Deep-Nonbeliever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-13 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

99% 20% $-2

Crypto

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+222	$2	0¢	$1	$-1	06-06 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba bos lal 2026 02 22	3	$2.3K	4,286	0	+4,286	open	—	02-23 01:39
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	6	$1.0K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	02-05 14:15
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	02-22 09:08
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	06-06 07:41
nba den gsw 2026 02 22	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	02-22 04:35
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-06 07:42
nhl cbj car 2026 04 02	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-01 08:26
nba chi phi 2026 03 25	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-25 11:41
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	222	0	+222	open	—	06-06 07:43
btc updown 5m 1770889800	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	02-12 09:53
nba phi hou 2026 04 09	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 05:25
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-31 04:39
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 05:26
mlb phi nyy 2026 03 22	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-22 10:42
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 05:25
nba mia cle 2026 03 25	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 11:41
nhl buf pit 2026 03 05	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-05 04:12
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$2	71	0	+71	open	—	02-22 04:33
nba sas den 2026 04 04	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 10:19
mlb atl min 2026 03 22	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-22 10:42
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-11 05:03
mlb stl hou 2026 03 22	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-22 10:41
mlb bos pit 2026 03 22	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-22 10:42
nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 05:25
nhl utah phi 2026 03 05	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-05 04:12
nba was uta 2026 03 25	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 11:41
nba det phi 2026 04 04	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 10:20
dota2 bb4 xtreme 2026 02 25	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	02-25 13:23
nba chi dal 2026 04 12	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-11 05:03
nba den sas 2026 04 12	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-11 05:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 06:03:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 19	Knicks	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x752ed6…
06-13 06:02:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 16	Spurs	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe3d01b…
06-13 06:02:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc0ad9a…
06-06 07:43:55	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x3e3277…
06-06 07:43:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa53ad7…
06-06 07:42:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2571a5…
06-06 07:41:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x03086f…
05-31 04:42:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xecb46f…
05-31 04:42:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8e0eb8…
05-31 04:39:07	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3a03a8…
05-12 12:01:24	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x33fa3a…
05-12 12:01:04	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfcd6b6…
05-06 14:32:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8c200a…
05-06 14:32:32	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf03019…
05-06 14:32:23	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe97f31…
05-06 14:32:13	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd606d9…
04-26 13:39:34	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe333b1…
04-26 13:39:20	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc6d05e…
04-26 13:39:06	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1d54c8…
04-26 13:38:58	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x26d41a…
04-26 13:38:46	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4b5ddb…
04-26 13:38:32	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0b00de…
04-26 13:34:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x25fe89…
04-22 11:46:58	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Raptors	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2c938f…
04-22 11:46:46	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9be2f2…
04-22 11:46:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x31b304…
04-22 11:46:18	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcbb5d6…
04-22 11:46:00	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x613b3f…
04-22 11:45:14	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x37e7ca…
04-22 11:44:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x378414…
04-20 03:58:48	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5643d7…
04-20 03:58:36	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5e9b9f…
04-20 03:58:22	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Raptors	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdb7434…
04-20 03:58:14	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Hawks	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1fdb6c…
04-20 03:58:02	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f7db9…
04-20 03:57:52	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x944208…
04-20 03:57:42	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x421777…
04-11 05:04:13	nba cha nyk 2026 04 12	Knicks	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xcfbcb8…
04-11 05:03:59	nba chi dal 2026 04 12	Bulls	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdc914d…
04-11 05:03:39	nba phx okc 2026 04 12	Thunder	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xffd46e…
04-11 05:03:29	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Spurs	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb24b2f…
04-11 05:03:17	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x34808d…
04-09 05:26:05	nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	Lakers	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaf8699…
04-09 05:25:57	nba phi hou 2026 04 09	76ers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc2ed3e…
04-09 05:25:47	nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	Celtics	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x60eca6…
04-09 05:25:35	nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	Nets	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf02e72…
04-09 05:25:23	nba chi was 2026 04 09	Wizards	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf5928c…
04-09 05:25:03	nba mia tor 2026 04 09	Heat	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x976de5…
04-04 10:20:21	nba cha min 2026 04 05	Hornets	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1cfab1…
04-04 10:20:01	nba det phi 2026 04 04	76ers	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x578461…
04-04 10:19:53	nba was mia 2026 04 04	Wizards	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdef01d…
04-04 10:19:37	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x63aa23…
04-01 08:27:57	btc updown 5m 1775031900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x95482b…
04-01 08:27:29	btc updown 5m 1775031900	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc960a5…
04-01 08:27:03	nhl wpg dal 2026 04 02	Jets	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9db3ae…
04-01 08:26:51	nhl pit tb 2026 04 02	Penguins	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe92c7a…
04-01 08:26:41	nhl cbj car 2026 04 02	Blue Jackets	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x59651b…
04-01 08:26:27	nhl van col 2026 04 01	Canucks	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53beca…
04-01 08:26:15	nhl ana sj 2026 04 01	Ducks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6afd8b…
04-01 08:26:01	nhl stl lak 2026 04 01	Blues	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe27530…
03-28 05:17:41	nba chi mem 2026 03 28	Grizzlies	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x12e003…
03-28 05:17:27	nba phi cha 2026 03 28	76ers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a0eb3…
03-28 05:13:55	nba det min 2026 03 28	Pistons	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc5cdb5…
03-25 11:41:29	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Wizards	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa87ce1…
03-25 11:41:19	nba mia cle 2026 03 25	Heat	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3b6226…
03-25 11:41:07	nba chi phi 2026 03 25	Bulls	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe8c720…
03-25 11:40:57	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Hawks	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbac887…
03-22 10:43:13	mlb nym mia 2026 03 22	New York Mets	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x36564e…
03-22 10:42:55	mlb tb tor 2026 03 22	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4fbbf0…
03-22 10:42:35	mlb bos pit 2026 03 22	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x70d7b2…
03-22 10:42:17	mlb phi nyy 2026 03 22	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc0de6e…
03-22 10:42:01	mlb atl min 2026 03 22	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc4a90b…
03-22 10:41:49	mlb stl hou 2026 03 22	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa79891…
03-05 04:12:29	nhl utah phi 2026 03 05	Flyers	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9a6dc0…
03-05 04:12:19	nhl buf pit 2026 03 05	Sabres	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x27b62a…
02-25 13:23:58	dota2 bb4 xtreme 2026 02 25	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8c4c9c…
02-23 07:59:08	lol ktc t1a 2026 02 23	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x453d17…
02-23 01:39:04	nba bos lal 2026 02 22	Lakers	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb620b…
02-23 00:45:56	nba bos lal 2026 02 22	Lakers	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x488ffb…
02-22 09:50:44	nba bos lal 2026 02 22	Celtics	BUY	4,259	54¢	$2,300	0xd43873…
02-22 09:08:38	nba cle okc 2026 02 22	Thunder	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x4c94c3…
02-22 04:35:38	nba den gsw 2026 02 22	Warriors	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa11281…
02-22 04:33:20	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xf54420…
02-22 04:31:56	btc updown 5m 1771734600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x779909…
02-22 04:30:00	btc updown 5m 1771734300	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x48f8b7…
02-12 09:53:11	btc updown 5m 1770889800	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd55713…
02-05 14:15:19	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	725	59¢	$428	0x851517…
02-05 14:15:07	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x474322…
02-05 14:14:51	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xe6aa98…
02-05 14:14:51	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x647bbc…
02-05 14:14:47	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	436	59¢	$257	0x77eb26…
02-05 14:14:47	nba cha hou 2026 02 05	Rockets	BUY	519	59¢	$306	0x48d180…
01-30 15:17:54	cs2 ast10 nrg 2026 01 29	Astralis	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe7a425…