Original-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-10 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-10 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	05-10 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	10	+10	Down	$-1	05-10 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	05-10 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-10 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-10 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-10 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-10 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-10 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-10 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-10 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-10 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 18:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x769e9e…
05-10 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4073ac…
05-10 17:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x63f082…
05-10 16:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe18d0…
05-10 16:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x48952a…
05-10 16:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5f520d…
05-10 16:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa6d4a…
05-10 15:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x945616…
05-10 15:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf4327f…
05-10 15:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x13508e…
05-10 15:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd56f76…
05-10 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x64f085…
05-10 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0033a5…
05-10 14:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0462cd…
05-10 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9ae425…
05-10 14:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08be13…
05-10 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb78bf8…
05-10 13:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2943c3…
05-10 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5e2fb1…
05-10 12:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc27498…
05-10 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x40e64b…
05-10 12:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x314bd4…
05-10 12:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc7ac0b…
05-10 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x77e056…
05-10 11:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x302e83…
05-10 10:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc26ed6…
05-10 06:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc0e09…
05-10 06:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe1080…
05-09 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x064943…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	29	$15.9K	526	05-10 18:06
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$4.98K	202	05-10 18:00
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	25	$686	76	05-10 18:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	24	$1.45K	62	05-10 18:00
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$1.29K	110	05-10 18:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	23	$2.62K	63	05-10 18:00
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	23	$1.25K	185	05-10 18:00
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	23	$881	62	05-10 18:00