Knotty-Dirndl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$9.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

43% 33% $-3

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$3.3K	2,118	2,118	+0	open	—	02-18 22:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$2.5K	2,695	2,695	+0	open	—	01-29 09:06
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$601	318	318	+0	open	—	03-24 08:08
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$574	290	290	+0	open	—	03-23 12:13
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	1	$264	310	0	+310	open	—	05-23 22:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$254	165	165	+0	open	—	04-16 06:37
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$198	154	154	+0	Yes	$-2	04-28 19:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$188	1,393	1,393	+0	open	—	02-12 13:32
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	03-11 12:03
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	2	$98	62	62	+0	open	—	04-22 19:24
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 draw	2	$97	172	172	+0	open	—	03-03 21:08
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$96	142	142	+0	open	—	02-26 13:37
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	2	$81	52	52	+0	open	—	04-28 19:45
hok ttg agsp 2026 03 04	2	$79	93	93	+0	open	—	03-04 08:14
btc updown 5m 1772482200	5	$67	806	305	+500	open	—	03-02 20:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$66	167	167	+0	open	—	03-24 10:18
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$58	500	500	+0	open	—	02-22 14:34
lal ovi gir 2026 01 31 ovi	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 14:39
will backpack launch a token on march 23	3	$50	518	518	+0	open	—	03-23 08:03
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	04-21 16:19
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$47	50	50	+0	open	—	02-01 15:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$45	308	183	+125	open	—	03-24 08:20
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$40	111	111	+0	open	—	03-10 22:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$39	67	67	+0	open	—	04-11 13:12
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	2	$38	54	53	+1	open	—	04-07 19:29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$35	119	0	+119	open	—	03-05 22:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$34	235	235	+0	open	—	03-23 12:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$34	50	50	+0	open	—	06-01 12:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$28	77	77	+0	open	—	01-31 13:06
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$23	41	41	+0	open	—	03-08 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:42:03	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x6ebfeb…
06-15 16:41:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$2	0xc0f55e…
06-13 17:28:37	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x4e31ed…
06-12 17:55:34	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x33e3fd…
06-01 12:12:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0x374c5c…
06-01 12:12:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x9674c3…
05-30 14:50:33	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xc63b8a…
05-30 14:50:23	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x28da34…
05-30 14:49:41	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x3fb303…
05-30 14:49:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x09aa1d…
05-30 14:48:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8c7a2…
05-30 14:48:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf70488…
05-29 08:32:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x56bf04…
05-28 20:56:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x33c47e…
05-23 22:34:19	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	310	85¢	$264	0x1ec14e…
05-06 12:00:54	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1f781c…
05-06 12:00:44	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2677a6…
05-06 12:00:22	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xa094b6…
05-06 12:00:10	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x92003e…
04-28 19:48:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x6e4409…
04-28 19:48:20	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x545bec…
04-28 19:48:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x28119f…
04-28 19:45:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x09a81c…
04-28 19:25:34	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	154	64¢	$98	0x296067…
04-28 19:23:58	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x079008…
04-28 19:20:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf68b64…
04-22 19:24:08	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	SELL	62	78¢	$48	0x34574d…
04-21 16:20:46	lal gir bet 2026 04 21 btts	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4f27ee…
04-21 16:20:14	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf9b998…
04-21 16:19:54	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf9dffd…
04-20 08:09:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x917bd3…
04-20 08:09:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xef2aba…
04-20 08:09:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xca54c6…
04-20 08:09:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x388493…
04-20 08:09:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf8254b…
04-20 08:09:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	No	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x377f56…
04-16 06:37:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xd20e13…
04-15 18:16:54	val gm navi1 2026 04 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf09c47…
04-14 10:53:07	val tyloo jdg 2026 04 14	TYLOO	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcac50…
04-14 10:52:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xc9c80f…
04-11 13:12:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xee06ac…
04-11 13:12:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	67	28¢	$19	0xdd2c3e…
04-11 13:12:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xaea000…
04-10 13:42:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x6df57f…
04-10 11:15:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x181aa3…
04-07 19:29:35	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0x3f9f3c…
04-07 14:37:01	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0b253e…
04-07 14:36:23	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd8c423…
03-26 20:04:23	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xd5aeb8…
03-24 10:18:19	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	14¢	$6	0x37156e…
03-24 08:37:37	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6aba18…
03-24 08:37:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6e3822…
03-24 08:20:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x145b03…
03-24 08:17:45	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x6ffbd3…
03-24 08:08:41	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0xd8db2c…
03-24 08:08:03	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	318	99¢	$315	0x046017…
03-23 12:13:53	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	318	90¢	$286	0x93ec3d…
03-23 12:13:35	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	290	99¢	$287	0xa0f108…
03-23 12:13:07	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x223186…
03-23 12:12:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa14e90…
03-23 12:09:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	183	8¢	$15	0x80aa2e…
03-23 12:09:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0x285999…
03-23 12:09:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	235	1¢	$3	0xef4a88…
03-23 12:09:05	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0xac1a60…
03-23 08:03:57	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	SELL	518	4¢	$20	0x6b8ebc…
03-22 18:43:39	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	345	6¢	$20	0x1f0ea1…
03-22 18:43:29	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0xee02f7…
03-21 19:58:35	cs2 prv ts7 2026 03 21	Spirit	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe8b465…
03-21 19:49:51	cs2 prv ts7 2026 03 21	Spirit	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x8194a9…
03-21 17:10:37	cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xe86dbc…
03-20 16:09:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x956eab…
03-20 15:04:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd2ca1e…
03-20 15:03:57	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xd5fe9c…
03-16 10:37:41	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0xa5047e…
03-16 10:21:39	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xda386e…
03-15 21:06:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x144128…
03-15 21:06:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x0b3610…
03-15 16:27:51	cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x98bed2…
03-15 15:00:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x288069…
03-14 16:12:59	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5f0379…
03-14 16:12:51	epl bur bou 2026 03 14 bou	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xa934f0…
03-11 12:04:17	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5b6f61…
03-11 12:04:05	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x42fbb1…
03-11 12:03:51	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6ab6b6…
03-11 12:03:41	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x37fcb1…
03-10 22:27:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x2436aa…
03-09 09:42:33	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x0045ff…
03-09 09:42:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	368	0¢	$1	0x4476a9…
03-09 09:41:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x2bd8dc…
03-08 13:01:55	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	41	32¢	$13	0xe257f5…
03-08 13:01:33	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	206	2¢	$5	0x4cd606…
03-08 12:59:39	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe62472…
03-05 22:49:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x854051…
03-05 14:19:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	201	15¢	$30	0x110629…
03-05 12:21:33	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xa6ae6b…
03-04 12:39:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb64952…
03-04 10:07:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x9d2cb0…
03-04 08:14:33	hok ttg agsp 2026 03 04	AG Super Play	SELL	93	42¢	$39	0xe704d2…
03-04 08:12:27	hok ttg agsp 2026 03 04	AG Super Play	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xb1c760…
03-03 21:08:19	epl wol liv 2026 03 03 draw	Yes	SELL	172	27¢	$47	0xa94adf…