 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x184b4c…
05-13 17:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa84fbd…
05-13 17:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a5ab4…
05-11 14:28:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x67148c…
05-11 14:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x082646…
05-11 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5730e5…
05-11 13:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8213f7…
05-11 13:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6eae76…
05-11 13:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3e9055…
05-11 13:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x351281…
05-11 13:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd84a58…
05-11 13:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc7e0f1…
05-11 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x951bc5…
05-11 13:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x425c0a…
05-11 13:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x596075…
05-11 13:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcb6d19…
05-11 13:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0e2dbf…
05-11 12:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x370587…
05-11 12:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1dcddc…
05-11 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8c7e96…
05-11 10:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2bfa70…
05-11 10:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x56e714…
05-11 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4221d…
05-11 10:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x78b3f6…
05-11 10:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3c0f7e…
05-11 10:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x85db3c…
05-11 10:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x64adba…
05-11 10:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7005f8…
05-11 10:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x15d8f4…
05-11 10:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa6c326…
05-11 09:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfb18f…
05-11 09:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbfb880…
05-11 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd80889…
05-11 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5cf6f4…
05-11 09:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x794854…
05-11 09:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cf513…
05-11 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb2430b…
05-11 09:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1b63ee…
05-11 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe7dfae…
05-11 09:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68f3a0…
05-11 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x54fef1…
05-11 09:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbe2d4e…
05-11 09:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f554e…
05-11 09:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0b4079…