Jolly-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-20 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$1

Other

31% 0% $-1

Politics

15% — —

Pop-Culture

9% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-07 14:41
btc updown 5m 1776969900	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 18:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 13:52
Will Billie Eilish attend the Met Gala?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	$-2	04-23 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:33
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 13?	1	$1	13	0	+13	No	$-1	05-13 16:43
Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 14:51
btc updown 5m 1776971100	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 14:11
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 16:38
btc updown 5m 1776970800	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 19:02
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$0	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 14:51:11	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d41a6…
05-13 16:43:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x486521…
05-13 16:38:59	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9754d0…
05-13 16:31:09	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0a0e77…
05-07 14:55:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ce21e…
05-07 14:41:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x398484…
05-05 14:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x8eae7d…
05-05 14:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe58c32…
05-05 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad4860…
05-04 16:09:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x04780e…
04-29 13:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x753e78…
04-23 19:12:30	Will Billie Eilish attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f7cf9…
04-23 19:07:12	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e6330…
04-23 19:02:54	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x896995…
04-23 18:46:34	btc updown 5m 1776969900	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0c3689…