Reflecting-Government — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

152

Trades

774

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-26 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% +$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$849	866	+866	Down	+$16	05-07 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$166	171	+171	Up	+$4	05-07 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$164	173	+173	open	—	04-30 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$132	134	+134	Up	+$1	05-05 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$121	127	+127	Up	+$6	05-06 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$116	130	+130	Down	+$14	05-07 01:18
btc updown 5m 1775877600	1	$114	270	+270	open	—	04-11 03:22
btc updown 5m 1775841000	1	$88	126	+126	open	—	04-10 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$88	89	+89	Up	$-88	05-08 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$86	87	+87	Down	+$1	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$86	87	+87	Down	+$1	05-07 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$86	89	+89	Up	+$3	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$86	87	+87	Up	+$1	05-07 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$86	98	+98	Down	+$13	05-07 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$85	87	+87	Down	+$2	05-07 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$85	88	+88	Up	+$3	05-07 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$85	87	+87	Down	+$2	05-07 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$85	86	+86	Down	+$1	05-07 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$85	87	+87	Up	+$2	05-06 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$83	84	+84	Up	+$1	05-07 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$83	83	+83	Up	+$1	05-07 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$82	84	+84	Up	+$2	05-07 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$82	84	+84	Down	+$2	05-07 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$82	83	+83	Down	+$1	05-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	25	$82	83	+83	Up	+$1	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$82	83	+83	Down	+$1	05-07 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$81	87	+87	Up	+$6	05-07 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$80	81	+81	Down	+$1	05-06 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$80	80	+80	Up	+$1	05-06 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$80	80	+80	Up	+$1	05-06 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 19:53:47	btc updown 5m 1782503400	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xf5cfce…
06-26 19:53:28	btc updown 5m 1782503400	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xb36a11…
06-17 19:43:59	btc updown 5m 1781725200	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x452274…
06-17 18:33:58	btc updown 5m 1781721000	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc72697…
06-17 14:44:28	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeeef63…
06-17 14:44:28	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd8e834…
06-17 14:09:46	btc updown 5m 1781705100	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x95ae0f…
06-15 18:09:36	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb45dae…
06-14 23:34:21	btc updown 5m 1781479800	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe5a599…
06-10 15:04:19	btc updown 5m 1781103600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa677db…
06-09 15:39:54	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaefb45…
06-08 15:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x6fe432…
06-08 13:39:18	btc updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa5a825…
06-07 23:49:39	btc updown 5m 1780875900	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfa920a…
06-07 22:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780871700	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8a23ff…
06-07 22:34:21	btc updown 5m 1780871400	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xafbc92…
06-07 12:19:34	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x35bbd3…
06-07 09:23:57	btc updown 5m 1780824000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa90213…
06-07 06:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780812900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x131fcc…
06-07 02:09:12	btc updown 5m 1780797900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a7ef6…
06-07 00:34:15	btc updown 5m 1780792200	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc1bc93…
06-06 23:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780788900	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf762d9…
06-06 22:39:09	btc updown 5m 1780785300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x625004…
06-06 20:34:10	btc updown 5m 1780777800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeba9cf…
06-06 18:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9437eb…
06-06 17:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x185cef…
06-06 16:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780761600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac516b…
06-06 10:34:07	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x496c0d…
06-06 06:49:12	btc updown 5m 1780728300	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2337ec…
06-06 06:39:16	btc updown 5m 1780727700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x269783…
06-06 06:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780726500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13917e…
06-06 05:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780724100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d5fac…
06-06 05:34:12	btc updown 5m 1780723800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x410b93…
06-06 05:14:30	btc updown 5m 1780722600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf02189…
06-06 05:09:16	btc updown 5m 1780722300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7afd8f…
06-06 04:48:54	btc updown 5m 1780721100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fe25e…
06-06 04:44:07	btc updown 5m 1780720800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x28133e…
06-06 04:38:54	btc updown 5m 1780720500	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaa2ce8…
06-06 04:29:09	btc updown 5m 1780719900	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd372bb…
06-06 03:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780715400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x625aee…
06-05 23:24:07	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56368c…
06-05 23:19:07	btc updown 5m 1780701300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8e42e6…
06-05 22:34:09	btc updown 5m 1780698600	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc8df8d…
06-05 22:19:22	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x26e7c6…
06-05 19:43:55	btc updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f9d73…
06-05 19:04:07	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7d1c0d…
06-05 18:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaaa3fb…
06-05 18:38:51	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3ce094…
06-05 18:29:13	btc updown 5m 1780683900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf15d06…
06-05 17:53:52	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e7f07…
06-05 17:33:57	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee955d…
06-05 16:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780677600	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x14e3a3…
06-05 16:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7afb2a…
06-05 16:19:12	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x85254d…
06-05 16:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b64a5…
06-05 15:59:27	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90fc93…
06-05 15:24:19	btc updown 5m 1780672800	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa94ddc…
06-05 15:09:15	btc updown 5m 1780671900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4785b8…
06-05 15:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780671600	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3604fc…
06-05 14:49:09	btc updown 5m 1780670700	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x605832…
06-05 14:39:18	btc updown 5m 1780670100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6cba83…
06-05 13:54:25	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8cafb…
06-05 13:19:13	btc updown 5m 1780665300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe01163…
06-05 13:14:28	btc updown 5m 1780665000	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb4348b…
06-05 12:18:52	btc updown 5m 1780661700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xabdee6…
06-05 10:14:06	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc9c33f…
06-05 08:38:52	btc updown 5m 1780648500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa70c4b…
06-05 07:09:07	btc updown 5m 1780643100	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5b08e4…
06-05 06:49:09	btc updown 5m 1780641900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x096739…
06-05 06:39:13	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x09aee4…
06-05 05:29:19	btc updown 5m 1780637100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dd7db…
06-05 05:03:52	btc updown 5m 1780635600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68734b…
06-05 02:28:58	btc updown 5m 1780626300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb59f6…
06-05 02:24:07	btc updown 5m 1780626000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd74954…
06-05 01:39:09	btc updown 5m 1780623300	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbda641…
06-05 01:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780622400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3e02dd…
06-04 22:39:01	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5696d8…
06-04 22:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780611300	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x77abec…
06-04 21:58:57	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ba38e…
06-04 19:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780600200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xed14b8…
06-04 18:03:52	btc updown 5m 1780596000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7aa7f4…
06-04 14:59:09	btc updown 5m 1780584900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c16c5…
06-04 14:48:58	btc updown 5m 1780584300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ea11d…
06-04 14:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeff5ea…
06-04 13:09:09	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x56091a…
06-04 12:04:12	btc updown 5m 1780574400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7519d…
06-04 11:43:54	btc updown 5m 1780573200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19b383…
06-04 11:34:03	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1f09f8…
06-04 10:34:00	btc updown 5m 1780569000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09fa23…
06-04 09:49:18	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5e0e5…
06-04 09:28:52	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc81a2d…
06-04 09:09:10	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb44387…
06-04 08:54:07	btc updown 5m 1780563000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa08b89…
06-04 08:43:52	btc updown 5m 1780562400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca3252…
06-04 08:24:09	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7432de…
06-04 08:13:57	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0e0b4d…
06-04 07:39:27	btc updown 5m 1780558500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4e1f6…
06-04 05:48:54	btc updown 5m 1780551900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd81f7c…
06-04 02:29:10	btc updown 5m 1780539900	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf830dd…
06-04 02:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780539300	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8ca358…