Giant-Doorbell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$318

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-10 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% +$10

Other

3% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-4	$-0	5¢	$-0	+$0	06-10 19:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$21	17	17	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-17 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$9	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	12	4	+8	open	—	05-04 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$6	11	3	+8	Down	+$2	05-11 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 20:53
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$6	7	3	+4	open	—	05-03 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$4	6	2	+3	open	—	05-03 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$4	5	2	+4	open	—	05-03 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 19:35:18	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa2bdf8…
05-24 18:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdfd610…
05-20 20:40:45	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5ce4ed…
05-20 20:39:11	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf991d2…
05-18 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x18501c…
05-18 22:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14dfda…
05-18 22:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x85cd58…
05-18 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x5f6f6d…
05-18 22:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8b724a…
05-18 21:57:10	Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x885a5e…
05-18 21:55:13	Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x45bd85…
05-18 21:53:45	Will Trump say "Autism" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4d279…
05-18 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf809ca…
05-18 21:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x758e67…
05-18 21:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf57099…
05-18 21:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xebe1ae…
05-17 15:32:47	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10dab7…
05-17 13:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5301b2…
05-17 13:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xae1bcb…
05-17 13:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf1404b…
05-17 13:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xad83d6…
05-17 12:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x604eac…
05-17 12:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x43e474…
05-17 12:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x6874a8…
05-17 12:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa9b706…
05-13 22:02:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3c8971…
05-11 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x42a6e9…
05-11 21:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x974d2d…
05-11 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe17f8a…
05-11 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x81aba0…
05-11 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4606af…
05-11 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x72bf67…
05-11 21:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc1c38f…
05-11 21:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x960644…
05-11 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x878aa9…
05-11 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9f7d8a…
05-11 20:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x48efe0…
05-11 20:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x4a35cc…
05-11 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x42aa77…
05-11 20:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8bf9b4…
05-11 20:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf3c854…
05-11 20:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x806f53…
05-11 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe98307…
05-11 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x794736…
05-11 20:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf40b88…
05-11 20:43:28	Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xedcdbe…
05-11 19:45:13	Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x21ed9c…
05-06 23:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5ba1ea…
05-06 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x96bde2…
05-06 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf03bd9…
05-06 23:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc0d70a…
05-06 23:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x24623a…
05-06 23:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x69562f…
05-06 23:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6aff50…
05-06 23:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x368cb7…
05-06 23:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xb7b225…
05-06 23:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x55a8dd…
05-06 23:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcc906a…
05-06 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4ab031…
05-06 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6b7d1d…
05-06 23:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xe96008…
05-06 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec2fcb…
05-06 23:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe1a235…
05-06 23:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xcc8d41…
05-06 23:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa7ec76…
05-06 23:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xeff64d…
05-06 23:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x88d657…
05-06 23:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6d22c6…
05-06 23:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7b8eed…
05-06 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x091af2…
05-06 22:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x30b0ee…
05-06 22:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xf4b4ec…
05-06 22:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x26a601…
05-06 22:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xba310c…
05-06 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xbf744f…
05-06 22:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfc9639…
05-06 22:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee86ac…
05-06 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x125acc…
05-06 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xd3906a…
05-06 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe92c5e…
05-06 22:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcfe85b…
05-06 22:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3db5e0…
05-04 20:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x107239…
05-04 20:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2c0b03…
05-04 20:55:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf303d2…
05-04 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbd6b10…
05-04 20:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x375fb1…
05-04 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x539f47…
05-04 15:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6bda1f…
05-04 15:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa7612f…
05-04 15:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc41f14…
05-04 15:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xe9e9ce…
05-04 15:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c81ed…
05-04 15:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0dd578…
05-04 15:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf1f528…
05-04 15:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb0d2c5…
05-04 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xaf0b2b…
05-04 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xc2f3c7…
05-04 13:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x376014…
05-04 13:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8de382…