Black-Numismatist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$124

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-20 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 0% $-1

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

3% 33% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+40	$30	86¢	$34	+$4	05-29 22:12
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		-2	$0	6¢	$-0	$-1	06-20 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$42	60	2	+57	open	—	04-18 13:54
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	3	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	05-29 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 13:51
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	3	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-24 18:26
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-12 18:40
will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$7	34	34	+0	open	—	04-12 22:41
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 17:06
will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	3	$2	16	16	+0	open	—	04-12 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 16:23
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-20 09:10
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$2	4	6	-2	open	—	06-20 09:10
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-05 16:12
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-15 15:38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$1	5	0	+5	Sean Strickland	+$4	05-09 17:39
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	05-09 17:38
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-12 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 16:17
will luke littler win the pdc world darts championship	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	01-03 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 09:10:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xdfc04f…
06-20 09:10:19	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Under	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x9c458f…
06-20 09:08:32	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa5de20…
05-29 22:12:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfce782…
05-29 21:32:06	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x5d4040…
05-29 20:32:40	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf8c137…
05-29 17:53:09	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8c00c…
05-24 18:26:48	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x777cbd…
05-18 18:08:35	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xf63850…
05-16 12:02:25	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x44ee75…
05-09 17:39:13	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ad43e…
05-09 17:38:45	Will the fight be won by submission?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f564b…
05-05 16:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd6fdf2…
05-05 16:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8f6f92…
05-05 16:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb826e…
05-05 16:12:52	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x900403…
05-05 16:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x029731…
05-03 13:51:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5801c7…
04-18 13:54:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd30f36…
04-18 13:54:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x252024…
04-15 15:38:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2fc9c9…
04-12 22:41:29	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x742d41…
04-12 18:40:43	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xf6e6d0…
04-12 18:39:47	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xfbfd06…
04-12 17:06:39	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf32c98…
04-12 16:03:49	will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x53398d…
04-12 12:58:17	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x38e79f…
04-11 19:11:57	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x560b7b…
04-11 19:09:33	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb93b81…
04-09 18:45:47	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x65a14e…
04-09 18:45:37	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4546a5…
04-09 18:44:21	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x520a67…
04-03 09:58:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xf8c6af…
04-03 09:57:43	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x3aee82…
04-03 09:57:27	will fidesz kdnp win 70 84 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x06a3ec…
01-03 21:10:15	will luke littler win the pdc world darts championship	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe29366…