Grumpy-Brass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$325

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-03 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% +$1

Other

41% 100% +$2

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	2	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	03-18 11:53
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	No	+$1	03-18 12:20
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$1.9K	977	977	+0	open	—	03-18 21:42
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$1.7K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 06:17
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$1.7K	857	857	+0	open	—	03-18 06:49
tsla up or down on march 17 2026	3	$130	339	0	+339	open	—	03-17 14:21
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$98	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 05:28
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$92	630	630	+0	open	—	03-18 06:32
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$74	1,257	1,257	+0	open	—	03-18 21:29
nba phi den 2026 03 17 1h total 119pt5	1	$70	148	0	+148	open	—	03-17 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	2	$51	371	371	+0	open	—	03-18 21:14
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 4pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	07-03 06:38
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-17 15:33
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5	1	$16	18	0	+18	Under	+$2	05-09 15:23
Ceará SC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 4.5	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-31 13:59
nba det was 2026 03 17	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 15:44
nba phi den 2026 03 17	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-17 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:38:16	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x94deb5…
05-31 13:59:16	Ceará SC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x9df704…
05-09 15:23:40	ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xf75fd5…
03-18 21:42:27	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	977	95¢	$928	0xfbd34b…
03-18 21:36:09	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	977	95¢	$924	0x048827…
03-18 21:29:01	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,257	3¢	$35	0x09d220…
03-18 21:20:11	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	719	3¢	$22	0x5ee21b…
03-18 21:20:11	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	538	3¢	$17	0x3d13b8…
03-18 21:14:55	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	7¢	$25	0x7e2215…
03-18 21:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	7¢	$26	0x1e346e…
03-18 12:20:57	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,048	94¢	$988	0x2d1312…
03-18 12:15:27	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1,048	94¢	$987	0x4f16c8…
03-18 11:53:15	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	No	SELL	1,016	98¢	$992	0x7eb52e…
03-18 11:47:05	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	No	BUY	1,016	97¢	$990	0xfe50c0…
03-18 06:49:41	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	857	97¢	$831	0x540bfd…
03-18 06:39:57	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	503	97¢	$487	0x9eef9a…
03-18 06:39:55	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	354	97¢	$343	0x8edf00…
03-18 06:32:43	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	630	7¢	$46	0x228594…
03-18 06:24:15	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	630	7¢	$46	0xe54da5…
03-18 06:17:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	911	93¢	$844	0xda77b4…
03-18 06:07:45	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	911	93¢	$844	0x4a83b0…
03-18 05:28:01	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$48	0xc8b64b…
03-18 05:17:49	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xd31e95…
03-17 15:57:57	nba phi den 2026 03 17	Nuggets	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2d8e29…
03-17 15:44:05	nba det was 2026 03 17	Pistons	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xe0e587…
03-17 15:33:33	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	Chelsea FC	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf2df7a…
03-17 15:06:07	nba phi den 2026 03 17 1h total 119pt5	Under	BUY	148	47¢	$70	0xb8714b…
03-17 14:21:29	tsla up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x449201…
03-17 14:20:39	tsla up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	82	38¢	$31	0x846fcb…
03-17 14:20:39	tsla up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x143321…