Warm-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

184

Trades

4,181

lifetime

Volume

$542.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-22 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$861

Other

35% 99% +$157

Sports

12% 95% +$60

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	26	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Up	+$24	05-13 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	21	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Up	+$24	05-13 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	14	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Up	+$24	05-13 06:30
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,199	+1	open	—	04-25 14:55
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,199	+1	open	—	04-25 13:32
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,199	+1	open	—	04-25 15:25
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	1,200	1,198	+2	open	—	04-25 14:57
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	1,200	1,197	+3	open	—	04-25 13:58
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.3K	1,174	1,173	+1	open	—	04-25 15:25
Will SC Preußen Münster vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	1,200	1,197	+3	open	—	04-25 12:57
Will Karlsruher SC vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	1,200	1,197	+3	open	—	04-25 13:01
Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 01:14
Will Austin FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 02:33
Lightning vs. Canadiens	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 02:16
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 23:29
LG Sakers vs. Goyang	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 07:07
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-04-24?	2	$2.0K	996	995	+1	open	—	04-24 22:57
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 20:25
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 20:42
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 20:57
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 11:39
Golden Knights vs. Utah	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 03:46
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 20:55
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 22:56
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$1.9K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-26 00:10
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-25?	2	$1.9K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-25 21:54
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-24?	2	$1.9K	1,000	999	+1	open	—	04-24 23:55
Thunder vs. Suns	2	$1.9K	1,000	998	+2	open	—	04-25 21:41
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-25?	2	$1.9K	1,000	998	+2	open	—	04-26 00:12
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?	2	$1.9K	1,000	998	+2	open	—	04-26 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 06:17:18	eth updown 5m 1784700900	Up	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9275a1…
07-22 06:12:43	eth updown 5m 1784700600	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9f87c5…
07-20 17:32:10	btc updown 5m 1784568600	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8b1231…
07-20 00:04:13	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0xabad3b…
07-20 00:02:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x08e5f4…
07-19 22:44:06	mlb stl ari 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xd6a0a7…
07-19 21:58:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	103	89¢	$92	0xf41efc…
07-19 21:43:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xdd4781…
07-19 21:42:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd78d44…
07-19 21:32:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x9f09ff…
07-19 21:28:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xc8cd39…
07-19 21:26:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0x0dd324…
07-19 21:26:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xa4c2fb…
07-19 21:26:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfd65c9…
07-19 21:25:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeed226…
07-19 21:15:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xf8cce6…
07-19 21:14:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0xb28d8f…
07-19 21:12:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x37d101…
07-19 21:12:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x2c4173…
07-19 21:11:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5b8501…
07-19 21:09:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	SELL	160	6¢	$10	0xde5e7a…
07-19 21:09:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x8d4625…
07-19 21:08:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xa544dc…
07-19 21:08:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x86a844…
07-19 21:08:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xadbe02…
07-19 21:08:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x4cfc69…
07-19 21:08:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x14d559…
07-19 21:07:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xaf0299…
07-19 21:06:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x538dac…
07-19 21:05:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8a4c74…
07-19 21:05:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x74af01…
07-19 21:05:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xbec356…
07-19 21:04:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xde5262…
07-19 21:04:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7b2235…
07-19 21:03:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9711a8…
07-19 21:03:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe06c88…
07-19 21:03:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x65e079…
07-19 21:02:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x7beacc…
07-19 21:02:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x940a27…
07-19 21:02:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0b8a43…
07-19 21:01:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x271b53…
07-19 21:01:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0a9a37…
07-19 21:01:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x485b48…
07-19 21:01:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x5f3e4d…
07-19 21:00:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x7d2b12…
07-19 20:59:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x1e96e7…
07-19 20:59:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x0f5366…
07-19 20:59:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x785ef2…
07-19 20:58:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc950e4…
07-19 20:58:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x572779…
07-19 20:58:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xd0c487…
07-19 20:57:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x3a2e6e…
07-19 20:50:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0xd04874…
07-19 20:44:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x9d3531…
07-19 20:44:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0872dc…
07-19 20:42:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xaa9d23…
07-19 20:33:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x6876a2…
07-19 20:29:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb3e32a…
07-19 20:28:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x1fff0b…
07-19 20:23:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x20b244…
07-19 20:20:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x1dcc4d…
07-19 20:19:10	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19 total 7pt5	Over	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x2f222b…
07-19 20:18:51	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0xcee4fe…
07-19 20:12:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe7bdb8…
07-19 20:09:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x997982…
07-19 20:08:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5130de…
07-19 20:05:52	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x12e7d0…
07-19 20:05:51	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xd9f275…
07-19 19:53:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe9044a…
07-19 19:53:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd9e1f2…
07-19 19:52:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x7d4b4d…
07-19 19:52:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xcaba44…
07-19 19:51:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xc332d2…
07-19 19:50:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xa8763f…
07-19 19:30:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x97e7ec…
07-19 19:27:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x505a85…
07-19 17:40:01	eth updown 5m 1784482500	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x963dd2…
07-19 17:31:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xefc941…
07-19 17:31:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xea35b2…
07-19 17:31:19	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xeef274…
07-19 17:19:58	btc updown 5m 1784481300	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa345d3…
07-19 15:49:58	eth updown 5m 1784475900	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x776ca0…
07-19 15:45:01	eth updown 5m 1784475600	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb8e329…
07-19 13:59:58	eth updown 5m 1784469300	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0dc041…
07-19 10:40:00	eth updown 5m 1784457300	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6ae166…
07-19 05:44:58	eth updown 5m 1784439600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3e6843…
07-19 04:15:01	btc updown 5m 1784434200	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x03eb85…
07-19 02:47:15	mlb pit cle 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x001f32…
07-18 22:40:00	btc updown 5m 1784414100	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2ca527…
07-18 17:29:58	eth updown 5m 1784395500	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x13a042…
07-18 15:20:12	eth updown 5m 1784387700	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x650670…
07-18 09:29:58	eth updown 5m 1784366700	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x77225f…
07-18 05:40:03	eth updown 5m 1784352900	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4e7756…
07-18 03:00:00	eth updown 5m 1784343300	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ca882…
07-18 02:54:58	eth updown 5m 1784343000	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7ee7e8…
07-18 02:46:03	mlb cin col 2026 07 17 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf0e774…
07-18 02:32:19	mlb min chc 2026 07 17 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6565be…
07-18 00:45:00	eth updown 5m 1784335200	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x428bdd…
07-17 23:50:40	btc updown 5m 1784331900	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x66c823…
07-17 23:44:58	eth updown 5m 1784331600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd37a8a…