Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-09-19

last 09-22 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 33% +$25

Other

26% — —

Politics

22% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes		+98	$10	20¢	$19	+$9	09-19 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	2	$17	1,756	1,756	+0	Yes	-$3	09-22 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$10	58	0	+58	Up	+$48	09-22 20:02
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$10	179	0	+179	open	—	09-19 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	53	0	+53	Down	-$10	09-22 20:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$10	98	0	+98	open	—	09-19 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	1	$5	28	0	+28	Up	-$5	09-21 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	09-19 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	-$5	09-22 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	09-19 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 20:41:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,756	0¢	$7	0xeeb362…
09-22 20:15:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,756	1¢	$10	0xcd6262…
09-22 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7bc5aa…
09-22 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf7a4dc…
09-22 20:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x373204…
09-22 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe4f0ba…
09-22 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc07779…
09-21 09:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x84b4b0…
09-19 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x182059…
09-19 01:05:46	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0xaed12e…
09-19 01:01:18	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xef8187…
09-19 00:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3b5a4a…