Lovable-Measure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$349

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-15 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-5

Crypto

31% — —

Politics

13% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$51	67	67	+0	open	—	06-15 07:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$27	87	0	+87	open	—	06-15 07:34
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 12:51
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 12:51
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 12:51
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	2	$22	24	24	+0	open	—	04-27 07:03
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 12:51
btc updown 5m 1777011600	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 06:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-27 15:58
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 13:10
wti up or down on april 23 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 13:24
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 06:53
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	$-5	04-27 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 13:29
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 10:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-28 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	04-27 12:59
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 13:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$2	4	1	+4	open	—	04-28 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:34:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0x571e9f…
06-15 07:33:21	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	67	40¢	$27	0x323f2e…
06-10 09:34:06	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0x0de593…
06-10 09:31:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x9eaa18…
06-10 09:31:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2790a8…
05-04 06:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35f689…
04-28 15:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x32db53…
04-28 15:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x06f734…
04-28 14:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x611946…
04-28 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa79499…
04-28 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc81a06…
04-28 13:58:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3bbafc…
04-28 13:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdf2e55…
04-28 13:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6d420f…
04-28 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x196a7e…
04-28 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfcef06…
04-28 13:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa6be6…
04-28 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeb7a6d…
04-28 13:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdf3320…
04-28 13:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x783750…
04-28 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4ea17e…
04-28 13:16:30	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb970c4…
04-28 13:13:00	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe8865a…
04-28 10:43:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x291ee0…
04-28 10:42:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xc17a62…
04-28 08:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x7cdda5…
04-28 06:55:08	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa79be2…
04-28 06:04:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6568a1…
04-28 06:04:14	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x655c5d…
04-27 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc8776…
04-27 15:58:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x439f5a…
04-27 13:48:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x822e02…
04-27 13:23:18	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb5493f…
04-27 13:10:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf4a917…
04-27 13:07:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf8604a…
04-27 13:06:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x478a6b…
04-27 13:02:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0xbc94b0…
04-27 12:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d0623…
04-27 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2742d1…
04-27 12:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ebb36…
04-27 12:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc40cb2…
04-27 12:51:54	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x04a04a…
04-27 12:51:40	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x94104c…
04-27 12:51:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x6b02a4…
04-27 12:51:30	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$11	0x34cddc…
04-27 07:14:56	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xcad7de…
04-27 07:13:58	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xea1949…
04-27 07:12:46	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x761cdd…
04-27 07:03:40	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	24	68¢	$17	0xd8031b…
04-24 16:23:16	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93dd8c…
04-24 06:23:40	btc updown 5m 1777011600	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd278ef…
04-23 08:37:32	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x1d6d47…
04-23 08:36:12	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x182b1d…
04-23 08:33:52	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc9b260…