Ignorant-Abdomen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 100% +$1

Other

25% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$5.2K	2,989	2,989	+0	open	—	06-13 07:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$3.7K	1,909	2,292	-384	open	—	05-27 03:27
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,628	1,628	+0	open	—	05-19 13:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2.9K	1,481	1,481	+0	open	—	05-22 10:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$2.8K	0	2,843	-2,843	open	—	06-08 01:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,644	0	+2,644	open	—	05-27 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,675	0	+1,675	open	—	05-22 10:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$1.4K	1,839	0	+1,839	open	—	06-14 13:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	1	$1000	1,190	0	+1,190	open	—	06-13 07:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$734	428	428	+0	open	—	05-24 10:09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	2	$404	233	233	+0	open	—	05-22 05:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$174	97	97	+0	open	—	05-19 02:25
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	01-29 07:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$55	61	0	+61	open	—	01-29 07:26
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 06:29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	04-19 02:28
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 02:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$36	23	23	+0	open	—	05-17 02:34
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$1	04-19 02:28
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-20 08:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-15 03:29
will jonny clayton win the pdc world darts championship	1	$28	0	29	-29	open	—	01-01 13:42
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	05-13 07:16
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$22	0	23	-23	open	—	01-01 13:42
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	1	$21	32	0	+32	open	—	02-06 13:05
will vitality win iem rio 2026	1	$21	28	0	+28	open	—	04-19 02:29
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-15 03:29
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-13 07:16
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-09 11:18
us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-20 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:13:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	172	72¢	$124	0xdc306b…
06-13 11:36:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1,667	78¢	$1,300	0x16eee7…
06-13 07:26:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x031bba…
06-13 07:25:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,989	81¢	$2,424	0xfd287b…
06-09 11:39:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4f046f…
06-09 11:38:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x3fe2bf…
06-08 01:15:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xa33c11…
06-08 01:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,989	94¢	$2,810	0x912659…
06-08 01:14:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,843	100¢	$2,835	0xe14098…
05-27 03:27:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,173	75¢	$1,630	0x35f41d…
05-27 03:27:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,676	99¢	$1,666	0x843c23…
05-25 12:30:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	471	68¢	$320	0x209d9b…
05-25 12:30:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,676	91¢	$1,521	0x1b85ec…
05-24 10:09:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	428	87¢	$372	0xd86f37…
05-24 09:58:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	616	75¢	$462	0x22e8e7…
05-24 01:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xcc330b…
05-24 01:29:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	415	84¢	$350	0x12a2bb…
05-22 10:07:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x0c14e6…
05-22 10:05:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,675	96¢	$1,610	0xe9123d…
05-22 10:04:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,481	97¢	$1,444	0x075de7…
05-22 05:05:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	SELL	233	88¢	$204	0x82aeeb…
05-19 13:55:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,481	96¢	$1,420	0x99b3d1…
05-19 13:54:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x639355…
05-19 13:54:18	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1,628	99¢	$1,620	0x018e94…
05-19 02:25:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,628	99¢	$1,620	0x335a2c…
05-19 02:25:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	97	91¢	$88	0x2e5e32…
05-17 02:37:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xbdfecd…
05-17 02:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x22a641…
05-13 07:16:32	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd0f452…
05-13 07:16:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0xe5cae1…
05-11 05:26:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0xef10f3…
05-11 05:24:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xad6819…
05-04 02:00:04	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xec7ebd…
04-29 06:36:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xee1344…
04-29 06:29:14	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x49a345…
04-19 02:29:00	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x35d3b5…
04-19 02:28:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x3f8665…
04-19 02:28:28	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x63dd69…
04-19 02:28:14	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x59341e…
04-10 01:14:19	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xae5d4b…
04-03 02:17:23	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xb3d296…
03-30 02:14:28	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x190fe4…
03-30 02:13:24	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb84c53…
03-25 08:09:43	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2e06a3…
03-15 03:29:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x317e23…
03-15 03:29:17	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3218e8…
03-08 03:10:53	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$17	0x04ce6a…
03-08 03:08:57	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x0a478d…
02-27 03:22:00	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa3e3c3…
02-27 03:20:22	highest temperature in wellington on february 27 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x718500…
02-20 08:25:02	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x66c32d…
02-20 08:24:44	us forces seize another oil tanker by february 21 2026	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xf33bf0…
02-20 08:24:16	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0adff2…
02-09 11:18:29	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x744d3b…
02-06 13:06:33	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x60aaf3…
02-06 13:05:41	will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	No	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x8171dd…
01-29 07:26:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0x26cc2d…
01-29 07:26:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0xf7d085…
01-05 11:35:29	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$30	0x9f8b74…
01-01 13:42:35	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xe62680…
01-01 13:42:23	will jonny clayton win the pdc world darts championship	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xb8a1c5…