Hot-Overhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$723

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-11 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$30	20	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-14 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	05-14 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$13	18	0	+18	Up	$-13	05-14 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$13	17	8	+9	Down	$-3	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-14 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-14 02:39
btc updown 5m 1781191200	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-11 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	$-10	05-14 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-14 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-14 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-14 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$9	22	0	+22	Up	+$13	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$9	12	0	+12	Up	+$3	05-14 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-14 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-14 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Down	$-9	05-14 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	$-9	05-14 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-14 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-14 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-14 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:16:36	btc updown 5m 1781194500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xddbd7f…
06-11 16:04:49	btc updown 5m 1781193600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x351424…
06-11 15:50:39	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb91bd0…
06-11 15:37:16	btc updown 15m 1781191800	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf6ebd6…
06-11 15:35:34	btc updown 15m 1781191800	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x690e3f…
06-11 15:21:57	btc updown 5m 1781191200	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x4938d1…
06-11 15:21:28	btc updown 5m 1781191200	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe18b50…
05-16 21:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe1d36f…
05-16 21:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xaa21d2…
05-16 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd4b61d…
05-16 21:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1aff7b…
05-16 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe799b3…
05-16 20:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x24c5e6…
05-16 20:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa8efad…
05-16 20:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3cf2f6…
05-15 00:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x50cc32…
05-15 00:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3586a5…
05-15 00:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6ccf14…
05-15 00:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcd8a13…
05-14 23:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7aec36…
05-14 23:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4f93ae…
05-14 23:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9bc6f4…
05-14 23:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x01138f…
05-14 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x8fe2b0…
05-14 22:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf14971…
05-14 22:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa43e21…
05-14 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6b233b…
05-14 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xf679ed…
05-14 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b352d…
05-14 22:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x1290aa…
05-14 22:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x194df5…
05-14 22:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x474527…
05-14 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x63b2a1…
05-14 22:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xee00a1…
05-14 22:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa8e454…
05-14 21:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8263e4…
05-14 21:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfa016c…
05-14 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x647dc9…
05-14 21:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2e2314…
05-14 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x478115…
05-14 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x68f559…
05-14 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9c5f26…
05-14 20:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefc0d2…
05-14 20:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8aa3bc…
05-14 20:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5fa9be…
05-14 20:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3957bb…
05-14 07:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe097a6…
05-14 07:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3a4579…
05-14 05:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x44859b…
05-14 05:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2ae8a1…
05-14 05:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x297183…
05-14 05:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x257812…
05-14 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0xe349e0…
05-14 04:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xac8111…
05-14 04:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x590e89…
05-14 04:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x770cf4…
05-14 04:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7310e4…
05-14 04:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x63d0e4…
05-14 04:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x428c68…
05-14 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xaa4dee…
05-14 04:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xa19095…
05-14 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x51741f…
05-14 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xf4c6da…
05-14 03:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x748402…
05-14 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa6fb96…
05-14 03:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfe59de…
05-14 03:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x554153…
05-14 03:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd0631b…
05-14 03:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5f0c7e…
05-14 03:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4b5301…
05-14 03:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0007c2…
05-14 03:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x239d72…
05-14 03:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1f3ff0…
05-14 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x490377…
05-14 02:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5d5d6a…
05-14 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x21ce4e…
05-14 02:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfc5d15…
05-14 02:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe2a099…
05-14 02:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5cf1a9…
05-14 02:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x405cf1…
05-14 02:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf5d37c…
05-14 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x889230…
05-14 01:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x810b74…
05-14 01:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x762b42…
05-14 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd4e155…
05-14 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x559303…
05-14 01:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x8b6f4b…
05-13 10:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xbdaafb…
05-13 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x73d6ce…
05-13 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa06f2c…
05-13 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x0385ec…
05-13 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe5ee95…
05-13 09:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x269b62…
05-13 09:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x69293f…
05-13 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xbfc973…
05-13 08:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x7d9cf5…
05-13 07:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xc143e7…
05-13 07:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0d0996…
05-13 07:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x274255…
05-13 06:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa0b3a1…