Plain-Shaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$243

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-29 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-2

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$2.0K	981	981	+0	open	—	03-24 13:13
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.3K	635	635	+0	open	—	02-13 19:17
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.2K	593	593	+0	open	—	04-18 06:13
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$686	344	344	+0	open	—	03-19 13:08
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$676	338	338	+0	open	—	03-14 13:03
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$656	329	329	+0	No	$-0	03-27 20:50
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$650	326	326	+0	open	—	03-22 10:40
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$650	325	325	+0	open	—	02-11 23:04
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	2	$630	315	315	+0	open	—	03-02 21:59
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$629	316	316	+0	No	$-1	03-25 21:15
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$626	314	314	+0	open	—	04-12 12:47
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	04-03 02:22
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$606	304	304	+0	open	—	03-30 23:38
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$600	300	300	+0	open	—	04-05 18:42
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$594	298	298	+0	open	—	03-31 04:04
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$590	296	296	+0	open	—	03-13 23:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$584	293	293	+0	open	—	04-16 10:29
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$583	292	292	+0	open	—	02-26 22:18
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$570	286	286	+0	No	$-0	04-06 15:37
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$568	284	284	+0	open	—	03-18 16:53
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$558	280	280	+0	open	—	04-17 07:28
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$556	279	279	+0	open	—	02-10 08:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$556	279	279	+0	open	—	04-05 13:52
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$548	275	275	+0	open	—	04-13 22:01
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$546	273	273	+0	open	—	02-12 22:54
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$540	271	271	+0	open	—	04-14 11:58
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$530	265	265	+0	open	—	03-12 02:50
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$520	261	261	+0	No	$-0	04-08 22:01
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	03-21 05:57
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$514	259	259	+0	open	—	03-28 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 14:57:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8e49be…
04-18 06:13:32	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0xaa5f4f…
04-18 02:04:44	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0xe4abec…
04-18 02:04:26	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xe77e67…
04-17 23:28:16	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x5b6522…
04-17 07:28:28	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x280361…
04-17 04:02:24	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x758f8b…
04-16 10:29:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0x0243d3…
04-16 05:01:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0x089aa0…
04-16 03:12:28	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	335	100¢	$335	0x2d9824…
04-15 20:39:16	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0xc4eeb2…
04-14 11:58:17	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x90f88d…
04-14 10:22:31	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x7af8f5…
04-13 22:01:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x2960c8…
04-13 08:28:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xeeadc6…
04-13 05:47:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0xa38c35…
04-13 03:53:57	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0xb2062d…
04-12 12:47:37	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	314	99¢	$313	0x3b0254…
04-12 06:41:43	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x706966…
04-08 22:01:37	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0xabbec7…
04-08 19:53:55	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x5cbb31…
04-07 14:16:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x134404…
04-07 12:49:25	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xe28462…
04-06 15:37:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0x6ca6fd…
04-06 10:53:31	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x1cf047…
04-05 18:42:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xba28f7…
04-05 15:06:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x049168…
04-05 13:52:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0xa26181…
04-05 11:22:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x9521c4…
04-03 02:22:07	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x48769c…
04-02 19:42:21	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x942fea…
03-31 21:24:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xb755b5…
03-31 13:24:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x11d57c…
03-31 13:24:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5465ef…
03-31 09:08:29	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d7943…
03-31 04:04:09	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0xcda824…
03-30 23:38:39	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x0a9030…
03-30 23:38:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x029ba9…
03-30 19:23:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0x2fcce4…
03-30 15:01:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x14928e…
03-30 15:00:49	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x5546af…
03-30 09:50:14	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x5e4e8a…
03-29 12:34:00	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	251	100¢	$251	0xd1b47d…
03-29 08:19:28	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0xa7e151…
03-28 22:56:36	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$257	0xd9be5c…
03-28 22:36:12	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$258	0xab0c6b…
03-27 20:50:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	329	100¢	$328	0x462763…
03-27 17:31:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$328	0xed0b0d…
03-25 21:15:23	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	316	99¢	$314	0x668a48…
03-25 14:44:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x8b0e0d…
03-24 13:13:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	354	100¢	$354	0x2a0071…
03-24 06:47:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0x51f4cf…
03-22 10:40:41	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	326	100¢	$325	0xfd1e46…
03-22 04:26:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0xa3c5b8…
03-21 05:57:25	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0x89f499…
03-20 23:12:09	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0xaa59cc…
03-19 13:08:51	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0x7a74fd…
03-19 06:25:59	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0xa39d0b…
03-18 16:53:43	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	284	100¢	$284	0xda60e0…
03-18 10:06:37	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x35d4fa…
03-17 00:43:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0x121fa9…
03-16 18:05:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x726fef…
03-14 13:03:45	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$338	0x8ecb90…
03-14 06:23:33	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x5dc3fe…
03-13 23:45:47	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	296	100¢	$295	0x57f869…
03-13 17:07:37	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x0f921b…
03-13 10:12:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	324	99¢	$323	0xcf33c6…
03-12 17:47:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x22b694…
03-12 02:50:07	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0xd2a4cd…
03-11 17:56:51	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xc2e8bb…
03-10 21:37:43	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0xa397b1…
03-10 21:37:15	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xc964e0…
03-08 20:41:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x0eb0bb…
03-04 16:17:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x9dd102…
03-04 11:24:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x3c1c13…
03-03 23:37:13	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x56ac18…
03-03 23:36:43	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xe2a918…
03-03 13:07:01	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xc27c19…
03-03 13:06:29	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x68fb5c…
03-02 21:59:09	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	SELL	315	100¢	$315	0x491997…
03-02 07:43:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0xe699ff…
02-28 10:00:15	will bnb reach 800 in february	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x196e78…
02-28 09:59:55	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa69577…
02-28 09:59:33	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x44d97c…
02-28 09:59:19	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xc7ecda…
02-28 01:08:29	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xd5a432…
02-26 22:18:48	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x15f551…
02-26 16:10:10	nba min lac 2026 02 26	Timberwolves	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xf11c65…
02-26 09:15:20	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xc9f36b…
02-22 17:27:44	ethereum above 2300 on february 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0b2038…
02-22 02:23:28	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x5920f6…
02-16 00:28:31	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x84ad0b…
02-15 05:35:25	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x4759fb…
02-13 19:17:57	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	317	100¢	$317	0xcee012…
02-13 07:32:03	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$317	0xd6b8e0…
02-12 22:54:15	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0xf664dc…
02-12 15:13:09	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xae8c74…
02-11 23:04:41	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$325	0x41358f…
02-11 15:49:21	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0xeab772…
02-11 15:49:05	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	317	100¢	$317	0xd8a2eb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	48	$12.4K	8,743	04-27 02:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	41	$47.9K	778	04-27 23:42
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	37	$1.93K	1,952	04-12 06:28
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	35	$4.54M	65,267	04-28 09:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	35	$908.4K	56,317	04-09 19:50
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	35	$355.2K	6,770	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	35	$333.4K	4,856	04-28 05:36
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	35	$234.4K	3,572	03-11 02:30