Cold-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$511

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$132	148	148	+0	open	—	05-14 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$50	99	0	+99	open	—	05-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$12	11	6	+5	Down	+$5	05-13 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$8	19	15	+4	Down	+$2	05-13 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$6	27	0	+27	Up	$-6	05-13 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$3	05-13 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x891ee0…
05-14 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xb114b0…
05-14 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x046507…
05-14 20:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb328ba…
05-14 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf1d1ae…
05-14 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x87cb13…
05-14 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xac3354…
05-14 19:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1372cf…
05-14 19:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xda3d55…
05-14 19:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7d6903…
05-14 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xeb681c…
05-14 19:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x385711…
05-14 19:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x64b406…
05-14 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x052d6b…
05-14 18:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe7b47c…
05-14 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x783466…
05-14 18:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x926d15…
05-14 18:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x43988e…
05-14 18:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xde8412…
05-14 18:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2162a6…
05-14 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x13d532…
05-14 18:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x32ff71…
05-14 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xfde76c…
05-14 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xb11c5b…
05-14 18:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x84f9a4…
05-14 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x86a0bd…
05-14 18:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xf6229c…
05-14 18:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x71be8e…
05-14 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x628c90…
05-14 18:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xde126f…
05-14 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb5100d…
05-14 17:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba0fe2…
05-14 17:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3b9bf0…
05-14 17:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x908375…
05-14 17:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x468d98…
05-14 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc7233d…
05-14 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7fbf13…
05-14 17:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3ff9fc…
05-14 17:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x12c99d…
05-14 17:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x53f918…
05-14 17:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x32304c…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7e6f3e…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xce5b60…
05-14 17:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe8e9f7…
05-14 17:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd205a7…
05-14 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0xe18d83…
05-14 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	59	83¢	$49	0xc3ab14…
05-14 16:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x16ecd3…
05-14 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x838782…
05-14 16:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0x4ae226…
05-14 16:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0xf6d9f1…
05-14 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x91a9c7…
05-14 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0xe87fdf…
05-14 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0x322f3d…
05-13 22:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf7c07a…
05-13 21:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x0a00bf…
05-13 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5ded72…
05-13 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x581e96…
05-13 21:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf31c31…
05-13 20:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x35f9ee…
05-13 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x137486…
05-13 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6823d8…
05-13 19:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2df67d…
05-13 19:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x25081e…
05-13 19:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x0c261a…
05-13 19:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe3ed00…
05-13 18:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x78f36e…
05-13 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa99485…
05-13 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x360f23…
05-13 13:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf710f6…
05-13 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x58c79e…
05-13 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe23d68…
05-13 12:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6dc741…
05-13 12:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x663dc3…
05-13 12:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xca4a6c…
05-13 11:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x2b7122…
05-13 11:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x59f511…
05-13 11:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2e603b…
05-13 11:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x67ddd3…
05-13 10:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4f7f41…
05-13 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x42b851…
05-13 10:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7ec46f…
05-13 09:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x31f2ed…
05-13 09:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4d1181…
05-13 09:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x78b494…
05-13 09:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5b15be…
05-13 09:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x68b0a8…
05-13 09:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x741e5a…
05-13 09:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xc56aa7…
05-13 09:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x04f2eb…
05-13 08:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x1230ad…
05-13 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x48c60d…
05-13 07:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb9e8be…
05-13 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x99481e…
05-13 06:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8095ca…
05-13 06:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x97f3a1…
05-13 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xdc92e1…
05-13 06:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x24084b…
05-13 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa17aa1…
05-13 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc22aed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	69	$118.8K	10,178	05-14 21:03
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	69	$55.5K	2,094	05-14 21:05
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	69	$33.8K	4,379	05-14 21:04
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	69	$29.3K	5,401	05-14 21:04
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	69	$25.5K	1,280	05-14 21:03
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	69	$20.3K	4,093	05-14 21:04
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	69	$19.4K	2,694	05-14 21:04
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	69	$19.3K	3,064	05-14 21:04