Judicious-Subcontractor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-21 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

25% 0% $-109

Sports

12% 100% +$236

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes		-250	$-38	16¢	$-39	$-1	06-05 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$583	8,956	0	+8,956	open	—	01-31 09:13
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$103	294	294	+0	open	—	06-07 17:47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	06-21 12:57
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$90	3,640	0	+3,640	open	—	05-10 09:35
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$90	2,569	0	+2,569	open	—	05-10 09:29
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	3	$64	1,011	0	+1,011	Yes	$-64	05-05 17:05
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	1	$55	292	0	+292	Yes	+$236	05-09 20:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	05-10 09:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$45	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-03 19:45
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	1	$38	0	250	-250	open	—	06-05 09:18
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	1	$35	408	0	+408	Yes	$-35	05-05 17:04
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	1	$30	188	0	+188	open	—	05-08 20:37
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$23	221	0	+221	open	—	01-15 23:53
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$12	227	227	+0	open	—	01-31 09:12
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	05-03 19:46
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-15 23:27
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	05-03 19:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$10	77	0	+77	No	$-10	05-03 19:44
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$6	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-12 15:52
will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	2	$6	286	0	+286	open	—	01-10 13:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$5	139	139	+0	open	—	01-31 09:57
will 7 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	2	$4	102	102	+0	open	—	01-31 09:13
will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$4	13	13	+0	open	—	01-31 09:57
dota2 lynx navi 2026 01 10	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	01-10 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 12:57:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x7a346c…
06-07 17:47:04	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	294	18¢	$53	0x7f5149…
06-05 09:18:04	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0xd5a4f2…
06-04 16:36:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x070e05…
05-12 15:52:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$6	0x8d5e32…
05-10 09:35:02	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3,640	2¢	$90	0xb3a687…
05-10 09:31:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xd13512…
05-10 09:29:43	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	2,569	4¢	$90	0x898026…
05-09 20:18:49	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	292	19¢	$55	0xaaa153…
05-08 20:37:33	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xfaa815…
05-05 17:05:10	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	527	7¢	$35	0x7121bf…
05-05 17:04:30	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	408	9¢	$35	0xd980c4…
05-03 19:57:28	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x411469…
05-03 19:46:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x71be40…
05-03 19:45:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,167	3¢	$35	0x5e3dbb…
05-03 19:44:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x78aa4c…
05-03 19:41:50	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xc9bab4…
05-03 19:37:12	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0xcd0728…
05-03 19:31:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x9d4a4a…
04-15 23:27:58	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x03fac7…
01-31 09:57:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x08a81d…
01-31 09:57:22	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x7e4e3a…
01-31 09:13:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,242	1¢	$7	0xbfa60f…
01-31 09:13:02	will 7 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x9a6ae5…
01-31 09:12:06	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$2	0x3bcbdc…
01-31 01:36:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	651	5¢	$32	0x415f64…
01-31 01:35:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	779	5¢	$38	0xb96550…
01-31 01:10:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	3,977	3¢	$123	0x2ef6b3…
01-30 22:54:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	918	14¢	$128	0x97b658…
01-30 21:56:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	719	13¢	$93	0x1f5435…
01-25 18:52:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	486	24¢	$117	0x9190dd…
01-25 17:17:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	185	24¢	$44	0x5a677e…
01-15 23:53:26	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	213	9¢	$20	0xdfd83a…
01-10 13:18:16	will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	No	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x144f0e…
01-10 13:17:24	will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	No	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0xba26fb…
01-10 12:35:16	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x90cdc0…
01-10 12:32:58	dota2 lynx navi 2026 01 10	Team Lynx	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x835545…
01-10 12:25:40	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb80a5c…
01-10 12:23:38	will 7 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0xe92cc3…
01-10 12:14:34	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x8e892d…
01-10 12:05:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x0aaac2…