Whispered-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-29 01:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-85

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes		-305	$-67	10¢	$-30	+$37	05-29 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	43	$1.8K	1,678	1,978	-300	open	—	04-29 23:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	27	$630	950	950	+0	open	—	05-01 03:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$510	1,382	1,382	+0	open	—	02-02 01:05
James Comey arrested by April 29?	16	$450	455	455	+0	open	—	04-29 00:38
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	8	$437	550	400	+150	Down	$-83	05-12 02:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	9	$422	300	300	+0	open	—	04-22 19:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	18	$399	407	407	+0	Down	$-2	05-04 05:42
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$389	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-23 16:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	7	$340	319	319	+0	open	—	04-29 22:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	6	$338	2,571	2,571	+0	open	—	05-05 23:20
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	3	$335	850	850	+0	open	—	01-15 01:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	6	$316	400	400	+0	open	—	04-27 17:36
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	10	$308	193	191	+2	open	—	04-27 15:10
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	6	$297	252	252	+0	open	—	04-24 15:56
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	14	$294	1,906	2,350	-444	open	—	04-27 16:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 03:56
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	20	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 07:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$196	387	387	+0	open	—	05-05 23:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$194	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	04-21 12:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	9	$190	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 14:39
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	4	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 21:39
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?	3	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 23:05
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 01:01
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	5	$124	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 22:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	11	$121	86	85	+1	open	—	04-20 21:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$112	146	146	+0	open	—	04-29 21:06
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	5	$108	339	0	+339	open	—	04-15 05:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	3	$105	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 22:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$84	240	240	+0	open	—	04-22 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x700866…
05-29 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x69412b…
05-29 01:51:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	305	22¢	$67	0xb0134e…
05-12 02:21:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	70	44¢	$31	0x65fd4a…
05-12 02:21:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x095140…
05-12 02:14:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	270	46¢	$124	0x579342…
05-12 02:10:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0xa466f0…
05-12 02:10:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x16d910…
05-12 01:26:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	130	48¢	$62	0x219639…
05-12 01:16:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xc516bb…
05-12 01:16:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0x64a2d3…
05-05 23:20:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	638	6¢	$38	0xa7a810…
05-05 23:20:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	249	25¢	$62	0xe5c08d…
05-05 23:19:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	138	26¢	$36	0x467a54…
05-05 23:19:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	327	7¢	$23	0x3923cd…
05-05 02:46:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	25¢	$84	0xb8ea76…
05-05 02:07:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	964	6¢	$58	0x931720…
05-05 01:55:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	643	6¢	$39	0x9e4a5e…
05-04 14:09:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x98a48b…
05-04 14:08:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xb91cb6…
05-04 14:07:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,143	7¢	$80	0xd46509…
05-04 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x21703a…
05-04 05:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd0d076…
05-04 05:42:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	207	33¢	$68	0xe4968c…
05-04 05:26:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x70668c…
05-04 05:21:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x58bc79…
05-04 05:11:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	175	65¢	$114	0xa2ecbe…
05-04 04:56:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcc14e7…
05-04 04:56:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x30f60d…
05-04 04:55:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x73d782…
05-04 04:41:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	90	64¢	$58	0x1a9e77…
05-04 04:40:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x6297e8…
05-04 04:40:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x6297e8…
05-04 04:39:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xef9e64…
05-04 04:36:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdcbacb…
05-04 04:29:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x294e14…
05-04 04:08:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0108b…
05-04 04:05:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xeb1d80…
05-04 04:05:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xeb6422…
05-04 04:04:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdaf943…
05-04 04:00:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xa454ba…
05-03 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb5af6…
05-03 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0e8efa…
05-03 15:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfa5aa2…
05-01 05:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc25ad0…
05-01 05:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x291da3…
05-01 05:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x47974d…
05-01 03:45:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x2830cc…
05-01 02:45:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	243	23¢	$56	0x1d9977…
05-01 01:37:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	196	25¢	$49	0xd62db2…
05-01 01:36:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5658e2…
05-01 01:35:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x22810d…
05-01 01:16:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x83457e…
05-01 01:15:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0xa8ee27…
05-01 01:14:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8eb4f2…
05-01 01:14:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x1b0cbc…
05-01 01:13:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5447aa…
05-01 01:13:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x343c8a…
05-01 01:13:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x830c37…
05-01 01:13:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x31a68f…
05-01 01:12:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x2bdb8c…
05-01 01:12:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x72eae3…
05-01 01:12:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa2b42d…
05-01 01:12:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x478a22…
05-01 01:11:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa91a41…
05-01 01:11:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3ae2e7…
05-01 00:18:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x5d14a4…
05-01 00:17:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x22d06f…
05-01 00:17:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	145	33¢	$48	0xd91316…
05-01 00:09:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	305	33¢	$101	0x141c6d…
05-01 00:02:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	105	34¢	$36	0xc4e0dd…
05-01 00:02:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	95	66¢	$62	0xc4e0dd…
04-30 23:58:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xc6645a…
04-30 23:58:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x5834ba…
04-30 23:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xfee824…
04-30 23:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb6fbc9…
04-30 00:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xd31876…
04-30 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x7d2775…
04-30 00:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0x598e33…
04-30 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd07d7f…
04-29 23:45:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	190	46¢	$87	0xe10b8d…
04-29 23:44:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x19868f…
04-29 23:42:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x0473dc…
04-29 23:41:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	170	53¢	$90	0x48f9b7…
04-29 23:40:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xc1065d…
04-29 23:36:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0xf0da9e…
04-29 23:35:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xecd046…
04-29 23:34:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa4b60a…
04-29 23:34:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xe1f76b…
04-29 23:33:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x193ff2…
04-29 23:32:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xd65d9e…
04-29 23:32:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x23facd…
04-29 23:30:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x3f8f66…
04-29 23:25:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	191	47¢	$90	0x366dad…
04-29 23:23:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x35bebd…
04-29 23:22:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0x18bca0…
04-29 23:22:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8fc70c…
04-29 23:22:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x55636d…
04-29 23:21:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xcbbc1a…
04-29 23:21:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xacf66e…