Cavernous-Problem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-07 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 0% $-3

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 11 3pm et	4	$89	76	76	+0	open	—	02-11 20:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	02-11 19:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 1pm et	4	$74	51	51	+0	open	—	02-11 18:57
bitcoin up or down february 11 12pm et	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	02-11 17:54
bitcoin up or down february 3 5am et	9	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	02-03 10:52
bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	2	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	02-11 16:56
bitcoin up or down february 12 12am et	9	$58	71	71	+0	open	—	02-12 05:37
bitcoin up or down february 10 2pm et	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	02-10 20:00
bitcoin up or down february 11 4am et	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-11 09:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	6	$47	34	34	+0	open	—	02-05 22:00
bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	3	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 17:59
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	7	$39	51	51	+0	open	—	02-06 17:42
bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	12	$34	70	70	+0	open	—	02-15 20:57
bitcoin up or down february 3 12pm et	4	$32	56	56	+0	open	—	02-03 17:35
bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 9 12pm et	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-09 17:53
bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	5	$28	53	20	+33	open	—	02-13 17:58
bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	02-12 11:37
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	3	$27	39	19	+20	open	—	02-09 23:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 2am et	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	02-04 08:01
gc up or down on january 30 2026	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	01-30 09:50
bitcoin up or down february 2 1pm et	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	02-02 19:02
bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	5	$20	30	8	+22	open	—	02-14 23:00
bitcoin up or down february 11 4pm et	5	$19	65	65	+0	open	—	02-11 21:43
bitcoin up or down february 3 1pm et	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	02-03 18:45
bitcoin up or down february 4 5pm et	5	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-04 23:00
bitcoin up or down february 4 12pm et	6	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 17:53
bitcoin up or down february 4 4pm et	3	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	02-04 21:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 16:58
bitcoin up or down february 15 1pm et	4	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	02-15 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:58:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x169daf…
06-07 16:56:39	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xa45cc5…
06-07 16:39:10	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd9c76d…
05-22 10:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2dfdc5…
05-22 10:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc5bbab…
05-17 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6625df…
05-14 17:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a6072…
05-14 17:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x03f613…
05-14 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdf822f…
05-14 17:08:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xc21a19…
05-14 06:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x83a73a…
05-14 06:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x70762b…
05-14 06:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xfca2f6…
05-14 06:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfae8ab…
05-14 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x9cb933…
05-14 06:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x727784…
05-14 05:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x67771d…
05-12 08:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x93230e…
05-12 08:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x12f7aa…
05-12 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xbb0370…
05-12 08:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8ca602…
05-12 08:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe7491a…
02-16 18:59:11	bitcoin up or down february 16 1pm et	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xee8bf7…
02-16 18:02:29	bitcoin up or down february 16 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x14ce14…
02-16 17:51:51	bitcoin up or down february 16 12pm et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x27c0fc…
02-16 17:50:41	bitcoin up or down february 16 12pm et	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x585743…
02-16 17:39:15	bitcoin up or down february 16 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe6af5f…
02-16 10:26:47	bitcoin up or down february 16 5am et	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xcf70b7…
02-16 10:21:27	bitcoin up or down february 16 5am et	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x44d9c6…
02-16 10:04:31	bitcoin up or down february 16 4am et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x765c5f…
02-16 09:27:31	bitcoin up or down february 16 4am et	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5da750…
02-16 09:00:45	bitcoin up or down february 16 3am et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1c2e5…
02-16 08:25:31	bitcoin up or down february 16 3am et	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa192e3…
02-15 22:54:25	bitcoin up or down february 15 5pm et	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xba3e43…
02-15 22:32:01	bitcoin up or down february 15 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x667018…
02-15 21:48:01	bitcoin up or down february 15 4pm et	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfedad8…
02-15 21:32:07	bitcoin up or down february 15 4pm et	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd34a19…
02-15 21:31:49	bitcoin up or down february 15 4pm et	Down	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x2ea4f5…
02-15 21:30:15	bitcoin up or down february 15 4pm et	Down	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xa18370…
02-15 20:57:09	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc38246…
02-15 20:56:19	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa6108c…
02-15 20:51:13	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xab9e18…
02-15 20:47:01	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf9dd81…
02-15 20:45:09	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x86c5ce…
02-15 20:43:11	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x54d546…
02-15 20:40:41	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0xfd7324…
02-15 20:38:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xf2d2ac…
02-15 20:33:15	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xb16923…
02-15 20:23:21	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x495ec1…
02-15 20:13:27	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x8caa00…
02-15 20:01:19	bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x78a0fa…
02-15 19:58:45	bitcoin up or down february 15 2pm et	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc72f46…
02-15 19:57:55	bitcoin up or down february 15 2pm et	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x95973f…
02-15 19:57:27	bitcoin up or down february 15 2pm et	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x3cbb07…
02-15 19:52:43	bitcoin up or down february 15 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x54860a…
02-15 19:50:35	bitcoin up or down february 15 2pm et	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x44689f…
02-15 18:49:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 1pm et	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x1c61f2…
02-15 18:47:29	bitcoin up or down february 15 1pm et	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7e46e1…
02-15 18:46:15	bitcoin up or down february 15 1pm et	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xcf8c17…
02-15 18:39:21	bitcoin up or down february 15 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xada9af…
02-15 17:46:43	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc13921…
02-15 17:44:53	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x883ac1…
02-15 17:44:33	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x3b1bcb…
02-15 17:42:25	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8b5562…
02-15 17:41:11	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd9ae3e…
02-15 17:37:39	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xfefe34…
02-15 17:37:09	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2d7f24…
02-15 17:33:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x740369…
02-14 23:00:15	bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd03ba6…
02-14 22:53:31	bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xce608e…
02-14 22:52:59	bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc63bce…
02-14 22:51:07	bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd504f7…
02-14 22:48:21	bitcoin up or down february 14 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe44bf0…
02-13 17:58:03	bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x786c9b…
02-13 17:53:31	bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x822f74…
02-13 17:51:23	bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xab1c34…
02-13 17:49:59	bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0x857aee…
02-13 17:31:55	bitcoin up or down february 13 12pm et	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2540b0…
02-13 12:45:17	bitcoin up or down february 13 7am et	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x63ea42…
02-13 12:15:33	bitcoin up or down february 13 7am et	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x601782…
02-13 08:34:29	bitcoin up or down february 13 3am et	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc775e4…
02-13 08:31:59	bitcoin up or down february 13 3am et	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0x63c256…
02-13 08:07:33	bitcoin up or down february 13 3am et	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4376a7…
02-13 07:58:43	bitcoin up or down february 13 2am et	Up	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xc0e0d0…
02-13 07:56:49	bitcoin up or down february 13 2am et	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x27fc45…
02-13 07:55:15	bitcoin up or down february 13 2am et	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9f5e7b…
02-13 07:45:43	bitcoin up or down february 13 2am et	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xbabb32…
02-13 07:16:03	bitcoin up or down february 13 2am et	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe0d81d…
02-13 06:59:21	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x06a76f…
02-13 06:56:59	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x633946…
02-13 06:41:01	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x32ca1c…
02-13 06:39:15	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa14ff6…
02-13 06:38:33	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x69158a…
02-13 06:38:13	bitcoin up or down february 13 1am et	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd2e624…
02-12 11:37:57	bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	Up	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x8d72fa…
02-12 11:02:49	bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x24d19d…
02-12 09:53:53	bitcoin up or down february 12 4am et	Down	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xa4f730…
02-12 09:48:49	bitcoin up or down february 12 4am et	Down	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x546204…
02-12 09:42:51	bitcoin up or down february 12 4am et	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xe92b29…
02-12 09:28:37	bitcoin up or down february 12 4am et	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x99706d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	69	$422.6K	63,072	06-07 17:58
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	69	$59.9K	12,906	06-07 17:57
(anonymous) 0x5fc7…cde4	68	$7.18K	1,753	06-07 17:57
(anonymous) 0x4b18…725f	67	$365.3K	36,142	02-16 18:59
(anonymous) 0x2e0c…54a7	67	$163.7K	26,962	02-16 18:58
(anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b	67	$99.8K	2,891	02-16 18:57
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	67	$57.9K	9,174	02-16 18:59
(anonymous) 0x8a44…57c5	67	$31.4K	178	02-16 18:22