Nocturnal-Proctor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

538

Trades

926

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-19 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 64% $-81

Tech

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$52	50	50	-0	open	—	04-27 03:52
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	9	$44	48	48	+0	open	—	04-27 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	11	$40	61	0	+61	Down	+$20	05-13 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	11	$36	65	0	+65	Down	$-29	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	9	$29	53	0	+53	Down	$-29	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	10	$28	62	0	+62	Up	$-1	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	10	$28	63	0	+63	Up	+$25	05-13 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	9	$25	56	0	+56	Down	$-25	05-13 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	7	$21	40	0	+40	Down	$-21	05-12 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	8	$20	57	0	+57	Down	+$5	05-12 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$20	55	0	+55	Up	+$24	05-12 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$19	36	0	+36	Up	$-19	05-13 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$18	47	0	+47	Up	+$5	05-12 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$17	36	0	+36	Up	$-1	05-13 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$16	39	0	+39	Up	$-0	05-12 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$16	36	0	+36	Up	+$15	05-13 04:24
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 05:40
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$15	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$14	44	0	+44	Up	+$2	05-12 17:29
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$14	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$13	23	0	+23	Down	$-13	05-13 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$13	30	0	+30	Down	+$4	05-13 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$13	39	0	+39	Down	$-13	05-12 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$12	17	0	+17	Down	+$5	05-13 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$12	31	0	+31	Down	$-12	05-13 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$11	137	0	+137	Down	+$7	05-13 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$11	61	0	+61	Up	+$16	05-13 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$11	26	0	+26	Up	+$8	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-13 03:34
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 06:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xa1bc88…
05-19 01:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x572f88…
05-19 00:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc6cf9b…
05-18 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x3347e8…
05-18 18:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd7d0fe…
05-18 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x42e95d…
05-18 14:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf78301…
05-18 14:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7b93a1…
05-18 06:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ce5a8…
05-18 05:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x850da6…
05-17 19:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe836f8…
05-17 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x527eec…
05-17 18:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca410f…
05-17 18:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe44f74…
05-17 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5cb6d…
05-17 17:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13ba7b…
05-17 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x131e38…
05-17 16:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc06544…
05-17 16:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xde7430…
05-17 15:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01863d…
05-17 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32ae53…
05-17 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5a877…
05-17 12:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x030cae…
05-17 12:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x23e9e4…
05-17 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24ad37…
05-17 10:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc5d1dc…
05-17 09:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb56b2…
05-17 09:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0f477c…
05-17 09:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x052635…
05-17 05:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa74ee1…
05-17 05:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2acb63…
05-17 05:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f7620…
05-17 04:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda674a…
05-17 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc87331…
05-17 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x233d13…
05-17 03:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68583e…
05-17 02:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x660fd4…
05-17 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf86baf…
05-17 02:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xccbafd…
05-17 01:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcac970…
05-17 00:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ef3e2…
05-16 23:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f6754…
05-16 23:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x720035…
05-16 22:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x29601f…
05-16 22:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a5927…
05-16 19:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x879355…
05-16 19:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe13154…
05-16 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x761cf4…
05-16 18:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaee81f…
05-16 16:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe35bc1…
05-16 15:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3f7cab…
05-16 15:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd5c2bc…
05-16 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67af02…
05-16 14:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe8bfb2…
05-16 14:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8d6381…
05-16 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c7f42…
05-16 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x677ec8…
05-16 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf0dd08…
05-16 13:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe28400…
05-16 13:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb57ba9…
05-16 13:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x754ad9…
05-16 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3bf567…
05-16 12:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x42dcc4…
05-16 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x40070c…
05-16 12:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a98e9…
05-16 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a11c2…
05-16 12:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb48357…
05-16 09:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xba6bda…
05-16 09:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdae0a9…
05-16 09:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdd90d5…
05-16 08:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4b767f…
05-16 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6dfd1b…
05-16 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x650c5f…
05-16 07:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa7e337…
05-16 07:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa5459a…
05-16 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9bf69…
05-16 06:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x605378…
05-16 06:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb36d95…
05-16 06:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x57ba1b…
05-16 06:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7442e2…
05-16 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x19e6c8…
05-16 05:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd4877e…
05-16 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7536c1…
05-16 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0de3c6…
05-16 04:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x04b036…
05-14 12:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xde1890…
05-14 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x2240d7…
05-14 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x4c4de2…
05-14 11:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x14fbcc…
05-14 11:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9f8aec…
05-14 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa953de…
05-14 11:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x113850…
05-14 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x51d3d9…
05-14 11:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x55ce44…
05-14 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x07cb5b…
05-14 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x66a0a2…
05-14 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x4e885a…
05-14 10:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x527133…
05-14 10:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x3929f0…
05-14 10:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x967b9f…