Flawed-Want — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$214

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-09 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 50% $-2

Other

15% — —

Tech

5% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$93	122	122	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$40	66	10	+56	Up	$-20	05-09 12:46
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$33	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	04-25 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 12:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	$-10	05-09 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-09 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x7c914a…
05-09 12:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6e07ca…
05-09 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x831eb0…
05-09 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7349ba…
05-09 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xc2d6f6…
05-09 12:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xfbca41…
05-09 12:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd5132e…
05-09 12:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	96	29¢	$28	0xd6bd0a…
05-09 12:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x504235…
05-09 12:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc47fd0…
05-09 12:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xde8763…
04-25 19:47:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf94407…
04-25 19:47:16	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	11,000	0¢	$11	0x24f145…
04-25 08:01:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$22	0x6a470e…