Cylindrical-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-12 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 40% $-22

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$5

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$1.7K	2,494	2,494	+0	open	—	02-03 23:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	01-27 11:59
will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-03 23:07
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-05 12:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-21 04:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 01:49
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	3	$43	33	13	+20	open	—	02-05 12:01
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)	2	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	05-12 02:13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$23	13	12	+0	open	—	04-29 13:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 13:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-22 07:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 02:22
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 13:52
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-05 09:02
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	02-05 07:35
btc updown 15m 1770423300	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	02-07 00:25
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-05 07:35
will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-05 11:48
btc updown 15m 1770282000	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-05 09:03
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	2	$20	21	0	+21	Shandong Taishan FC	$-20	05-04 09:36
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-27 12:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-10 08:16
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	04-26 03:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	85	0	+85	No	$-10	04-26 03:53
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-02 05:42
bitcoin above 62k on february 24	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-24 01:01
will trump be said at the super bowl 199	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-07 00:21
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-21 04:53
bitcoin above 66k on february 24	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-24 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xa58db1…
05-05 12:00:02	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xf6d5b8…
05-04 09:38:20	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9bd593…
05-04 09:37:56	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)	Zhejiang Zhiye FC	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7fbe38…
05-04 09:37:40	Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x01b0bf…
05-04 09:37:24	Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xad475b…
05-04 09:36:06	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xecd704…
05-04 09:35:58	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5f9689…
05-02 05:42:16	Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7a0cae…
05-01 13:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc84578…
05-01 13:33:14	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x98fe2c…
04-29 13:52:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd60d4f…
04-29 13:52:14	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x389152…
04-29 01:07:16	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xf0ae59…
04-29 01:05:20	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x883ff6…
04-29 01:05:16	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x256a42…
04-26 03:53:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x131e03…
04-26 03:52:54	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3472ff…
04-24 02:22:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe422e8…
04-23 02:48:42	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd5ef6c…
04-23 02:48:34	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x94c378…
04-23 02:48:24	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x03b210…
04-23 02:35:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa1ba84…
04-22 07:57:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x3b8831…
04-22 07:48:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x97d5da…
04-22 01:50:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf46229…
04-22 01:49:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x81f9e7…
04-22 01:49:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xee0216…
04-13 09:30:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3793cb…
04-13 09:29:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x536a5e…
03-10 13:27:35	cs2 3dmax navi 2026 03 10	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x720ae5…
03-10 08:18:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2c366a…
03-10 08:16:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd030a9…
03-10 08:16:19	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe13b30…
02-24 01:02:24	bitcoin above 66k on february 24	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9947fd…
02-24 01:01:46	bitcoin above 62k on february 24	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x03a503…
02-23 03:02:10	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f18c5…
02-21 04:53:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2174ab…
02-21 04:53:40	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x69b09d…
02-07 00:25:17	btc updown 15m 1770423300	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd0996e…
02-07 00:21:55	will trump be said at the super bowl 199	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2d8865…
02-05 12:01:23	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x790ac0…
02-05 12:01:15	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbb7a9f…
02-05 11:51:03	will trump be said at the super bowl 199	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbaedd0…
02-05 11:48:29	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9f34d…
02-05 09:03:11	btc updown 15m 1770282000	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe27d92…
02-05 09:02:49	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x59554f…
02-05 07:35:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4cb9ab…
02-05 07:35:23	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x409d01…
02-05 05:41:21	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x2b3e75…
02-03 23:07:42	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xedc811…
02-03 23:04:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	357	100¢	$356	0xf0dd41…
01-31 01:32:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	357	96¢	$344	0xd43bbd…
01-30 22:40:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	953	13¢	$124	0xd78236…
01-29 09:19:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	249	57¢	$142	0x337d5c…
01-28 10:19:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6a947…
01-27 12:00:39	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7f4e3a…
01-27 12:00:03	us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x00432a…
01-27 11:59:17	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x38e766…
01-27 06:09:15	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	401	21¢	$84	0xa9ae5b…
01-26 07:24:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	534	23¢	$123	0x67f233…
01-26 07:09:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,886	23¢	$434	0x88e20a…
01-26 07:05:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	252	23¢	$58	0xf4214b…