Probable-Pie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$457

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-30 05:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 50% $-3

Other

27% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	6	$6.5K	3,498	3,498	+0	open	—	03-20 20:33
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	5	$3.2K	1,654	1,654	+0	open	—	03-20 12:38
will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$3.1K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	03-20 13:08
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$341	1,824	1,822	+2	open	—	03-20 12:55
nba lal mia 2026 03 19 1h moneyline	2	$166	286	0	+286	open	—	03-19 14:46
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$150	904	904	+0	open	—	03-20 19:40
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	4	$142	1,873	1,873	+0	No	$-4	03-20 12:20
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$52	999	999	+0	No	+$0	03-20 08:55
nhl fla edm 2026 03 19 total 5pt5	2	$43	117	0	+117	open	—	03-19 11:46
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-30 05:11
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 05:11:13	Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)	EC Bahia	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x146d22…
05-14 06:15:48	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xa14fab…
03-20 20:33:43	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,789	93¢	$1,660	0x6811f5…
03-20 20:24:35	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	528	93¢	$491	0xb82fb7…
03-20 20:24:35	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,261	93¢	$1,173	0x2cc94b…
03-20 19:40:35	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	904	8¢	$72	0x2389fa…
03-20 19:33:53	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	904	9¢	$78	0xf0def7…
03-20 13:08:55	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0xfcd79b…
03-20 13:08:53	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,421	97¢	$1,376	0xea9710…
03-20 13:01:55	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,622	97¢	$1,568	0xb04fa9…
03-20 12:55:37	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,822	9¢	$171	0x8a5073…
03-20 12:45:53	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	1,824	9¢	$170	0x184de0…
03-20 12:38:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	672	97¢	$649	0x4f0927…
03-20 12:38:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	982	97¢	$949	0x16fba3…
03-20 12:28:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x832267…
03-20 12:28:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	906	96¢	$873	0x3450fa…
03-20 12:28:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	733	96¢	$707	0x0866d5…
03-20 12:20:09	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	460	4¢	$17	0xc7ae24…
03-20 12:20:09	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,384	4¢	$51	0x2e1f25…
03-20 12:20:09	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x116bf6…
03-20 12:13:13	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,873	4¢	$73	0xb060a2…
03-20 09:08:29	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,709	92¢	$1,574	0xb5937a…
03-20 09:02:25	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,327	91¢	$1,208	0x319602…
03-20 09:02:25	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	382	91¢	$348	0x1803a5…
03-20 08:55:27	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	999	3¢	$26	0xf229b0…
03-20 08:45:47	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	999	3¢	$26	0x383f71…
03-19 14:46:11	nba lal mia 2026 03 19 1h moneyline	Heat	BUY	182	58¢	$106	0xff0350…
03-19 14:46:11	nba lal mia 2026 03 19 1h moneyline	Heat	BUY	104	58¢	$60	0xb186c3…
03-19 11:46:25	nhl fla edm 2026 03 19 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	57	37¢	$21	0xd9ddc2…
03-19 11:46:25	nhl fla edm 2026 03 19 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x95d052…