Ill-Pan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-15 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 25% $-3

Other

30% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$3	23	+23	open	—	05-04 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-03 09:54
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-15 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-03 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 03:40:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf67d79…
05-07 21:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1bb59…
05-07 02:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a2e4a…
05-05 03:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x78617f…
05-05 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x191cdc…
05-04 10:29:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa05a2d…
05-03 18:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa61755…
05-03 09:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x461ea3…