Active-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$796

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-06 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 71% $-19

Politics

18% — —

Other

11% — —

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	05-18 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	05-18 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	05-18 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	05-18 07:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$86	0	86	-86	open	—	06-22 09:01
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	05-17 17:19
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$54	46	46	+0	open	—	05-14 18:32
will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	07-06 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$25	94	0	+94	Down	$-25	05-11 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-18 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	05-17 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:07
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 10:07
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-17 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-05 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 06:00:25	will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xcbf524…
06-25 08:25:46	will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x29263b…
06-22 09:01:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x303bcc…
05-18 11:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1c8d07…
05-18 09:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd960a5…
05-18 09:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa53daf…
05-18 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe8a79e…
05-18 07:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xfd4b92…
05-17 17:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x4fc721…
05-17 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9bced3…
05-17 17:19:48	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xfb21dc…
05-14 18:32:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	46	51¢	$24	0x8e4e83…
05-14 18:30:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xe9046c…
05-14 10:08:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xf673e5…
05-14 10:07:46	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc820ff…
05-14 10:07:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xba7622…
05-11 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0x7d5ccb…
05-05 18:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x943b5c…
05-05 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x010966…
05-05 13:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe193d7…
05-05 13:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x52781f…
05-05 13:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5872fd…
05-05 12:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcbca1e…
05-05 12:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdf79a4…