Exhausted-Optimisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-21 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-0

Sports

40% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	$-0	03-22 19:25
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-21 20:48
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	02-28 08:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$168	84	84	+0	open	—	03-18 12:28
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	03-25 17:52
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$118	59	59	+0	No	$-0	03-25 01:36
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	03-03 04:34
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	03-30 14:48
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	04-02 22:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-03 07:33
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	03-26 22:01
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-21 16:13
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-30 02:52
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-03 17:00
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 00:59
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$-0	04-15 15:06
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	03-31 20:33
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-14 21:48
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-18 12:38
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 08:03
nba hou chi 2026 03 23	1	$41	53	0	+53	open	—	03-23 19:36
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-11 22:42
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$-0	04-06 17:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-04 11:03
nba phi atl 2026 03 07	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	03-07 11:25
nba mil por 2026 03 25	1	$33	38	0	+38	open	—	03-25 23:32
nba was uta 2026 03 25	1	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	03-25 23:33
nba bos sas 2026 03 10	1	$31	52	0	+52	open	—	03-10 17:56
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-31 00:27
nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	1	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	03-31 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 16:13:30	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4edb1b…
04-20 07:34:38	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2f26ba…
04-20 07:34:22	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9904b0…
04-20 04:34:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6ac08d…
04-20 00:59:08	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2978ec…
04-19 21:08:20	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf60e6c…
04-18 12:38:00	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x492ab3…
04-18 10:21:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x546d0a…
04-17 08:03:58	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x7bbacd…
04-16 22:16:44	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7289d1…
04-15 15:06:54	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xaba50a…
04-15 13:19:18	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8ee94f…
04-14 21:48:28	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfc0797…
04-14 20:15:22	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa4c6b5…
04-11 22:42:07	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x520576…
04-10 14:21:01	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x247e73…
04-06 17:14:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x916e71…
04-06 05:47:13	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x952e57…
04-04 11:03:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x615391…
04-04 04:23:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b9c51…
04-03 17:00:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x132673…
04-03 12:39:01	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe2f4cb…
04-03 07:33:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc1bb59…
04-03 05:34:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3d6655…
04-02 22:59:03	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeb4581…
04-02 18:31:37	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbfbaa3…
04-02 15:28:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x118de0…
04-02 10:02:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc5f4c8…
04-02 06:06:05	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xdd6d7d…
04-02 01:28:09	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x62b311…
04-01 01:15:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3b057…
03-31 20:34:11	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Hornets	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xec3742…
03-31 20:33:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb0c605…
03-31 15:00:03	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1b88be…
03-31 02:41:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x791f2b…
03-31 00:27:55	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x1fa5f0…
03-30 14:48:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x36bc99…
03-30 10:52:24	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf896e6…
03-30 02:52:18	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x28464b…
03-29 16:51:04	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7d3411…
03-29 16:50:42	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2da939…
03-29 12:54:56	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe34c40…
03-27 20:07:25	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Nets	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x63701d…
03-26 22:01:31	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x9f13b6…
03-26 16:37:21	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5f6c42…
03-25 23:33:53	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Jazz	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x5301a2…
03-25 23:33:25	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Rockets	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0x254acc…
03-25 23:32:55	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Trail Blazers	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x701ebc…
03-25 17:52:17	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xad5686…
03-25 12:28:07	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xe29a86…
03-25 01:36:15	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xcc9211…
03-24 17:37:27	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0e35b8…
03-23 19:36:09	nba hou chi 2026 03 23	Rockets	BUY	53	77¢	$41	0xc71a79…
03-22 19:25:55	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x9f8b2c…
03-22 14:04:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x503d4a…
03-21 20:48:57	nba mem cha 2026 03 21	Grizzlies	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x6b7bb8…
03-21 20:48:37	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xeed321…
03-21 05:46:55	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x20343e…
03-18 12:28:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xdaae27…
03-17 17:16:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x5aa0d5…
03-10 17:56:31	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	52	59¢	$31	0x085ea1…
03-07 11:25:21	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0x4df49c…
03-04 06:57:39	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xc3c1d1…
03-03 04:34:27	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x0fae06…
03-02 04:48:41	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x222873…
02-28 08:19:35	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x2fd126…
02-26 07:46:34	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb12fda…