Showy-Ceiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-12 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$0

Politics

10% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	04-12 11:47
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	04-11 10:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	04-10 14:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$34	35	+35	open	—	04-09 07:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	04-07 13:16
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	04-03 12:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	04-01 13:15
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-31 12:30
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-30 08:26
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-29 09:03
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-28 07:15
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-26 00:46
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-25 11:15
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-24 12:11
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-23 08:50
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-22 14:34
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-21 14:25
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-20 14:09
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	03-19 14:16
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$33	33	+33	open	—	03-11 10:03
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$33	33	+33	open	—	03-03 08:01
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	02-22 03:15
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$29	30	+30	open	—	02-18 15:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	02-28 16:19
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	03-12 16:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	03-16 10:18
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	03-18 02:35
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	03-01 15:18
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	03-17 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:01:22	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc44bb7…
06-11 05:51:04	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a35b1…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd40fa5…
06-04 13:34:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5623d2…
05-27 13:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe5228d…
05-22 13:08:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf82d4e…
05-21 10:09:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc20b7d…
05-20 13:57:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaeb4f9…
05-14 10:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x51b4be…
05-11 12:37:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4882b…
05-10 13:35:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x77d82c…
05-07 15:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcc4c12…
05-07 14:00:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b6339…
05-05 14:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x5d6992…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x678ba0…
05-02 14:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ec905…
04-29 15:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69fd73…
04-27 12:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa9d4ea…
04-23 09:33:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e0544…
04-22 13:31:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x91e557…
04-21 10:44:14	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x040f7e…
04-20 14:16:28	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5187b5…
04-19 12:49:36	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97f43e…
04-18 14:07:54	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe1d72…
04-16 12:47:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9fbcf…
04-15 08:24:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x735a2d…
04-14 17:45:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2e3d09…
04-14 17:45:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc9c0cf…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbadaa5…
04-13 13:02:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4be3d3…
04-12 11:47:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4f1317…
04-11 10:34:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7b6652…
04-10 14:37:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbc66ff…
04-09 07:42:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xfb1fb5…
04-07 13:16:13	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7e26d6…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x16ce4d…
04-03 12:41:03	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5cf75f…
04-01 13:15:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x444b64…
03-31 12:30:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc3c37d…
03-30 08:26:18	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5071c4…
03-29 09:03:00	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4440f6…
03-28 07:15:19	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x18db16…
03-26 00:46:57	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x70a2f2…
03-25 11:15:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x249720…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:50:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa1466c…
03-22 14:34:05	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x67cd7d…
03-21 14:25:23	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x61340d…
03-20 14:09:11	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc2420b…
03-19 14:16:47	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe56db4…
03-18 02:35:09	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x25c37d…
03-17 09:56:29	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf0adce…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6a4173…
03-15 17:54:15	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe076c6…
03-12 16:32:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa129fc…
03-11 10:03:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb9092d…
03-03 08:01:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x42eeea…
03-01 15:18:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x92c8fa…
02-28 16:19:31	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2937c2…
02-22 03:15:10	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbafd1…
02-18 15:13:10	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc9097d…
02-16 01:46:37	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	680	0¢	$1	0xc3806c…
02-16 01:34:05	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xdf0c0f…
02-16 00:48:53	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,820	0¢	$4	0x2e04d5…
02-15 07:30:35	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,171	0¢	$2	0xe8c1ee…
02-15 07:25:41	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xf167ec…
02-15 07:24:29	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x6aa3fd…
02-15 07:24:19	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,795	0¢	$4	0x5b2070…
02-10 09:39:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	539	0¢	$2	0x3b63fa…
02-09 17:48:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	539	0¢	$2	0xcc5fc3…