Embellished-Put — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$452

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-30 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Other

41% 50% $-34

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$107	119	0	+119	open	—	04-23 23:38
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	05-08 17:07
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$37	23	23	+0	Yes	+$9	05-09 08:02
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$30	44	44	+0	No	$-30	05-10 03:31
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	05-06 15:40
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	2	$25	44	44	+0	open	—	05-30 11:12
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$23	37	0	+37	No	$-23	05-09 16:26
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	06-30 16:26
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-15 06:17
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	04-22 00:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-22 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776257700	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-15 12:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 08:14
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	1	$5	43	0	+43	open	—	04-15 06:26
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 00:22
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-15 15:54
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	2	$2	48	48	+0	open	—	04-28 04:22
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-15 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:26:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7f7352…
05-30 11:12:34	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	10¢	$5	0xddba04…
05-10 03:31:42	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x732e60…
05-09 16:26:32	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0xadc49d…
05-09 08:02:39	Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x39659e…
05-09 05:59:27	Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xe59d33…
05-08 17:07:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd69733…
05-08 08:48:01	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xb092eb…
05-06 15:40:51	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x0ae25a…
04-28 04:22:54	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xfac993…
04-24 08:14:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xee7ce2…
04-24 00:22:38	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xfc1c30…
04-24 00:22:30	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x920a19…
04-23 23:38:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x525d04…
04-22 09:29:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xb28c77…
04-22 00:01:24	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x57134a…
04-16 15:18:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x914357…
04-15 15:54:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa32fd9…
04-15 12:58:18	btc updown 5m 1776257700	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef0bc7…
04-15 06:26:42	Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x9c320e…
04-15 06:17:24	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0f89da…
04-15 05:00:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x27bcef…
04-15 03:32:50	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x51e009…
04-15 03:26:26	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd57bc5…