Disguised-Omega — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$324

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-30 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-1

Sports

15% 0% $-4

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

5% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-30 05:43
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-04 08:23
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-18 02:48
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	$-1	04-06 09:57
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$0	04-13 03:03
Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-27 08:33
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-11 02:59
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-27 05:44
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-09 08:20
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-01 06:43
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	3	$1.4K	1,600	700	+900	open	—	03-25 06:27
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-30 03:26
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-27 05:34
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-09 06:44
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-20 07:32
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-11 09:53
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$986	600	600	+0	open	—	02-28 08:24
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$980	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 03:27
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	03-06 07:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	5	$151	1,000	1,100	-100	No	$-4	02-28 08:09
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$46	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	04-21 02:28
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$45	1,870	1,870	+0	open	—	04-21 06:09
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	950	950	+0	open	—	04-08 02:26
will matthias bluebaum win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$26	900	900	+0	open	—	04-02 00:53
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$24	700	700	+0	open	—	03-10 09:35
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$23	950	950	+0	open	—	04-22 03:04
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$19	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	04-28 05:34
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	2	$18	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 02:04
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$17	950	950	+0	open	—	04-14 06:46
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$14	500	500	+0	open	—	03-06 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 03:26:56	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$698	0xbc4653…
04-30 02:51:16	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x3d84b1…
04-28 05:34:24	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$3	0xfc9198…
04-27 05:34:42	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$691	0xb9e059…
04-27 03:01:36	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$691	0x304749…
04-22 07:17:22	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$5	0x55f067…
04-22 06:53:14	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	920	1¢	$6	0xcb3813…
04-22 06:15:58	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$6	0x3b30eb…
04-22 03:04:46	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$11	0x639aa6…
04-22 02:14:14	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$11	0x2c5e4b…
04-21 06:09:02	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	920	1¢	$9	0x7c0b5f…
04-21 05:36:00	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$9	0xc23775…
04-21 02:28:00	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$11	0x6f2036…
04-21 01:27:50	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$11	0x8a842b…
04-20 02:17:38	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$11	0x7fff3d…
04-20 01:39:46	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$11	0x1f366e…
04-18 07:11:26	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$5	0xc1e494…
04-18 06:26:38	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$5	0x032fed…
04-18 02:48:24	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$795	0x2c9e73…
04-18 02:12:50	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$795	0x8b031a…
04-16 07:46:30	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$13	0xf6832a…
04-16 05:53:44	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$13	0x8ea1a7…
04-16 02:22:24	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$7	0x45e8c6…
04-16 01:46:42	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$7	0xa4b72d…
04-14 06:46:01	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0x437bbc…
04-14 06:14:05	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$9	0x96ce11…
04-13 03:03:53	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$794	0x9d1cc9…
04-13 02:01:51	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$794	0xcc599d…
04-11 02:59:11	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$792	0xfd5f34…
04-11 02:15:11	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x257e1b…
04-09 08:20:59	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$788	0x55d0d0…
04-09 08:14:29	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$788	0xc35173…
04-08 02:26:23	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	950	2¢	$20	0xae4de8…
04-08 01:37:37	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$20	0x986081…
04-06 09:57:19	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$794	0x82ace3…
04-06 05:50:51	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$795	0xdced3a…
04-02 00:53:15	will matthias bluebaum win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	SELL	900	1¢	$9	0x0d77f1…
04-01 06:43:53	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$781	0x4259c4…
04-01 05:44:29	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$780	0x5d2c37…
04-01 02:06:37	will matthias bluebaum win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	900	2¢	$17	0xfc0ff4…
03-30 05:43:54	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$796	0x1e49fb…
03-30 03:11:34	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$796	0x9e833f…
03-27 08:33:27	Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	800	99¢	$792	0x270064…
03-27 07:52:57	Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x6204a5…
03-27 05:44:35	Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$788	0x2ab32a…
03-27 03:11:21	Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$788	0x8f0e3f…
03-25 06:27:25	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$3	0x22d62d…
03-23 08:46:27	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$4	0x9a4646…
03-23 08:17:05	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0x7623a0…
03-20 07:32:47	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	700	98¢	$684	0x93a169…
03-20 05:55:57	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	700	98¢	$683	0x636626…
03-20 02:38:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x20542b…
03-19 07:04:13	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$6	0x661607…
03-18 10:03:25	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	700	100¢	$697	0x88aa54…
03-18 06:10:37	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$6	0x900936…
03-18 06:05:57	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	700	100¢	$696	0x5a0527…
03-11 09:53:47	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	700	96¢	$674	0x35008d…
03-11 09:36:23	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	700	96¢	$674	0x7fb76a…
03-10 09:35:11	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	700	1¢	$8	0xd8653c…
03-09 06:44:41	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	700	99¢	$690	0xebe68d…
03-09 02:38:09	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$15	0xd69869…
03-09 02:33:55	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	700	99¢	$691	0x703730…
03-06 08:27:35	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xb99ebb…
03-06 07:21:47	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0x61014b…
03-06 06:58:31	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	No	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x7fb3ff…
03-06 06:38:47	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xbe007b…
03-06 06:01:05	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x33321b…
03-04 08:23:45	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x5fd3fc…
03-04 07:52:33	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x6a1842…
03-04 06:18:19	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x5f584e…
03-04 03:27:37	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xcd4687…
03-04 02:04:05	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0x9f1c7c…
03-04 01:27:49	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x4e223f…
03-04 01:25:09	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x2e00bb…
03-03 07:28:49	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x0a346e…
03-03 07:15:33	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x602e54…
03-03 06:24:01	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xb3e7a7…
03-03 06:20:13	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x8de5f9…
03-02 07:58:47	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0x7921a7…
03-02 07:32:27	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x23403b…
02-28 08:24:25	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$491	0xf2110f…
02-28 08:21:49	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x3c6db3…
02-28 08:19:01	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd51cbe…
02-28 08:16:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x50f016…
02-28 08:09:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xf2fe80…
02-28 08:04:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x8454dc…
02-28 01:12:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$13	0x47c1c2…
02-26 07:46:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x1cca50…
02-26 07:38:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd05837…