Gracious-Context — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$227

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-15 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 64% $-1

Other

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$35	33	29	+4	open	—	04-27 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$31	45	0	+45	open	—	04-27 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$18	20	9	+11	open	—	04-27 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$18	23	9	+14	open	—	04-27 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$11	13	13	+1	open	—	04-27 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-4	05-11 23:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	26	0	+26	open	—	05-11 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-11 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$4	11	2	+9	open	—	04-27 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$3	104	0	+104	open	—	04-25 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfa79b7…
05-15 07:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x9efa86…
05-15 07:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9b5a33…
05-15 07:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe6b977…
05-12 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbabeec…
05-12 04:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa783b0…
05-11 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x08c4ba…
05-11 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0d83e8…
05-11 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa4c85e…
05-11 23:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xec5c78…
05-11 23:33:18	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd7d80c…
05-11 23:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xf5f27f…
05-11 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4711fc…
05-11 23:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa797b4…
05-11 23:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x210da8…
05-11 23:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa31e82…
05-11 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x99010c…
05-11 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x42338f…
05-11 22:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcccfe1…
05-11 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x059f5a…
05-11 22:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xcbb26e…
05-11 22:36:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x658c32…
04-27 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a2dde…
04-27 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd58e6c…
04-27 09:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xedeb5c…
04-27 09:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x3d5725…
04-27 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x96d0da…
04-27 08:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x45919f…
04-27 08:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x87ce46…
04-27 08:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x9b8f4c…
04-27 08:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91b36f…
04-27 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa35da7…
04-27 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x763f56…
04-27 08:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xebcfcb…
04-27 08:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x639136…
04-27 08:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xec72fb…
04-27 08:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xabd89b…
04-27 08:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbccb4b…
04-27 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe06c9a…
04-27 08:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xff1313…
04-27 08:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0x363ecb…
04-27 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x4ba216…
04-27 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf2f17d…
04-27 08:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x4510eb…
04-27 08:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e4ca2…
04-27 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x703d01…
04-27 08:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x8bf41f…
04-27 08:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x810da7…
04-27 08:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x38ca50…
04-27 08:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5f61f9…
04-27 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd12288…
04-26 03:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa2008b…
04-26 03:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x641d44…
04-26 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc363f6…
04-25 04:33:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd20461…
04-25 04:23:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x54896b…
04-25 04:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3366d0…
04-25 04:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61c587…
04-25 04:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x18c3b1…
04-25 04:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa6cf15…
04-25 04:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeecfcc…
04-25 04:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d85b9…